CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

#2601 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:03 am

Bgator · #2602 Postby **Bgator** » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:03 am

Still moving westerly through 84 hours, this may hit the Yucatan. :o

oyster_reef · #2603 Postby **oyster_reef** » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:04 am

GFS has been VERY consistent the past 24hrs...

vacanechaser · #2604 Postby **vacanechaser** » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:04 am

Ivanhater wrote:Still a little weakness over southwest Florida

the cutoff is certainly moving west too...

Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

ExBailbonds · #2605 Postby **ExBailbonds** » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:04 am

Sanibel · #2606 Postby **Sanibel** » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:05 am

GFS just went further south in the Caribbean.

(Fist) :darrow:

#2607 Postby **HURAKAN** » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:05 am

JUST WOW!!!

#2608 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:06 am

It's all going to depend on how Amplified the trough will be. If it's an Amplified trough, that may help determine, how intense the ULL is.

#2609 Postby **deltadog03** » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:06 am

What direction do most of yall think this is currently going? Like run a short loop of the vis or whatever

#2610 Postby **Pearl River** » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:07 am

JMHO, but I believe this GFS run is going to plow into Belize.

Bgator · #2611 Postby **Bgator** » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:07 am

Eyewall is forming for sure. This storm looks gooood. :double:

#2612 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:07 am

That image is old from 9:45 UTC.

#2613 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:07 am

Opal storm · #2614 Postby **Opal storm** » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:08 am

Wow...looks due West.

#2615 Postby **KFDM Meteorologist** » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:08 am

Bgator · #2616 Postby **Bgator** » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:08 am

Sure does look like its going to go right into C. America.

#2617 Postby **Ivanhater** » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:08 am

Opal storm wrote:Wow...looks due West.

Yep

#2618 Postby **hial2** » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:09 am

Pearl River wrote:JMHO, but I believe this GFS run is going to plow into Belize.

From what i've read from the pro mets,GFS is not a very reliable model,right??

#2619 Postby **deltadog03** » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:09 am

actually that would suggest to me a eastern gom threat with that H5 pattern!

PTrackerLA · #2620 Postby **PTrackerLA** » Wed Aug 15, 2007 11:09 am

Alot further south than last run, I say Belize.