ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[Gustywind]

Any models, plots on this Invest?

Not yet but soon,the Tropical model guidance will come out.

Ok tkanks my friend, matter of time, so i wait with the

[Gustywind]

000
FXCA62 TJSJ 101014
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
614 AM AST SUN AUG 10 2008

Maybe interest for all the islanders in the East Carib....interresting discussion given the latest weather forecast from San Juan

A SECOND AND STRONGER TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED NEAR 40 WEST EARLY THIS MORNING AND WILL APPROACH THE LOCAL AREA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.
BY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...COMPUTER MODELS ARE SHOWING A VIGOROUS
TROPICAL WAVE...MOVING ACROSS THE AREA. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO
BRING ACTIVE WEATHER DURING BOTH DAYS. WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15
TO 18KTS ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA...DUE TO THE PASSAGE OF THE WAVE TODAY.

[HURAKAN]

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN AUG 10 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED
OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED THIS MORNING. SOME
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 TO 20 MPH.

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN
ATLANTIC SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
WHILE THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...THIS SYSTEM
HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS
IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE.. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

NOT OFFICIAL:

Caribbean islands should watch this closely. It may
undergo slow development, so some
windy/rainy conditions to the islands in 3-5 days.

[Gustywind]

NOT OFFICIAL:

Caribbean islands should watch this closely. It may
undergo slow development, so some
windy/rainy conditions to the islands in 3-5 days.

Yeah tkanks Tampa Bay Hurricane we should not let our guard down, but let's see how the things evolve .

[caribepr]

Glued eyes...even more so since I am supposed to be taking the puddle jumper to SJ airport on Thursday...

[bvigal]

Hurakan, the center indicated in your pic is not at 41.3W. In fact, there's little or no convection at that postion, I did a double-take at the satellite loop. But I guess they basing the position on the scatterometer pass this morning.

[cycloneye]

[cycloneye]

Glued eyes...even more so since I am supposed to be taking the puddle jumper to SJ airport on Thursday...

Mj,I think you may have to leave your property very secured as you travel to the U.S.

[HURAKAN]

[caribepr]

Glued eyes...even more so since I am supposed to be taking the puddle jumper to SJ airport on Thursday...

Mj,I think you may have to leave your property very secured as you travel to the U.S.

Luis, yes. The cart, the casita and the houseboat will be as nailed down as possible. Prepare for the worst, hope for the best. Luckily I have good friends who will also be watching closely for me while I'm away (like if the roof blows off, they'll pick up stuff!)

[Mecklenburg]

yes, indeed something to be watched... the convection has been consistently progressing since the last 24 hours...

[storms in NC]

Why is 92L not on the map as a Interest they have it up on the NHC?

[HURAKAN]

[Derek Ortt]

added a floater at http://www.nwhhc.com/satellite.html

labeled as invest_09

[BatzVI]

Just a question.....is there anything that would cause this one to gain latitude? I don't understand the pressure maps, etc. too well....It seems IMHO, that the southern islands would be at more of a risk than the northern islands....thanks for help on this one...

[Mecklenburg]

Just a question.....is there anything that would cause this one to gain latitude? I don't understand the pressure maps, etc. too well....It seems IMHO, that the southern islands would be at more of a risk than the northern islands....thanks for help on this one...

i guess it would depend on how fast this thing will organized and how soon the LLC will form.

[HURAKAN]

Low Levels:


Upper Levels:


The Lesser Antilles seem to be a target.

[BatzVI]

Thanks....is that because of the upper level steering? Trying to learn....