INVEST 90L: Gulf of Mexico : Gone from NRL

[ROCK]

My brother is a pro met and hasn't mentioned it becoming a TS before landfall.

and your point? I think we all are aware intensity is not the issue here as track is....Lets see what the GFDL run has in store as the GFS has trended west again......almost NAMish if you ask me....

[americanrebel]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-wv.html

Looks like the center is around 27N and 88W, so if it moves NW or WNW it would be further West of New Orleans whenever it makes landfall as whatever it is.

[ROCK]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-wv.html

Looks like the center is around 27N and 88W, so if it moves NW or WNW it would be further West of New Orleans whenever it makes landfall as whatever it is.

WV loop does not tell that tale....try looking at the vis loop and you'll notice this is tracking almost due west.....

[americanrebel]

At night WV is better than visible. In the morning visible will help a lot.

[srainhoutx]

At night WV is better than visible. In the morning visible will help a lot.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

[ROCK]

At night WV is better than visible. In the morning visible will help a lot.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir2.html

or that loop..... Steve I like the vis at dark because I am able to see the low level clouds better......but yes you can see the LLC and track quite clearly with that loop......

[srainhoutx]

Watching cloud temps Paul

[ROCK]

Watching cloud temps Paul

yeah yeah.....

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

There is no question that this is a weak 25 knot tropical depression now. All data shows a closed LLC, and fsu shows it has developed a warm core.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/quikscat.php?station=42364

Well defined LLC with 25-30 knot winds. Also a buoy near 25 north/88 west had 31 knot one minute winds at 12:45 est and 29 knot winds at 1:15am est.

[wxman57]

I've noticed that the disturbance consists of one stronger vortex and 1-2 weaker swirls rotating around a larger area of low pressure. Most of you are following that stronger vortex. It tracked northward yesterday, as it was east of the large low pressure area. Now it's moving west on the north side of the low. Inflow is diminishing and winds offshore are down to 15-20 kts. There's no convection, and it'll be inland in 24 hours, probably without anyone on the coast noticing.

Bones is walking slowly to the microphone. He's slow, so it'll take him another 24 hours to reach it.

[Dean4Storms]

This Invest is knocking on the grave.

[sphelps8681]

000
FZNT24 KNHC 040848
OFFNT4

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
430 AM CDT THU OCT 04 2007

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO

GMZ089-041530-
SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
430 AM CDT THU OCT 04 2007

.SYNOPSIS...LOW PRES NEAR 27N89W 1006 MB. WILL MOVE TO 27N92W
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS A POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...THEN WEAKEN
AND MOVE INLAND OVER E TEXAS NEAR 29N95W FRI NIGHT. RIDGE
BUILDS SW ACROSS THE GULF THIS WEEKEND.

$$

[HURAKAN]

Still there, only that's missing convection.



Loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/sloop-vis.html

[stormhorn]

That is pitiful!

[srainhoutx]

000
FZNT24 KNHC 040848
OFFNT4

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
430 AM CDT THU OCT 04 2007

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO

GMZ089-041530-
SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
430 AM CDT THU OCT 04 2007

.SYNOPSIS...LOW PRES NEAR 27N89W 1006 MB. WILL MOVE TO 27N92W
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS A POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...THEN WEAKEN
AND MOVE INLAND OVER E TEXAS NEAR 29N95W FRI NIGHT. RIDGE
BUILDS SW ACROSS THE GULF THIS WEEKEND,

$$

Galveston area. Interesting that models may have been right after all.

[mightyerick]

SHIPS says it would be minimal TS, but i would think that it is dissipating right now.

[HouTXmetro]

This thing is pathetic... Can't even muster a decent Thunder Storm.

[wxman57]

Take a look at a WV loop. SW Shear is increasing. The window for potential development has closed shut. Bones is walking toward the mic now.

[cycloneye]

04/1145 UTC 27.5N 90.0W T1.0/1.5 90L -- Atlantic Ocean