CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

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windnrain
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Re: HURRICANE DEAN - Threat Area - Jamaica, Caymans, Hispanola

#9661 Postby windnrain » Sun Aug 19, 2007 5:10 pm

106 seems down... its messing up an awful lot. I know some people here said that other stations were still live. Can you post links to those stations? I went to a few of the website links, but I couldnt find the stations on those sites.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (5 PM page 262) Discussions, Analysis

#9662 Postby MGC » Sun Aug 19, 2007 5:11 pm

This actually may be the worst case. Since the eye won't pass over the mountains it will maintain most of its intensity. The close approach to Jamaica however will allow the strong wings to the north of the eye to cause maximum destruction. I imagine that area is getting slammed by 175mph gusts. I expect the southern coast of Jamaica to be destroyed......MGC
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Re: HURRICANE DEAN - Threat Area - Jamaica, Caymans, Hispanola

#9663 Postby Pebbles » Sun Aug 19, 2007 5:12 pm

http://www.hurricanehollow.com is retransmitting power 106. it's coming in nice and clear from that site... scroll down the page and click Listen Now
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: Global Models

#9664 Postby sau27 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 5:12 pm

IF dean somehow catches the ULL or if it stops would that sling shot it north or is the high still to strong
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: Global Models

#9665 Postby HouTXmetro » Sun Aug 19, 2007 5:13 pm

sau27 wrote:IF dean somehow catches the ULL or if it stops would that sling shot it north or is the high still to strong


I don't know.. that High looks real strong on the latest GFS model.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (5 PM page 262) Discussions, Analysis

#9666 Postby jlauderdal » Sun Aug 19, 2007 5:13 pm

MGC wrote:This actually may be the worst case. Since the eye won't pass over the mountains it will maintain most of its intensity. The close approach to Jamaica however will allow the strong wings to the north of the eye to cause maximum destruction. I imagine that area is getting slammed by 175mph gusts. I expect the southern coast of Jamaica to be destroyed......MGC


power 106 just reported limbs flying through the air and roofs off.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (5 PM page 262) Discussions, Analysis

#9667 Postby Raebie » Sun Aug 19, 2007 5:15 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
MGC wrote:This actually may be the worst case. Since the eye won't pass over the mountains it will maintain most of its intensity. The close approach to Jamaica however will allow the strong wings to the north of the eye to cause maximum destruction. I imagine that area is getting slammed by 175mph gusts. I expect the southern coast of Jamaica to be destroyed......MGC


power 106 just reported limbs flying through the air and roofs off.


I hope they were tree limbs.

I actually was thinking the same thing. The eyewall brushes the coast but doesn't interact with land enough to impact it. It's getting more intense by the minute.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (5 PM page 262) Discussions, Analysis

#9668 Postby Gully Washer » Sun Aug 19, 2007 5:16 pm

Aquawind wrote:
RL3AO wrote:
HarlequinBoy wrote:Is that southern point populated? I hope not. =\


Google earth shows some small villages.


Plenty of people.. Hopefully not in the lowlands or coastline..


http://www.jamaicancaves.org/jamaica-road-map.jpg


Portland Point, the southernmost point of Jamaica, is on a peninsula in Clarendon. On the same peninsula are Jackson Bay beach, the flood-prone community of Portland Cottage, and two different locations both called Rocky Point, a residential community on the western side of the peninsula, and a port used primarily for the export of alumina on the eastern side of the peninsula.
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Re: Re:

#9669 Postby Aquawind » Sun Aug 19, 2007 5:17 pm

jlauderdal wrote:
Aquawind wrote:
Derek Ortt wrote:that fix was to the center of the eye

the eyewall was only about 5 miles offshore as of 30 minutes ago... it may be onshore now



The winds are higlhy variable in each quadrant. However the strongest eyewall with that outer band is blasting the southern coastline with at least Cat3 winds I would assume looking at the radar and sat data. The inner wall is not the strongest so I think they are getting the worst Dean has to offer at this point..

the NE quad consistently has the highest winds, period.


Well Said.. It's going to get even worse.
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Re: HURRICANE DEAN - Threat Area - Jamaica, Caymans, Hispanola

#9670 Postby crazycajuncane » Sun Aug 19, 2007 5:17 pm

The feed from shoutcast is getting choppy as of the last 30 minutes. I hope they hold up!

The radio personality just said a tree branch came falling down and the wind is really whipping up outside of Power 106.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (5 PM page 262) Discussions, Analysis

#9671 Postby Tom8 » Sun Aug 19, 2007 5:17 pm

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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (5 PM page 262) Discussions, Analysis

#9672 Postby Sanibel » Sun Aug 19, 2007 5:17 pm

I think I recall from Ivan that the population down there by Portland Point is poor and live in poor structures. They took surge during Ivan. It's not densely populated there.
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#9673 Postby windnrain » Sun Aug 19, 2007 5:18 pm

What do you need to listen to it? Because windows media isnt working.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (5 PM page 262) Discussions, Analysis

#9674 Postby Pebbles » Sun Aug 19, 2007 5:20 pm

listening with realplayer
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (5 PM page 262) Discussions, Analysis

#9675 Postby theworld » Sun Aug 19, 2007 5:20 pm

Image
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Derek Ortt

#9676 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Aug 19, 2007 5:20 pm

May Pen, a city of 60,000 may be next in line for the eyewall
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: Global Models

#9677 Postby HouTXmetro » Sun Aug 19, 2007 5:21 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html

The latest Frontal NHC satellite overlay depicts a 1015 High Near Tampico. Unless the High Moves out the way, how exactly is the ULL going to make more Westward progress?
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Derek Ortt

#9678 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Aug 19, 2007 5:22 pm

eyewall scraping the southern coast... if we get a west wobble, maybe only the peninsula will experience the wall
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Re: HURRICANE DEAN - Threat Area - Jamaica, Caymans, Hispanola

#9679 Postby crazycajuncane » Sun Aug 19, 2007 5:23 pm

"Violent winds outside the station, it really is something... the winds are howling and the impact of Dean are being felt here in Jamaica"

Also mentioned the power lines look like they may be going down soon!
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (5 PM page 262) Discussions, Analysis

#9680 Postby Zardoz » Sun Aug 19, 2007 5:24 pm

MGC wrote:This actually may be the worst case. Since the eye won't pass over the mountains it will maintain most of its intensity. The close approach to Jamaica however will allow the strong wings to the north of the eye to cause maximum destruction. I imagine that area is getting slammed by 175mph gusts. I expect the southern coast of Jamaica to be destroyed......MGC

Yes, it appears that this couldn't be any worse for the towns along the southern coast.
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