ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[SoupBone]

Actually it appears on BR1 that she's trying to contract her center and possibly reform an inner core to me.

[loro-rojo]

So the storm is officially over the gulf now?

[fasterdisaster]

So the storm is officially over the gulf now?

Yeah but she's going to run into land in a few minutes.

[weatherSnoop]

So the storm is officially over the gulf now?

Yeah but she's going to run into land in a few minutes.

Lest we forget, Fay is the Queen of Stall Tactics

[Dean4Storms]

One powerline worker killed NW of Tally when a tree fell on him. Reports of 1 house destroyed and many damaged around Tally from falling large trees.

[fasterdisaster]

Apalachicola looks to be getting HAMMERED right now.

[HurricaneHunter914]

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/southeast_loop.php

Is that a small eye I see forming south of the big bend?

[Dean4Storms]

The deeper convection appears to be wrapping in closer to the center. She looks a lot better on radar than she did on the east coast when the deeper convection was 50 miles away from the center in all directions IMO.

[fasterdisaster]

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/southeast_loop.php

Is that a small eye I see forming south of the big bend?

Yep

[vbhoutex]

Help an old man here. Is the west edge of the precipitation field flattening out a little or are my eyes too tired? If it is flattening out, what is Fay running up against?

[twister]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-rb.html

I think Fay will drop a few more mb before FINAL LF. The spaghetti mods are crazy!

[Over my head]

Could the eye <<*if that is what that is...edit*stay over water and keep strengthening even with only the upper portion being over land if she keeps on the west heading? Just skim across that little piece of land by the skin of her teeth.

[RL3AO]

Theres the center.

And no its not an eye. To have an eye you need an eyewall which is a ring of strong convection around the center, not light rain.

[twister]

Could the eye stay over water and keep strengthening even with only the upper portion being over land if she keeps on the west heading? Just skim across that little piece of land by the skin of her teeth.

She strengthened over Fla to 65 mph. Given her track record, who knows what Fay will do.

[Extratropical1]

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm2.html

How does this affect if at all

[Dean4Storms]

Help an old man here. Is the west edge of the precipitation field flattening out a little or are my eyes too tired? If it is flattening out, what is Fay running up against?

Has to be the remants of that trough that lied just to the west in the UL.


Recon. FL Wind of 57kts in SW Quad

I think the NHC may increase the winds to 50mph at 11pm?

[tolakram]

Help an old man here. Is the west edge of the precipitation field flattening out a little or are my eyes too tired? If it is flattening out, what is Fay running up against?

She ran into something.

[ROCK]

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8dlm2.html

How does this affect if at all

basically there are weak steering currents right now......

[srainhoutx]

Help an old man here. Is the west edge of the precipitation field flattening out a little or are my eyes too tired? If it is flattening out, what is Fay running up against?

A little TUTT feature over AR...

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tropical/satpix ... v_loop.php

[Dean4Storms]

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8dlm2.html

How does this affect if at all

THat is the ridge extending down into the western GOM, she could stay west or she could turn a little WSW as some of the GFS emsembles indicate, it is a mystery to all what she will do.