ATL: Tropical Storm Kyle : Discussion

[capepoint]

Well, just the fact that this is NAMED means to me that it must be a bad storm. Especially considering what I have been thru the last 3 days and that was not even a depression. God Forbid anyone have to endure a hurricane under this new classification system..............

sorry mods, couldnt resist.

[Frank2]

I might be wrong, but, it appears Kyle is already merging with the frontal trough:

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/browsh.html

[cycloneye]

[CrazyC83]

It seems its center has tucked into the new convection.

[HURAKAN]

It seems its center has tucked into the new convection.

There was a burst of convection over the center.

Link: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

By the way, the center is way to the east of the NHC track.

[CrazyC83]

It seems its center has tucked into the new convection.

There was a burst of convection over the center.

Link: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

By the way, the center is way to the east of the NHC track.

Yes it is, it reformed over the convection this afternoon. That might have played a role in the pressure rise (went from 997 to 1007 in a couple hours, now 1003).

[Ed Mahmoud]

It seems its center has tucked into the new convection.

There was a burst of convection over the center.

Link: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

By the way, the center is way to the east of the NHC track.

Yes it is, it reformed over the convection this afternoon. That might have played a role in the pressure rise (went from 997 to 1007 in a couple hours, now 1003).

This is why I thought JB's theory of weaker = further West wasn't working, because it appears as if the center is following/reforming closer to the sheared convection.

[Ivanhater]

Looks like a 40-45 kt sheared TS now.

I thought Bones was walking up to the mic for this one...thats twice Bones got burned this season...I would retire him for next season, just my personal opinion

[fci]

Looks like a 40-45 kt sheared TS now.

I thought Bones was walking up to the mic for this one...thats twice Bones got burned this season...I would retire him for next season, just my personal opinion

I love Bones and would miss him terribly if he retired for next season.....

[Ivanhater]

Looks like a 40-45 kt sheared TS now.

I thought Bones was walking up to the mic for this one...thats twice Bones got burned this season...I would retire him for next season, just my personal opinion

I love Bones adn would miss him terribly if he retired for next season.....

Lol, I would probably miss him as well after a while, it's a love hate relationship with Bones and I

[caribepr]

wxman57, hope you got your power back on!

[CrazyC83]

Looking at the dropsonde, it seems the pressure is 999mb now.

[CrazyC83]

New from the NOAA plane: FL 64 kt and SFMR 64 kt. I'd say 55 kt for the current intensity with the flight-level winds.

[CrazyC83]

AL, 11, 2008092700, , BEST, 0, 287N, 686W, 50, 998, TS,

[CrazyC83]

74 kt FL winds found, supports an intensity of 60 kt.

[DESTRUCTION5]

77kt fl supports cane Kyle...

[Just Joshing You]

I'm not liking this current strengthening trend. If this track verifies, I would probably live within the Hurricane Force wind swath, and the tree's around here are very weak due to dry weather.

[CrazyC83]

Yep, could very well become Hurricane Kyle right now. Convection now seems to be all around the center even though there is no hints of an eye.

[Ed Mahmoud]

I'm not liking this current strengthening trend. If this track verifies, I would probably live within the Hurricane Force wind swath, and the tree's around here are very weak due to dry weather.

It will be passing over water around 12º C before reaching Canada, that should make the low levels very stable, and even if winds aloft were hurricane force, only occasional gusts to near hurricane force would be likely.


Canadian Hurricane Center alluded to the cooler than normal SSTs off the coast in an earlier discussion.

KYLE IS EXPECTED TO CROSS 40N JUST TO THE EAST OF CAPE COD
AFTER 12Z ON THE 28TH. ONCE IT CROSSES 40N IT WILL ENCOUNTER
SOME VERY COLD WATERS.. 15C OR LESS.. THIS IS THE SAME TIME THAT
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN. AS THE STORM
APPROACHES THE COASTS OF THE MARITIMES IT WILL HAVE SPENT NEARLY
24 HOURS OVER SOME VERY COOL WATERS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL
BE DECOUPLED OVER THE COLD MARINE BOUNDARY LAYER SOUTH OF NEW
BRUNSWICK AND NOVA SCOTIA.

[wxman57]

wxman57, hope you got your power back on!

Power just came back on. Two weeks to the hour. Cable and Internet back, too.