ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

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SkyDragon

Re: Re:

#2561 Postby SkyDragon » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:06 am

HURAKAN wrote:
SkyDragon wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:SHIP S 1200 16.20 -70.30 188 315 110 28.0 - 4.9 3.0 - - 29.56 -0.01 36.9 36.0

Impressive report four hours ago. It may come into question the accuracy of the instruments.

What does that mean?


Winds: 28 knots (32 mph)
Pressure: 1001 mb

Thanks!
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#2562 Postby wx247 » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:08 am

Let me just say that if you want a pro met to answer you more quickly, you might post it in the appropriate thread in the Tropical Analysis section. I did and I quickly had a response. :)
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SkyDragon

Re:

#2563 Postby SkyDragon » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:10 am

wx247 wrote:Let me just say that if you want a pro met to answer you more quickly, you might post it in the appropriate thread in the Tropical Analysis section. I did and I quickly had a response. :)

Thanks!
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#2564 Postby KWT » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:11 am

Yep that ship report at least justifies 30kts and thats without what recon may show.

Gaotrcane, I personally can't see Florida having anthing to worry about it would have to move NW right now and go right through that ULL which is not going to happen IMO. Main threat is probably from LA westwards. Still I'm no pro so can't be sure.
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SkyDragon

Re:

#2565 Postby SkyDragon » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:11 am

KWT wrote:Yep that ship report at least justifies 30kts and thats without what recon may show.

Gaotrcane, I personally can't see Florida having anthing to worry about it would have to move NW right now and go right through that ULL which is not going to happen IMO. Main threat is probably from LA westwards. Still I'm no pro so can't be sure.

LA meaning Los Angeles? Or is it Lousiana
Last edited by SkyDragon on Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:12 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2566 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:11 am

I don't think I have ever seen a double secret probation Special Tropical Disturbance Statement before.
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Re:

#2567 Postby gatorcane » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:12 am

KWT wrote:Yep that ship report at least justifies 30kts and thats without what recon may show.

Gaotrcane, I personally can't see Florida having anthing to worry about it would have to move NW right now and go right through that ULL which is not going to happen IMO. Main threat is probably from LA westwards. Still I'm no pro so can't be sure.


I asked a pro met in the tropical analysis forum. I think you are right but just want to be sure. Remember Ernesto????
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2568 Postby Normandy » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:12 am

Recon also justifies 30 kts, they had some pretty strong wind readings before they started descending.
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Re: Re:

#2569 Postby senorpepr » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:12 am

SkyDragon wrote:
KWT wrote:Yep that ship report at least justifies 30kts and thats without what recon may show.

Gaotrcane, I personally can't see Florida having anthing to worry about it would have to move NW right now and go right through that ULL which is not going to happen IMO. Main threat is probably from LA westwards. Still I'm no pro so can't be sure.

LA meaning Los Angeles?


LA meaning Louisiana.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2570 Postby Comanche » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:13 am

this thing has been entertaining to watch, to say the least.
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SkyDragon

Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2571 Postby SkyDragon » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:16 am

this is way more interesting that Bertha!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2572 Postby D3m3NT3DVoRT3X » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:17 am

This definitely
Image
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2573 Postby WmE » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:20 am

SkyDragon wrote:this is way more interesting that Bertha!


I don't know what you understand when you say interesting, but for me Bertha was one of the strangest and most interesting systems in the last years.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Re:

#2574 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:20 am

SkyDragon wrote:
KWT wrote:Yep that ship report at least justifies 30kts and thats without what recon may show.

Gaotrcane, I personally can't see Florida having anthing to worry about it would have to move NW right now and go right through that ULL which is not going to happen IMO. Main threat is probably from LA westwards. Still I'm no pro so can't be sure.

LA meaning Los Angeles? Or is it Lousiana


I believe the Sierra Madre Oriental mountains ensure no more than a badly degraded mid-level circulation could ever make it to Los Angeles.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2575 Postby bvigal » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:22 am

From daily comparisons of ships to ground and buoys, I can assure you that 28kt could just as well be gust speed reported, not continuous winds. When all over a wide area winds are 15kt and even ships calling me from offshore are 15kt, and NDBC has reports of 25-27kt from ships in exact same area, you know it's gusts. (Never in 8 years have I seen a ship report with anything in the "gust" column, it isn't used.) It could be continuous winds, but one can't know for sure either way.
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Re: Re:

#2576 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:25 am

Ed Mahmoud wrote:I believe the Sierra Madre Oriental mountains ensure no more than a badly degraded mid-level circulation could ever make it to Los Angeles.


You forgot to mention the SST. Very cold for a TC to survive.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2577 Postby micktooth » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:35 am

I didn't want to post this in the recon threads, but I would like to thank everyone who helps us commoners when it comes to reporting and transcribing the recon reports. The new graphics with the plane overlays are amazing. Keep up the great work everyone!!!
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2578 Postby tolakram » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:39 am

Recon discussion thread, hard to find with all the active threads at the moment.

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=101890&view=unread#unread

:)
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2579 Postby Sanibel » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:39 am

If that convection center doesn't rebound these guys could be right and the shear is already getting it. Hate to admit it.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 94L in Central Caribbean

#2580 Postby tolakram » Fri Jul 18, 2008 11:41 am

Sanibel wrote:If that convection center doesn't rebound these guys could be right and the shear is already getting it. Hate to admit it.


Seems to be holding its own at the moment. Different from yesterday afternoon, that's for sure.
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