ATL: Invest 97L in Central Atlantic

[fci]

To comment on something from the other thread, why the hell would Dolly stop this being named? Come on, the NHC aren't going to not name something just because there is another storm.

Agreed I really question the logic of those people who would even think to postulate this. Clearly they are reading way too much into things

Oh my, to think that the NHC could not multi-task and that they conciously wait to name an Invest until they have "the time".

P U L E A S E.........................

[CrazyC83]

It might just turn out to be a Cape Verde dud...

[KWT]

Wel lthe thing is crazy it does have a good circulation and convection has been trying to pop, indee dit may be too far north to do anything though its going to be a case of wait and see, even if it doesn't do anything odds are we will have another wave that will sooner or later.

[cycloneye]

144
ABNT20 KNHC 221801
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM CRISTOBAL...CENTERED ABOUT 280 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF
HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM DOLLY...LOCATED ABOUT
195 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

A LARGE AND WELL-DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED OVER THE FAR
EASTERN ATLANTIC NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA/BLAKE

[HURAKAN]

The TWO went from to .

[KWT]

Yep thats pretty much as expected cycloneye given the sea temps are pretty low in terms for development it will be slow development.

[cycloneye]

I think its no surprise the tone down of the outlook,given the cooler waters ahead.

[DESTRUCTION5]

I think its no surprise the tone down of the outlook,given the cooler waters ahead.

Models don't exactly run it up to a cane either...So TWO looks correct..

[KWT]

The good thing for this system is that it already seems to have a pretty well established circulation so as long a sit can keep popping convection every now and then, then once it does eventually reach warmer waters further west it may have a better chance.

[HURAKAN]

We need to warm up the Canary Current. It's killing our invest!!!

[littlevince]

18:00Z


Big

[KWT]

It doesn't look too bad as of now littlevince, still got some convection close to the center which is the key thing to watch.
Also interesting little disturbance on the ITCZ to the SSE.

[Gustywind]

I think its no surprise the tone down of the outlook,given the cooler waters ahead.

Definitely... with my untrained eyes , chances to develop quickly given by the first TWO on this wave.... are continuing to decrease a bit since yesterday morning..." today it's: IT STILL HAS SOME POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION" and yesterday it was in the TWO 2PM : "THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOMEDEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AFTER IT EMERGES INTO THE TROPICAL EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN".
Wait and see but seems that the cool waters are generate as we're seeing right now a poofing or fizzling trend ....Whereas let's see if the other area behind can sustain some persistent and concentrate convection

[cycloneye]

The only news of this latest ATCF best track is the pressure drop of 2 mbs,from 1011 to 1009 mbs.

AL, 97, 2008072218, , BEST, 0, 167N, 214W, 20, 1009, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 180, 25, 0, 0,

[Gustywind]

Convection has to be more concentrated to see something consistent with my untrained eyes, so it's in relation with the cool temperatures in vicinity of Invest 97L, no more doubts wait and see if this system can spin with more fuel in the area...

[Cyclone1]

It's still very well defined, but has questionable future.

I'd say formation is still likely, maybe not until late tomorrow or Thursday though.

Just my unnofficial guestimate.

[gatorcane]

I'm pretty surprised the NHC was so aggressive with this wave in the first place calling for a depression when it was still hundreds of miles within Africa (Senegal).

I was honestly scratching my head a few days ago trying to understand a reason why.

[Gustywind]

you kidding me Gatorcane lol

[Mecklenburg]

i don't expect anything from this invest at all... i'm more interested at the wave behind it...

[Ed Mahmoud]

18:00Z


Big

Way OT, but that looks like cotton candy.