ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

[brunota2003]

No, now lets stop spamming, please. (See the new rule about that in the Announcements section). viewtopic.php?f=59&t=101875

No recon tonight, oh well. The Obs from the Islands ought to be plenty to watch tonight!

[GeneratorPower]

The curious thing is how the disturbance in front of 94L will change the ballgame for 94L

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/loop-avn.html

[sealbach]

interesting...i'm not too concerned though...models point south so here in seTX i'm not worried...yet

[Ivanhater]

[zaqxsw75050]

that should move into Central America according to NHC.

[HouTXmetro]

The "Convection" Is starting to Look Impressive this evening.

[cycloneye]

The latest ATCF Best Track has it again at 30 kts:

AL, 94, 2008071700, , BEST, 0, 123N, 605W, 30, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,

[O Town]

that should move into Central America according to NHC.

Really? I didn't read that in the TWO or lastest discussion. You may have confused it with the wave in the SW Carib.

[HURAKAN]

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

If DMAX doesn't fail tonight, we should see another burst in convection and organization by tomorrow morning. The NHC now says conditions are conducive and we have seen many systems develop in the ECAR in the last few years. Even if nothing develops, the northern coast of South America and the Netherland Antilles should expect thunderstorms and gusty winds over the next day or so.

[zaqxsw75050]

The curious thing is how the disturbance in front of 94L will change the ballgame for 94L

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/loop-avn.html

i was replying to this post.

[canegrl04]

The way its looking,it could be a TS by the time recon looks at it tomorrow afternoon

[senorpepr]

that should move into Central America according to NHC.

Really? I didn't read that in the TWO or lastest discussion. You may have confused it with the wave in the SW Carib.

It's according to the NHC forecast in the ATCF file.

Here's the forecast track:

[Gustywind]

The "Convection" Is starting to Look Impressive this evening.

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... Tagant.jpg
Another attempt tonight and convection is on the increase given the latest 8pm sat pic of Meteo France....

[HURAKAN]

For the moment a weak system will move generally westward.



LL Convergence? Not a problem.



UL Divergence? Currently not a problem.



Wind shear is a problem in the NCAR but not in the SCAR.

[Ivanhater]

that should move into Central America according to NHC.

Really? I didn't read that in the TWO or lastest discussion. You may have confused it with the wave in the SW Carib.

It's according to the NHC forecast in the ATCF file.

Here's the forecast track:

Does this mean they are internally carrying this is a classified system senor? A little insite they think this will develop withing the next 24 hours? I cant remember them having a track for an invest before, they could have, but I wasnt aware of it...

[senorpepr]

Does this mean they are internally carrying this is a classified system senor? A little insite they think this will develop withing the next 24 hours? I cant remember them having a track for an invest before, they could have, but I wasnt aware of it...

No, it's still an invest. They do this frequently for developing storms, especially on this side of the ocean.

[HURAKAN]

Two in the Caribbean, for July it's a WOW.

[Ivanhater]

Does this mean they are internally carrying this is a classified system senor? A little insite they think this will develop withing the next 24 hours? I cant remember them having a track for an invest before, they could have, but I wasnt aware of it...

No, it's still an invest. They do this frequently for developing storms, especially on this side of the ocean.

Ah ok, thanks..Ive just never seen it before..either way, they seem to think this will develop...

[Brent]

Two in the Caribbean, for July it's a WOW.

I wonder how the one to the west will affect this one, especially if it develops.

[canegrl04]

If both become named storms,we're officially above average for July. What a start to the season!