ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

[Gustywind]

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... Tagant.jpg
1 PM sat pic once again slight convection is occuring...

[Ed Mahmoud]

It's NOT dead JIM

Maybe not, but it is still running a high fever, and not keeping any food down.

[KWT]

How can Dvorak be still at 2.0 I'll never know but there is some moderate convection where it places the center. For what its worth if those numbers hold or even drop to 1.5 but recon does find a closed circulation we may yet see this upgraded. Very interesting and we shall have to wait and see. To be honest it doesn't matter really shear ramps up pretty quickly from 24hrs onwards according to the SHIPS.

Also if those numbers hold then recon will likely fly tomorrow IMO as well

[cycloneye]

Derek,whats up with this?

15/1745 UTC 12.1N 50.1W T2.0/2.0 94L -- Atlantic Ocean

[KWT]

Cycloneye, that does place the center just on the eastern edge of the convection that went up about 12hrs ago and is still holding steady. It's certainly interesting to see those numbers still at 2.0.

[HURAKAN]

AL, 94, 2008071518, , BEST, 0, 130N, 501W, 25, 1012, DB,

[Blown Away]

Convection starting to pop on the S side now.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html

[KWT]

Hmm those estimates place the center on the eastern side of the moderate convection and also interestingly there has over the last couple of hours been a small little convective burst pretty close to those co-ordinates.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Still no convergence over it. Wonder why it's having trouble with convergence though.

[TheRingo]

This one's a fighter. Looks to be getting it's act together.

[KWT]

Indeed convergence is still an issue howver at least the divergence that was present for a part of yesterday is gone now so at least thats one plus. However it looks like its getting sheared right now from the east as well which obviously isn't helping given the cente is estimated at being just to the east of the main deep convection.

I don't think its getting its act together TBH just holding steady right now IMO.

[dixiebreeze]

15/1745 UTC 12.1N 50.1W T2.0/2.0 94L -- Atlantic Ocean
[/quote]

Sounds about right after watching the spin.

[Category 5]

94L better become a TD, or that's 62 pgs gone down the drain.

Since when did this obsession with pages rise?

[mattpetre]

I am remaining on the side that this will develop (perhaps not until slamming into Mexico, but we'll see on that)... Any other takers?

[HurricaneHunter914]

94L better become a TD, or that's 62 pgs gone down the drain.

Since when did this obsession with pages rise?

I don't have an obsession with pgs. It's just interesting to me how an invest can have so many pgs and now the chances of it forming are decreasing.

[KWT]

The only way this will develop IMO is if recon can find proof a closed LLC, if it does tomorrow then they will upgrade it on the spot if Dvorak numbers still support it as they do currently. Other then that I just don't see the conditions being favorable enough.

[Category 5]

94L better become a TD, or that's 62 pgs gone down the drain.

Since when did this obsession with pages rise?

I don't have an obsession with pgs. It's just interesting to me how an invest can have so many pgs and now the chances of it forming are decreasing.

I didn't target you specifically, but I'm seeing alot of talk about how many pages threads are. Heck on the Bertha thread there was a leaderboard posted somewhere for most pages for a storm.

[Blown Away]

Latest position: 12.1N / 50.1W

[KWT]

Blown away, could you do that for the position of 13N 50.1W because thats the offical position where the models have been started at 18Z I believe.

As for the post thingy, its just interesting to compare previous storms and how active the board was during them, thats all I think.

[TampaBay]

...I'm seeing alot of talk about how many pages threads are. Heck on the Bertha thread there was a leaderboard posted somewhere for most pages for a storm.

Maybe it is just because there are a lot of bored folks sitting around waiting for something to happen?