ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

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T-man
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L in Central Atlantic

#1281 Postby T-man » Tue Aug 12, 2008 7:48 pm

8-) It's the beginning of tonight's show!
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L in Central Atlantic

#1282 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 12, 2008 7:50 pm

Yep, now we have to see if this convection persists.

Image

loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-jsl.html

I'm not at all clear how a MLC and LLC can become stacked or the MLC drill down to the surface but it seems to me convection firing right where the MLC is located has to be a sign something is happening.
Last edited by tolakram on Tue Aug 12, 2008 7:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#1283 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 12, 2008 7:51 pm

Image

The MLC has a bad pimple!!!
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Re:

#1284 Postby jaxfladude » Tue Aug 12, 2008 7:58 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Image

The MLC has a bad pimple!!!



To possible future Fay, you want to try some creme....got to look a little less gawky....
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#1285 Postby Aquawind » Tue Aug 12, 2008 7:59 pm

I am flying out with Jessica Simpson and some proactive! Consider it a dried up zit come morning! :eek:
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L in Central Atlantic

#1286 Postby DAVE440 » Tue Aug 12, 2008 7:59 pm

Don't know if its been mentioned already in this thread...but local met mentioned 92L and 93L. Said 92 has over a 50% chance of developing per NHC....but also said theres dry air in front of it which might slow development. Also saw the Wunderground 92L blog which mentioned SAL dust on 3 sides surrounding it which may also hinder development. I'm not counting it out by any means....but it seems to have a tough road ahead...or at the very least a slow one unless conditions change.
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L in Central Atlantic

#1287 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 12, 2008 8:00 pm

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _floater_1

That view always makes things look better but I have to say (and I'm wrong oh about 99.2% of the time) it's suddenly looking like it wants to get organized.

Now I'll take an oath of not posting for a few hours then look again. :)
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L in Central Atlantic

#1288 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 12, 2008 8:01 pm

Thanks Sandy, now you just pissed her off :wink:
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L in Central Atlantic

#1289 Postby canetracker » Tue Aug 12, 2008 8:03 pm

T-man wrote:8-) It's the beginning of tonight's show!

Sure is T-man and the star is 92L:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-rb.html
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L in Central Atlantic

#1290 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 12, 2008 8:05 pm

Ivanhater wrote:Thanks Sandy, now you just pissed her off :wink:


Maybe it will make her decide. :D
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L in Central Atlantic

#1291 Postby Mecklenburg » Tue Aug 12, 2008 8:05 pm

convection seems to be diminishing...
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L in Central Atlantic

#1292 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 12, 2008 8:07 pm

Mecklenburg wrote:convection seems to be diminishing...


It's now increasing.
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L in Central Atlantic

#1293 Postby Blown Away » Tue Aug 12, 2008 8:08 pm

I guess this is why we all love the tropics, things are always changing and keeping us entertained. All day we had loads of convection but no structure and now we have structure and no convection. That MLC has to be the dominant feature now, IMO.
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L in Central Atlantic

#1294 Postby Mecklenburg » Tue Aug 12, 2008 8:09 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
Mecklenburg wrote:convection seems to be diminishing...


It's now increasing.


oh, ok... where can i see the latest imagery? the ones in the navy site doesn't look very good, convection appears to be sputtering.
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L in Central Atlantic

#1295 Postby RL3AO » Tue Aug 12, 2008 8:11 pm

Mecklenburg wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:
Mecklenburg wrote:convection seems to be diminishing...


It's now increasing.


oh, ok... where can i see the latest imagery? the ones in the navy site doesn't look very good, convection appears to be sputtering.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/float1.html

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/storm.asp?storm_identifier=AL922008
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L in Central Atlantic

#1296 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 12, 2008 8:11 pm

Mecklenburg the last 6 or 7 posts contain links to imagery, have you clicked on them? :)
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#1297 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 12, 2008 8:12 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L in Central Atlantic

#1298 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 12, 2008 8:16 pm

I just want to note while the Olympics are on commerical that this is the first time the circulation is producing its own convection instead of the surrounding dynamics...
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L in Central Atlantic

#1299 Postby tpr1967 » Tue Aug 12, 2008 8:18 pm

Wow one thunderstorm.Lol. This may take awhile to develop.
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L in Central Atlantic

#1300 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 12, 2008 8:20 pm

tpr1967 wrote:Wow one thunderstorm.Lol. This may take awhile to develop.


It's pimplelicious!

Convection should expand by the morning hours as DMAX kicks in.
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