Invest 94L,Near Windwards-Discussions

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Cyclone1
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#381 Postby Cyclone1 » Wed Aug 29, 2007 4:35 pm

I personally see no problem with 94L. Doesn't look like it's going "poof", it's just a developing system. Give it time.
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Re: Invest 94L East of Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#382 Postby HUC » Wed Aug 29, 2007 5:17 pm

Yes,we are not in 2005 when each disturb developped.... For those devastated by Dean ,this season is yet to remember..
We got also the fantastic luck to watch in live every cloud over the world!!!When i was young,i remember that the only satellite photos we got was the time i can go to the local weather center,and it was one time each week....... So,i enjoy the present time,folks,really....Let the nature act.
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Re: Invest 94L East of Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#383 Postby miamicanes177 » Wed Aug 29, 2007 5:20 pm

While people flip flop on their forecast for 94L, the experts at the NHC remain steady state. Environmental conditions are indeed expected to become more favorable for development in the coming days. All eyes must continue to closely monitor the progress of 94L.
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Re: Invest 94L East of Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#384 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Aug 29, 2007 5:59 pm

HUC wrote:Yes,we are not in 2005 when each disturb developped.... For those devastated by Dean ,this season is yet to remember..
We got also the fantastic luck to watch in live every cloud over the world!!!When i was young,i remember that the only satellite photos we got was the time i can go to the local weather center,and it was one time each week....... So,i enjoy the present time,folks,really....Let the nature act.


To the younger ones on this site-Try to imagine going through a Tropical Cyclone such as Katrina or Rita without the technology we have today. That is what we did with every TC as I was growing up. We got an occasional satellite photo shown on the TV if it was available, and there was no radar shown during the weather. We relied on our weather knowledge and watching the sky, watching the nature around us(animals reacting), and news reports which pretty much were verbatim NHC reports. That is how it was with Camille. However this is not about 94L so I return you to your regularly scheduled program.

I fear I will have to split out a thread for this now.
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Re: 94L-Discussions-Analysis--5:30 PM TWO Posted on page 19

#385 Postby Regit » Wed Aug 29, 2007 6:11 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
Brent wrote:They've had the exact same wording for 2 days now. :roll:


Copy and paste. Do they have copyright regulations in the NHC!!!!



No, there is no copyright. However, the source does have to be given. In the above post, it was cited as being from NHC.

Anyway, continue with the discussion at hand. 8-)
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Re: Invest 94L East of Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#386 Postby HUC » Wed Aug 29, 2007 6:13 pm

yes,vbhoutex,it was the old time,when the advisories was given by the town-crier.........So we go back to the present time! It was a moment of "nostalgie"....
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Re: Invest 94L East of Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#387 Postby Vigilant » Wed Aug 29, 2007 6:38 pm

According to the Navy site, the "center" is near 11N - 48.3W. I looked for it in the last IR frame (about 7:25 p.m.). Hope I'm not too wrong :wink:
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Re: Invest 94L East of Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#388 Postby lrak » Wed Aug 29, 2007 6:39 pm

Watch that thing pop up nice and red tonight.
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Re: Invest 94L East of Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#389 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Wed Aug 29, 2007 6:52 pm

TAFB=Possible Tropical Cyclone within the next 24 hours...

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#390 Postby Typhoon_Willie » Wed Aug 29, 2007 6:54 pm

If you think those times were tough try living in the times before there were satellite pictures where reports came in from ships at sea that happened to run into these storms or the hurricane hunters who found them. Think 1928 or 1935! When those storms hit with very little warning! Now those times were tough!
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Re: Invest 94L East of Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#391 Postby Blown Away » Wed Aug 29, 2007 6:56 pm

Vigilant wrote:According to the Navy site, the "center" is near 11N - 48.3W. I looked for it in the last IR frame (about 7:25 p.m.). Hope I'm not too wrong :wink:
Image


11N/48.3W is right under that convection ball.
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#392 Postby RL3AO » Wed Aug 29, 2007 6:59 pm

We could theoretically be through Ingrid within 72 hours. Of course its very very very very very very unlikely.
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Re: Invest 94L East of Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#393 Postby HurricaneMaster_PR » Wed Aug 29, 2007 7:09 pm

NHC 8:05pm Discussion

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 46W S OF 18W IS MOVING W 10-15 KT WITH A
1010 MB LOW ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 11N46W. ALTHOUGH VOID OF
DEEP CONVECTION...THIS SYSTEM IS EXHIBITING SOME CYCLONIC
TURNING IN THE LOW AND MID CLOUD FIELD AS OBSERVED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY. IN ADDITION...THIS WAVE HAS A GOOD TRACK RECORD EVER
SINCE IT MOVED OFF THE COAST OF AFRICA SEVERAL DAYS AGO. IN
ADDITION...THE CIMSS 850 MB WAVETRACKER CLEARLY REVEALS THE
WAVE SIGNATURE IN THE SAME AREA AS DEPICTED BY SATELLITE
IMAGERY. ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE WITHIN 300 NM EITHER
SIDE OF THE WAVE FROM 7N-13N.
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Re: Invest 94L East of Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#394 Postby Ixolib » Wed Aug 29, 2007 7:16 pm

vbhoutex wrote:
HUC wrote:Yes,we are not in 2005 when each disturb developped.... For those devastated by Dean ,this season is yet to remember..
We got also the fantastic luck to watch in live every cloud over the world!!!When i was young,i remember that the only satellite photos we got was the time i can go to the local weather center,and it was one time each week....... So,i enjoy the present time,folks,really....Let the nature act.


To the younger ones on this site-Try to imagine going through a Tropical Cyclone such as Katrina or Rita without the technology we have today. That is what we did with every TC as I was growing up. We got an occasional satellite photo shown on the TV if it was available, and there was no radar shown during the weather. We relied on our weather knowledge and watching the sky, watching the nature around us(animals reacting), and news reports which pretty much were verbatim NHC reports. That is how it was with Camille. However this is not about 94L so I return you to your regularly scheduled program.

I fear I will have to split out a thread for this now.


Yeah, I remember Nash Roberts in New Orleans using his markers to draw Betsy's track and Camille's track - all by hand and with little or no supporting technology.
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#395 Postby tropicsPR » Wed Aug 29, 2007 7:31 pm

29/2345 UTC 10.4N 47.8W T1.0/1.0 94L -- Atlantic Ocean

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html
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Re: Invest 94L East of Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#396 Postby ronjon » Wed Aug 29, 2007 7:38 pm

Models appear to be trending north - if this thing does really develop we could have an IVAN like path.

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#397 Postby Emmett_Brown » Wed Aug 29, 2007 7:58 pm

I dont think the track for this one will be as straight forward as the models indicate. A fly in the ointment could be 95L. 95L looks like it will be hanging around for a while, just meandering off the SE coast. If 95L fights off the shear and dry air long enough to deepen a bit, it could cause a weakness that influences steering for 94L.
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Re: Invest 94L East of Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#398 Postby Ptarmigan » Wed Aug 29, 2007 7:59 pm

It bears watching and wouldn't surprise me if 94L becomes tropical soon. We are heading into the peak of hurricane season. It could either become Felix or Gabriele.
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Re: Invest 94L East of Windwards-Discussions-Analysis & Imagery

#399 Postby wzrgirl1 » Wed Aug 29, 2007 8:06 pm

yep persistent little sucker.....will it be a boy or a girl....hmmm...i think we will know by late in the weekend
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#400 Postby jaxfladude » Wed Aug 29, 2007 8:16 pm

Emmett_Brown wrote:I dont think the track for this one will be as straight forward as the models indicate. A fly in the ointment could be 95L. 95L looks like it will be hanging around for a while, just meandering off the SE coast. If 95L fights off the shear and dry air long enough to deepen a bit, it could cause a weakness that influences steering for 94L.


Great Scott!!!
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