CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[k4sdi]

Like my Grandma always said, Most Hurricanes that touch FL have touched Herbert's Box. Most 'canes that touch Herbert's Box don't touch FL.

[Evil Jeremy]

South Fl news channels are doing hourly updates on Dean

Are you serious?!?!?!?!?

SOuth FLorida news, especially channel 7 likes to overdue things...Its there job.

thats the sad truth.

[Weatherfreak14]

I think what argues for some adjustment of the track more north or northwest through time is climatology. It would be unusual for a storm that formed at this latitude so far east to be a caribbean runner without recurving at some point. There are exceptions but they are few.

It's not just climatology, you have the storm moving further north than the models are even initialized at. .5-.7N to begin with can change your path pretty significantly this far out.

As was said before East coast not out of this threat yet... Evryone from the islands, to mexico to even as far north as NC should moniter this beast closely.

[Bgator]

Channel 7 is by far the worst, they use weird alliterations, and make all there story names rhyme, its quite funny...but back to Dean.

[DESTRUCTION5]

Euro loop:
http://tinyurl.com/ypdspq

LOL..Sends hime thru Mex to wack the Baja...Come on now..

[Sanibel]

Suggesting veer as much as 10 degrees N of forecast track.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

EURO is till way south!!!! Thanks for the animation. Got to animante the surface and 500.

[ConvergenceZone]

EURO is till way south!!!! Thanks for the animation. Got to animante the surface and 500.

EURO is obviously on some kinda crack....

[Scorpion]

Looks like an eye?

[Blown Away]

South Fl news channels are doing hourly updates on Dean

Are you serious?!?!?!?!?

OMG, that is terrible.

[Agua]

Has any hurricane gone through it, and not hit the FLA peninsula?

You need to think about what the postulate of the box is. It says that any hurricane making landfall as a major in south Florida, ~ 9 times out of 10, goes through the box. It does not say everything that goes through the box hits florida. There's a difference between the two concepts.

[Extremeweatherguy]

hourly updates on a storm that isn't even a hurricane yet and is currently not forecasted to hit south Florida (and even if it did it would be 5 days down the road..at least)?? That is pathetic.

[Aquawind]

Maybe the intensities have been underdone. This kind of movement was not forecasted at all and will affect the forecast path.. Gimme Recon...lol I know tomorrow.. ugh

[caneseddy]

hourly updates on a storm that isn't even a hurricane yet and is currently not forecasted to hit south Florida (and even if it did it would be 5 days down the road..at least)?? That is pathetic.

Sad but true; but we are used to it down here in South Florida from past experience; just wait till Friday and the weekend..this is just the beginning

[Aquawind]

Foretunately they are sane over here on the SW Florida coast.. Those big city folk are crazy..

[Canelaw99]

hourly updates on a storm that isn't even a hurricane yet and is currently not forecasted to hit south Florida (and even if it did it would be 5 days down the road..at least)?? That is pathetic.

I haven't seen one of the hourly updates yet (watching Law & Order instead), but you have to keep in mind that a lot of people in S FL are from the islands and/or have family there. Not saying that's why they're updating so much already, but it could be.....

[windstorm99]

It this storm moves WNW it might miss the islands all together...If you extrapolate out its daytime trajectory it will go north of there.

[Brent]

South Fl news channels are doing hourly updates on Dean

ALREADY???

Ya'll aren't even in the cone yet...

and FWIW... this is not gonna miss the islands to the north, and I really don't see this going so far north to hit FL. Nothing is certain but it looks highly unlikely. I think this is Caribbean bound for sure and will be there for days.

[Scorpion]

This is not missing the islands but may hit the northern Leewards

[caneseddy]

Maybe the intensities have been underdone. This kind of movement was not forecasted at all and will affect the forecast path.. Gimme Recon...lol I know tomorrow.. ugh

Right now, there is no recon plane out there or NOAA jet to sample the atmosphere around, so of course the models are going by satellite and what they have from the metorological data.

I remember last year everyone was saying Ernesto was a straight shot into the Gulf; then the NOAA jet flew in and all of a sudden the track shifted towards South Florida after sampling the atmosphere.

Patience, Saturday we will have a very good idea of where Dean will go..who knows, with our luck it may just turn away from the islands (hoping it does, but knowing its not likely)