TC Bertha

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RL3AO
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#4001 Postby RL3AO » Sun Jul 13, 2008 10:02 am

Image
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HURAKAN
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#4002 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jul 13, 2008 10:04 am

:uarrow: Very difficult to see the letters but very true!
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cpdaman
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Re: Hurricane Bertha in Western Atlantic

#4003 Postby cpdaman » Sun Jul 13, 2008 10:07 am

water should be a wee bit warmer (less upwelled) should she be able to keep moving NW

which IMO could lead to re-intensification back to hurricane strength

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1 ... 4atsst.png

steve lyons was saying how her upper levels had been blown off to the SE as she moves NW so perhaps there is a bit of mid/ upper shear now, (n shear)
Last edited by cpdaman on Sun Jul 13, 2008 11:05 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#4004 Postby Cyclone1 » Sun Jul 13, 2008 10:24 am

RL3AO wrote:Image


If this forum allowed signatures, that'd be my signature. :wink:
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#4005 Postby cpdaman » Sun Jul 13, 2008 11:07 am

i don't think anyone should give up on bertha yet (not saying anyone has, but most have been lulled to sleep by her stationary and weakening trends)

she has surprised before

although there appears to be a pocket of mid level northerly shear to her N and W in the CIMSS shear maps

recon shows center is near 29.9 62.8 (988mb)
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#4006 Postby KWT » Sun Jul 13, 2008 12:14 pm

Looks like a 50-55kts tropical storm right now, NHC strength seems to be about right. Bertha still needs to be watched but there does seem to be some shear now and the inner core issue really messed this system up.

Still 200 pages for Bertha is impressive, indeed its probably the longest thread for a recurving hurricane I reckon!
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Re: Tropical Storm Bertha in Western Atlantic

#4007 Postby 93superstorm » Sun Jul 13, 2008 12:24 pm

Starting to refire in her NE Side and trying to wrap back around. Kinda looks it'll graze Bermuda:

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#4008 Postby KWT » Sun Jul 13, 2008 12:38 pm

Yep lots of convection but not all that much on the western side, still sort of wrapped. I can imagine when it does become ET at last this could become fairly strong.
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#4009 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jul 13, 2008 12:41 pm

Image

Center Loops? Very interesting.

Loop: http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/product ... 030800.GIF
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Re: Tropical Storm Bertha in Western Atlantic

#4010 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 13, 2008 12:55 pm

More sense of humor by Lixon Avila :)

WTNT32 KNHC 131735
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 42A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
200 PM AST SUN JUL 13 2008

...BERTHA HESITATES AGAIN...REFUSES TO MOVE...
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#4011 Postby JonathanBelles » Sun Jul 13, 2008 12:57 pm

yet another face of Bertha...
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#4012 Postby KWT » Sun Jul 13, 2008 1:00 pm

In some ways that swirl is very impressive. Its not doing anything impressive in terms of convection on the NW/SW side but it doesn't look all that bad to look at.
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Re: Tropical Storm Bertha in Western Atlantic

#4013 Postby Aric Dunn » Sun Jul 13, 2008 1:28 pm

bertha causing some serious upwhelling..

Image
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Ad Novoxium
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Re: Tropical Storm Bertha in Western Atlantic

#4014 Postby Ad Novoxium » Sun Jul 13, 2008 1:43 pm

93superstorm wrote:Starting to refire in her NE Side and trying to wrap back around. Kinda looks it'll graze Bermuda:

Image

That looks uncannily like a mushroom.
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#4015 Postby KWT » Sun Jul 13, 2008 1:58 pm

Actually that looks more like the letter J to me but there we go!
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#4016 Postby senorpepr » Sun Jul 13, 2008 1:58 pm

I've dropped the basin-wide SST charts in lieu of doing zoomed in, storm floater-type SST charts. See the above graphics...
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Re: Tropical Storm Bertha in Western Atlantic

#4017 Postby Ptarmigan » Sun Jul 13, 2008 2:40 pm

Bertha looks so weird. There is a large eye and no convection to the west, while all the convection is to the east.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... ml#a_topad
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#4018 Postby KWT » Sun Jul 13, 2008 2:43 pm

In some ways it reminds me of those systems close to going ET where all the convection is transfered to ne side, not happening here like that but it does at least look a touch like that, even though looks are deceptive!
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#4019 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jul 13, 2008 2:48 pm

Image
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Re:

#4020 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Sun Jul 13, 2008 2:50 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Image


is that a stiple?LOL
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