ATL HANNA: Extratropical - Discussion

NEXRAD · #2361 Postby **NEXRAD** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 3:54 pm

Chigger_Lopez wrote:UKMET still into S. Florida and NGFDL is in Melbourne area now. Arent the CMC and Euro showing somewhere in central or south florida as well? Please advise. . .

The 12Z CMC shifted much farther east with Hanna, keeping the system well east of Florida. I'm not sure about the Euro - haven't checked it since early today.

- Jay

Website · #2362 Postby **Brent** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 3:54 pm

KWT · #2363 Postby **KWT** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 3:57 pm

Offical NHC track now shows this making landfall at 85kts. Its one of those set-ups though where if shear eases off in time then we are looking at a stronger hurricane then that. Personally I think the GFDL may not be far off in terms of possibe strength of Hanna but we shall have to see I suppose.

#2364 Postby **tolakram** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 3:57 pm

Hanna, where are you going?

lbvbl · #2365 Postby **lbvbl** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 3:57 pm

Brent wrote:

eastern shift...

masaji79 · #2366 Postby **masaji79** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 3:58 pm

It's interesting to see that they have Hanna moving due north after landfall.

Website · #2367 Postby **Brent** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 3:59 pm

Georgia hasn't been hit by a hurricane since 1893...

#2368 Postby **KBBOCA** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 3:59 pm

Ugh. Not happy to see SE FL in the cone. Sigh. I really was hoping the storm would head north as a non-destructive rainmaker for GA and the Carolinas which so badly NEED rain. Go away Hannah. We just had Fay and Lake O. has risen nicely. We don't need you!

Slightly off topic, this is just a crazy day in the tropics. I was looking at the sat. image of the Atlantic basin (which doesn't even show 99L and probable Josephine-to-be)

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/avn-l.jpg

It brought a question to mind.
What is the record for number of active storms in the Atlantic basin at one time? Can anyone let me know?

#2369 Postby **deltadog03** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 4:00 pm

actually that landfall is abit further west...
last one was just east of savannah

lbvbl · #2370 Postby **lbvbl** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 4:01 pm

deltadog03 wrote:actually that landfall is abit further west...
last one was just east of savannah

Oh, I'm just going by what I see, but doesn't this new track keep it further away from FL?

#2371 Postby **deltadog03** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 4:02 pm

Dosn't matter too much right anyway....Gonna be a crazy couple of days...well weeks.

cpdaman · #2372 Postby **cpdaman** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 4:03 pm

http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstat ... =IPINECAY2

981.6 (now)

El Nino · #2373 Postby **El Nino** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 4:04 pm

981.6, and NHC is showing 983. Very odd ...

NEXRAD · #2374 Postby **NEXRAD** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 4:04 pm

lbvbl wrote:
deltadog03 wrote:actually that landfall is abit further west...
last one was just east of savannah

Oh, I'm just going by what I see, but doesn't this new track keep it further away from FL?

By the coordinates, the previous and current TPC tracks are identical in how close they project Hanna coming to Florida. The probability of tropical storm or hurricane force winds are about the same for all locations from about Miami through about the SC/NC border.

- Jay

#2375 Postby **AdamFirst** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 4:05 pm

El Nino wrote:981.6, and NHC is showing 983. Very odd ...

It's an ever changing situation... :cheesy:

bob rulz · #2376 Postby **bob rulz** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 4:06 pm

KBBOCA wrote:It brought a question to mind.
What is the record for number of active storms in the Atlantic basin at one time? Can anyone let me know?

I believe the record is 4. Last time that happened was 1995, when I think (?) it was Humberto, Jerry, Iris, and Karen all at the same time. We could easily tie that record again today or tomorrow.

KWT · #2377 Postby **KWT** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 4:07 pm

Yep recon finding pressure still lowering a touch but your not gonig to see much development of the inner core till the shear eases of yet further, its just the sheer power of the convection thats probably strengthening Hanna right now IMO.

Deltadog, I think the next 2weeks are going to be made, 2 more landfalling US hurricanes in that period?! :eek:

cpdaman · #2378 Postby **cpdaman** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 4:09 pm

KWT wrote:Yep recon finding pressure still lowering a touch but your not gonig to see much development of the inner core till the shear eases of yet further, its just the sheer power of the convection thats probably strengthening Hanna right now IMO.

Deltadog, I think the next 2weeks are going to be made, 2 more landfalling US hurricanes in that period?!

that goes to show you how very warm and condusive those waters are..........all she needs is about 5 knots of less shear and she will pop an eye IMO.

CDO · #2379 Postby **CDO** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 4:10 pm

Brent wrote:Georgia hasn't been hit by a hurricane since 1893...

Savannah was hit in 1947, I think, after one of the first hurricane seeding experiments.

#2380 Postby **HurricaneQueen** » Mon Sep 01, 2008 4:10 pm

Myersgirl wrote:It is unfortunate that the good news this year is: the proceeding hurricane is inhibiting the development of the next in line

Quote of the day in my book. Thanks for the comic relief (although it's not really funny but it's the best laugh I've had in a couple of days).

Deltadog, so glad to see you will be watching over us.

I trust your judgment immensely and with Hanna and Ike on the horizon, it is comforting to know that one of us, will be on top of things.

Lynn

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