CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[Cape Verde]

Not sure what I am looking at. Could you please explain. Sorry not a weather gal. Just concerned here in Lumberton, Tx.

It's being discussed here, although not much analysis has been done yet. http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=97241

I have no intention of hijacking this thread, but this is something to watch.

[ConvergenceZone]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.cgi?time=2007081900&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

I was running this model to see what happens to Dean, but look at Florida! That could change the topic of discussion in a hurry.

Not sure what I am looking at. Could you please explain. Sorry not a weather gal. Just concerned here in Lumberton, Tx.

When you go to the link, it runs a model (the CMC) that shows a rather significant Low Pressure system (probably a major hurricane) hitting the SE/E Coast of Florida 6 days from now. I'm not an expert either, but that's what I got out of that.

There's ALOT of activity that's going to get going in the next couple of weeks and if you check the main tropical forum, you'll find it there...we do need to keep this one focused on Dean though...

[msbee]

I figured some of those links wouldn't work. glad you found a few.
I am sure as dean comes closer they will be devoting full time coverage to the storm.

[gotoman38]

000
URNT15 KNHC 191618
AF304 0904A DEAN HDOB 40 20070819
160800 1532N 07357W 6967 03168 0077 +084 +074 188040 040 030 004 03
160830 1534N 07356W 6969 03167 0081 +081 +075 188041 041 032 004 00
160900 1536N 07355W 6969 03163 0080 +082 +075 189041 041 031 005 03
160930 1538N 07355W 6972 03160 0085 +077 +077 189041 041 033 004 00
161000 1540N 07354W 6967 03167 0086 +076 +076 189042 042 033 005 00
161030 1542N 07354W 6967 03168 0080 +080 +074 190042 042 033 005 00
161100 1544N 07354W 6970 03161 0082 +078 +075 188040 042 035 004 00
161130 1546N 07354W 6967 03166 0085 +075 +075 186040 040 036 005 00
161200 1548N 07355W 6971 03158 0082 +078 +078 188040 041 035 005 03
161230 1550N 07355W 6969 03161 0089 +071 +071 188042 044 034 006 00
161300 1552N 07355W 6969 03164 0092 +069 +069 186044 045 034 006 00
161330 1554N 07355W 6973 03156 0087 +073 +073 185045 047 035 005 00
161400 1556N 07355W 6969 03159 0082 +076 +076 189044 046 035 005 00
161430 1558N 07355W 6970 03161 0082 +075 +075 185045 046 035 005 00
161500 1600N 07355W 6967 03162 0082 +076 +076 186043 044 037 004 00
161530 1602N 07354W 6967 03163 0097 +065 +065 183043 045 038 005 00
161600 1604N 07354W 6968 03163 0079 +078 +078 184044 045 038 004 00
161630 1606N 07354W 6972 03158 0080 +077 +077 181045 045 038 005 00
161700 1608N 07354W 6969 03161 0078 +078 +078 179045 045 038 005 00
161730 1610N 07354W 6967 03164 0077 +079 +079 180046 047 037 005 00
$$

[HURAKAN]

[HouTXmetro]

BIG change in projected path since yesterday TWC's latest shows Corpus Christi in the far north path.Looks like they think Dean could take a sharp turn north toward the end.

what information are they getting? Personaaly I think Erins strengthening to a Tropical Storm over lands is going to through a big kink in Deans forecast.

[msbee]

I hope you can continue to keep in touch with them.
I wish them well.

[Stratosphere747]

BIG change in projected path since yesterday TWC's latest shows Corpus Christi in the far north path.Looks like they think Dean could take a sharp turn north toward the end.

Maybe TWC feels that way, but nobody else does.

[canegrl04]

BIG change in projected path since yesterday TWC's latest shows Corpus Christi in the far north path.Looks like they think Dean could take a sharp turn north toward the end.

Maybe TWC feels that way, but nobody else does.

Don't they get their info from the NHC?

[HouTXmetro]

http://www.weather.gov/sat_loop.php?image=ir&hours=12

Looks like inland TS Erin is trying to scoot east or southest towards the Deep South.

[HURAKAN]

[gotoman38]

000
URNT15 KNHC 191628
AF304 0904A DEAN HDOB 41 20070819
161800 1612N 07354W 6966 03162 0078 +080 +080 178046 049 037 005 00
161830 1615N 07354W 6966 03163 0073 +081 +081 181046 046 038 004 00
161900 1617N 07354W 6973 03154 0070 +084 +068 178048 049 037 004 00
161930 1619N 07353W 6969 03157 0074 +082 +080 178048 049 036 005 00
162000 1621N 07353W 6964 03164 0079 +077 +077 176049 050 035 005 00
162030 1623N 07353W 6971 03155 0077 +078 +078 172048 049 034 005 00
162100 1625N 07353W 6968 03161 0079 +077 +077 168048 048 036 005 00
162130 1627N 07353W 6969 03160 0074 +082 +075 166047 048 035 005 00
162200 1629N 07353W 6967 03158 0072 +084 +072 167049 049 037 005 00
162230 1631N 07354W 6969 03158 0070 +084 +075 165048 049 035 005 00
162300 1633N 07354W 6968 03156 0076 +079 +079 163049 050 038 005 00
162330 1635N 07355W 6968 03162 0078 +078 +078 162050 051 041 007 00
162400 1637N 07355W 6971 03154 0079 +076 +076 162051 053 042 017 03
162430 1639N 07356W 6969 03153 0080 +075 +075 162054 057 039 008 00
162500 1642N 07357W 6972 03151 0077 +077 +077 163054 055 039 005 00
162530 1644N 07357W 6969 03154 0071 +079 +077 162053 055 038 005 00
162600 1646N 07358W 6968 03156 0073 +075 +075 163054 054 037 005 00
162630 1648N 07359W 6969 03152 0073 +075 +075 164052 053 034 005 00
162700 1650N 07400W 6967 03152 0067 +078 +078 166052 053 037 005 00
162730 1652N 07400W 6969 03150 0062 +084 +075 173052 054 035 004 00
$$

[jaxfladude]

^^^^^^^^^^
Go to http://www.foxnews.com/ and look for this link on the upper left front of the home page:
• Click Here for Live Video From Jamaica

[Portastorm]

BIG change in projected path since yesterday TWC's latest shows Corpus Christi in the far north path.Looks like they think Dean could take a sharp turn north toward the end.

Maybe TWC feels that way, but nobody else does.

No kidding Strat ... where in the world are they getting that info? Only thing I can think of is they're working off some of the northern outliers of the GFS ensemble runs.

[canegrl04]

This morning TWC had only Mexico in his projected path.At the top of this hour,it included Corpus Christi.They must be catching on the Erin's influence faster than the other models

[artist]

we are thinking about you all
thanks for sharing your udates with us

[HURAKAN]

Looks so cool!!!

[storms in NC]

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

IMHO I think it will hit Jamaica a town called Freetown is where it is go into. But JMHO. The way it keeps going more North I don't think it will miss Jamaica. But I hope I am very wrong. I know how most of these people live and it is not good. I Pray that it does stay off shore. But still to close still lots of damage will happen.

[canegrl04]

BIG change in projected path since yesterday TWC's latest shows Corpus Christi in the far north path.Looks like they think Dean could take a sharp turn north toward the end.

Maybe TWC feels that way, but nobody else does.

No kidding Strat ... where in the world are they getting that info? Only thing I can think of is they're working off some of the northern outliers of the GFS ensemble runs.

This morning their projected path didn't include Texas.Maybe they are seeing the influences of Erin more than the GFS.We are still 5 days away from a strike,so bear that in mind

[Stratosphere747]

BIG change in projected path since yesterday TWC's latest shows Corpus Christi in the far north path.Looks like they think Dean could take a sharp turn north toward the end.

Maybe TWC feels that way, but nobody else does.

Don't they get their info from the NHC?

Yes, but they are like accuweather and tend to use their own graphics.