ATL: Tropical Depression Edouard

[RL3AO]

Maybe Dry air but I'm not buying NE jog...unless Recon shows that I highly doubt it. I think people are being deceived by the radar.

[Shockwave]

Maybe Dry air but I'm not buying NE jog...unless Recon shows that I highly doubt it. I think people are being deceived by the radar.

I don't see how's that possible. You can clearly see the center move NE and on two different radar views.

[Tireman4]

Dr Neil Frank, (whom I trust like my good Bridgestone tires) said this

Doc said the eye is reforming east, but track has not changed. Not good news as it indicates possible strengthening, and even more time over water.

Gene chimed in that it looks like the system is taking a pause (slowing down).


This was taken from another board. Just FYI.

[SouthFloridawx]

Maybe Dry air but I'm not buying NE jog...unless Recon shows that I highly doubt it. I think people are being deceived by the radar.

Perhaps a LA landfall is becoming more and more likely. Perhaps by tomorrow morning...

[Shockwave]

Dr Neil Frank, (whom I trust like my good Bridgestone tires) said this

Doc said the eye is reforming east, but track has not changed. Not good news as it indicates possible strengthening, and even more time over water.

Gene chimed in that it looks like the system is taking a pause (slowing down).


This was taken from another board. Just FYI.

I ahte to disagree with a pro, since I haven't had to take the rigerous courses yet, but I don't see how it looks to be reforming east of the convection, when you can clearly see it all moving as a whole.

[HouTXmetro]

Maybe Dry air but I'm not buying NE jog...unless Recon shows that I highly doubt it. I think people are being deceived by the radar.

I don't see how's that possible. You can clearly see the center move NE and on two different radar views.

Ummm.... I doubt it, check out the long range NWS radar out of Lake Charles. No NE Jump. What you saw was an area void of convection that opened up to the NE. The storm did not Jog NE. Notice a much tighter wall trying to close off to the WNW.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

[Wx_Warrior]

I am not sold on Eddie going elsewhere.

[hriverajr]

Just Temporary or just appears to be moving NE, No way can it sustain any kind of movement in that direction. If it does then I get to eat crow.

[Bailey1777]

How far does the periphery of the high to ed's north streth to the west?

[HouTXmetro]

In related news

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
northern Harris County (Houston) in southeast Texas...
southern Montgomery County in southeast Texas...

* until 715 PM CDT

* at 630 PM CDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a
severe thunderstorm. This storm was located near The
Woodlands... moving west at 18 mph. Damaging winds above 60 mph are
possible.

* Locations in the Severe Thunderstorm Warning include but are not
limited to Hooks Airport... Tomball... The Woodlands... Spring...
Shenandoah... Pinehurst... Oak Ridge North and Magnolia.

Please report severe weather to the County sheriff... local police...
or department of public safety and ask them to relay your report to
the National Weather Service.

[Normandy]

You guys are being fooled by radar, this storm isn't moving N or NE, I see a crawl to the W....The center is slowing down due to all the bursting convection over Ed....I'd say landfall time probably will need to be pushed back to noon tom. Remember folks, Ed is being steered by a dominant High to its north, it wont bust through that high and move N or NE. The path is very very straightforward.

[Smurfwicked]

Maybe Dry air but I'm not buying NE jog...unless Recon shows that I highly doubt it. I think people are being deceived by the radar.

I don't see how's that possible. You can clearly see the center move NE and on two different radar views.

Ummm.... I doubt it, check out the long range NWS radar out of Lake Charles. No NE Jump. What you saw was an area void of convection that opened up to the NE. The storm did not Jog NE. Notice a much tighter wall trying to close off to the WNW.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

I agree that is what I see too. If anything perhaps it might be expanding a little but not changing general direction? Wouldn't that make sense considering the increase wind field?

[vaffie]

looking more like a hurricane by the hour.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc0 ... atest.html

[Shockwave]

Maybe Dry air but I'm not buying NE jog...unless Recon shows that I highly doubt it. I think people are being deceived by the radar.

I don't see how's that possible. You can clearly see the center move NE and on two different radar views.

Ummm.... I doubt it, check out the long range NWS radar out of Lake Charles. No NE Jump. What you saw was an area void of convection that opened up to the NE. The storm did not Jog NE. Notice a much tighter wall trying to close off to the WNW.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

From that radar view, too me, it doesn't even look like it's moving. But at the end of the frame, I honestly think I see a LITTLE NE jog. I already hate this system.

[dhweather]

Usually, you laugh at an extreme outlier, such as cliper (CLP5).

Moments like these make them not so funny.

[HouTXmetro]

From that radar view, too me, it doesn't even look like it's moving. But at the end of the frame, I honestly think I see a LITTLE NE jog. I already hate this system.

Invest Dolly was MUCH more fustrating than this...

[RL3AO]

You guys are being fooled by radar, this storm isn't moving N or NE, I see a crawl to the W....The center is slowing down due to all the bursting convection over Ed....I'd say landfall time probably will need to be pushed back to noon tom. Remember folks, Ed is being steered by a dominant High to its north, it wont bust through that high and move N or NE. The path is very very straightforward.

It jogged to the north. Recon showed it with the VDM fixes. No big deal. Radar is not showing an illusion.

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

I don't see how's that possible. You can clearly see the center move NE and on two different radar views.

I see it too, but remember that radar is not a straight shot - its pointed upwards at an angle (Base reflectivity is at 0.5 degrees.) The radar in question is the long range version, which goes out 286 miles. The "center" in question is over 100 miles away from the radar site (closer to 150 miles).

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/radinfo/radinfo.html

Do the trig quickly - @ 150 miles - theta is 0.5 - tan (0.5) = opp/150 all equals about 1.3 miles in the air: ~6900 feet up.

This means the "center" is not at the surface, but more towards mid-level.

Have a look at the short range, especially the composite reflectivity and you'll see the whole picture. Its just an anomaly. Its not moving NE.

[Texashawk]

looking more like a hurricane by the hour.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc0 ... atest.html

Gosh, that's the most impressive 'weak' tropical storm I've ever seen!!!

[cycloneye]

The last visible pic of the day: