ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

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wxman57
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2821 Postby wxman57 » Fri Jul 18, 2008 6:46 pm

Texas Snowman wrote:I'm not saying that this system will develop (not that it matters, but I think it eventually will) but it is interesting to note that several Texas hurricanes with "C" names have come out from the same basic Caribbean region before going ashore on the central Tx coastline.

'Canes Carla, Celia, and Claudette come to mind.


Odds are it'll be named "Dolly".
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2822 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jul 18, 2008 6:49 pm

If in that is a BIG IF it gets named it will likely be Dolly. I believe that the last Dolly sucked, So no fear.
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#2823 Postby KWT » Fri Jul 18, 2008 6:49 pm

Yeah I agree wxman57, I can imagine this taking a little longer because it has to still work its way down to the surface bu I'd imagine its only a matter of time before that does occur IMO.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2824 Postby weatherguru18 » Fri Jul 18, 2008 6:50 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:If in that is a BIG IF it gets named it will likely be Dolly. I believe that the last Dolly sucked, So no fear.


So did Charley 6 years earlier...then look what happend in 04'
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Re: Re:

#2825 Postby Smurfwicked » Fri Jul 18, 2008 6:51 pm

deltadog03 wrote:Oh dear god, I hadn't even thought about that until now

At least I can walk to work if necessary. I can't imagine being a commuter if a system entered the gulf with gas already at $4.09 a gallon.


I know, and I'm sure everyone was happy to hear the price of oil was starting to fall the other day I'd hate to something this drive it back up. Regardless of when it happens its almost a sure thing to happen sometime this summer anyways.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2826 Postby Squarethecircle » Fri Jul 18, 2008 6:51 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:If in that is a BIG IF it gets named it will likely be Dolly. I believe that the last Dolly sucked, So no fear.


How does the last Dolly impact this "Possibly-Dolly"?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2827 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 18, 2008 6:52 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Texas Snowman wrote:I'm not saying that this system will develop (not that it matters, but I think it eventually will) but it is interesting to note that several Texas hurricanes with "C" names have come out from the same basic Caribbean region before going ashore on the central Tx coastline.

'Canes Carla, Celia, and Claudette come to mind.


Odds are it'll be named "Dolly".


Yeah, I was just thinking that... if it ever gets named(with the history of this system who knows)
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2828 Postby KWT » Fri Jul 18, 2008 6:52 pm

weatherguru18 wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:If in that is a BIG IF it gets named it will likely be Dolly. I believe that the last Dolly sucked, So no fear.


So did Charley 6 years earlier...then look what happend in 04'


As did Katrina for that matter!

I do agree this will be Dolly if it can ever get going, still no certainties that even that will occur IMO but we will ahve towatch, wonder what Dmax will bring?!
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Re: Re:

#2829 Postby mvtrucking » Fri Jul 18, 2008 7:00 pm

Actually it has fallen substantially for 4 days in a row. Lets hope this system does not[b][/b] make it into the Gulf.
Lets keep those prices headed :darrow:




Smurfwicked wrote:
deltadog03 wrote:Oh dear god, I hadn't even thought about that until now

At least I can walk to work if necessary. I can't imagine being a commuter if a system entered the gulf with gas already at $4.09 a gallon.


I know, and I'm sure everyone was happy to hear the price of oil was starting to fall the other day I'd hate to something this drive it back up. Regardless of when it happens its almost a sure thing to happen sometime this summer anyways.
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#2830 Postby GeneratorPower » Fri Jul 18, 2008 7:15 pm

I could swear that upper level low above 94L is being dissipated by convection from 94L. Pro-met thoughts?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2831 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jul 18, 2008 7:17 pm

Looks sooo much better than the mess it was the past couple days!
Image
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#2832 Postby HouTXmetro » Fri Jul 18, 2008 7:20 pm

Maybe I'm looking at the wrong thing but this is looking less impressive compared to earlier.
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Re:

#2833 Postby wxman57 » Fri Jul 18, 2008 7:21 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:Maybe I'm looking at the wrong thing but this is looking less impressive compared to earlier.


I agree - less impressive now.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2834 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jul 18, 2008 7:23 pm

Image

Well I'd have to disagree...today is the first time is has sustained convection this long and continues to do so..looks like a go for this weekend IMO
Last edited by Ivanhater on Fri Jul 18, 2008 7:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Re:

#2835 Postby Brent » Fri Jul 18, 2008 7:24 pm

wxman57 wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:Maybe I'm looking at the wrong thing but this is looking less impressive compared to earlier.


I agree - less impressive now.


Agreed. My attention is mostly shifting to 96L/likely TD 3 now. I've had enough of waiting for this mess to do something.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2836 Postby Frank P » Fri Jul 18, 2008 7:29 pm

I would also respectfully disagree that it's looking worse, it's at least holding its own, and latest AVN IR loop shows the convection building more towards the center of rotation in the NE quad.. still not there yet though

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2837 Postby HouTXmetro » Fri Jul 18, 2008 7:31 pm

This system is suffering from ED. It's been on the verge for about 5 straight days but can't finish.
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#2838 Postby GeneratorPower » Fri Jul 18, 2008 7:32 pm

What is UP with the SSD floater on 94L. I think the guy who repositions the floater is asleep at the wheel. Sheesh.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/float2.html
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2839 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Fri Jul 18, 2008 7:32 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:This system is suffering from ED. It's been on the verge for about 5 straight days but can't finish.



I didn't do it.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2840 Postby GeneratorPower » Fri Jul 18, 2008 7:38 pm

What on earth is this little curved cluster here? Banding? Something else?

Image
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