ATL HANNA: Extratropical - Discussion

[Thunder44]

Based on recon. It looks like it may be just below hurricane strength.

[Frank2]

The NHC did a good job with Gustav, but, were like everyone else when it came to the forecast and expected "warm loop" retinensification...

Ugh - this season is giving me a headache...

Frank

[greels]

its hardly on our doorstep and furthermore its barely moving, if recon finds something earth shattering then nhc will let us know via stds otherwise there is plenty of time for everyone on the se conus to wobble watch this thing

This is not out to sea, miles from anywhere. This is on someone's doorstep, just not yours.

Thank you. Folks don't realize what the impact Hanna will have on us. here in the T&C......A large part of Provo is below flood plain and I am quite sure parts of our Island are now flooded and folks displaced.

[captain east]

OMG CNN just said how great a job the NHC is doing with forecasting where storms are going.

Dude, that's probably on off by like a mile. Holy crap...

[jlauderdal]

its hardly on our doorstep and furthermore its barely moving, if recon finds something earth shattering then nhc will let us know via stds otherwise there is plenty of time for everyone on the se conus to wobble watch this thing

This is not out to sea, miles from anywhere. This is on someone's doorstep, just not yours.

who said it was out to sea?

the original poster was from florida the west coast and Im on the east coast and thus the word our doorstep..PM me if you would like a further explanation, good luck with Hanna

[BigA]

66kt flight level winds on the southeast side of the storm...yet to sample NE quad.

[HURAKAN]

Based on recon. It looks like it may be just below hurricane strength.

The NE quadrant hasn't been examined yet.

[typhoon_tim]

this jump to the south or southwest of the center still might not mean a heck of a lot in the long range.... remember many of the models were forecasting some sort of stall out or loop in this area. suffice it to say, hanna is strengthening... it's about to spend a good day in an area with little to no steering flow... and it's taking a nice warm bath. EVERYONE from FL to NC should really watch this one...

[chadtm80]

Alright all.. All points made.. Lets get back to hanna

[cpdaman]

we need to pray that the shear stay high over this thing , otherwise tons of people in the bahamas may be shocked later today/tonite (shear seems to have picked up since about 930 am over this thing-see the gustav outlfow streak going thru hanna's cdo of late)

[HURAKAN]

[WmE]

we need to pray that the shear stay high over this thing , otherwise tons of people in the bahamas may be shocked later today/tonite (shear seems to have picked up since about 930 am over this thing-see the gustav outlfow streak going thru hanna's cdo of late)

With that said a hurricane warning needs to be issued by the NHC, IMHO.

[fasterdisaster]

Is that an eye forming?

[BigA]

Shear may or may not be increasing at this minute, but 2 things are apparent. Gustav continues to move away, and the convection continues to blow up on the latest frames. Looks to me like a 60kt TS or 65-70kt hurricane.

[captain east]

Is that an eye forming?

Nvm, listen to him...

[apocalypt-flyer]

Is that an eye forming?

I thought so too, just west of North Caicos.

[Vortex]

without question any eye is becoming visible on the latest Vis imagery. This is also supportive of the latest recon data and a pressure of 986 is representative of a minimal hurricane. I wonder if the outlier Ukmet is on to something here..

[AJC3]

we need to pray that the shear stay high over this thing , otherwise tons of people in the bahamas may be shocked later today/tonite (shear seems to have picked up since about 930 am over this thing-see the gustav outlfow streak going thru hanna's cdo of late)

With that said a hurricane warning needs to be issued by the NHC, IMHO.

I'm sure one will be issued...not by the NHC, but by the government of the Bahamas (and Turks and Caicos if they are a separate entity) with the 2PM package.

[Blown Away]

With Gustav, remember once that LLC reformed SW of the Haiti peninsula the models had a no doubt exact point and that's when the NHC track became dead on. Now that Hanna is getting her act together the NHC should have a clear point to forecast, which they really have not had for a day or so. I would expect the 5pm and on track to be very accurate.

[Chacor]

we need to pray that the shear stay high over this thing , otherwise tons of people in the bahamas may be shocked later today/tonite (shear seems to have picked up since about 930 am over this thing-see the gustav outlfow streak going thru hanna's cdo of late)

With that said a hurricane warning needs to be issued by the NHC, IMHO.

I'm sure one will be issued...not by the NHC, but by the government of the Bahamas (and Turks and Caicos if they are a separate entity) with the 2PM package.

Turks and Caicos are a British territory, but the Bahamas issues warnings for them.