Tropical Depression TEN: Model Runs

Stratosphere747 · #221 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:35 am

Wheeee...

First 12hrs of the GFS..

Stratosphere747 · #222 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:37 am

Does have a low near the location of the present ULL.

Wx_Warrior · #223 Postby **Wx_Warrior** » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:37 am

I say a Texas run on this one...

Stratosphere747 · #224 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:39 am

#225 Postby **Ivanhater** » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:41 am

Wx_Warrior wrote:I say a Texas run on this one...

Doubt it with the upper air pattern...

Stratosphere747 · #226 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:42 am

I'm iffy on the process, but this latest run seems to suggest that the ULL will eventually become the surface low.

#227 Postby **Ivanhater** » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:43 am

Stratosphere747 wrote:I'm iffy on the process, but this latest run seems to suggest that the ULL will eventually become the surface low.

I was noticing that with the 12NAM as well

Stratosphere747 · #228 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:43 am

#229 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:43 am

42 hours surface

Stronger

200mb

Moderate trending to light shear

hcane27 · #230 Postby **hcane27** » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:45 am

latest 500 mb portion of the 12z GFS appears to point to a northern Gulf ... between FWB and NOLA

#231 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:47 am

Wx_Warrior · #232 Postby **Wx_Warrior** » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:48 am

Sweet home Alabama?

#233 Postby **Ivanhater** » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:49 am

Im not liking the movement...wsw across Florida then a turn toward the NW...gives it time to spin up

frederic79 · #234 Postby **frederic79** » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:55 am

A track similar to Katrina without the intensity.

Stratosphere747 · #235 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:56 am

Lol...

This run is fantastic!

#236 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:56 am

wiggles · #237 Postby **wiggles** » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:57 am

What is that coming into the gulf on the last run posted

#238 Postby **storms in NC** » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:58 am

frederic79 wrote:A track similar to Katrina without the intensity.

Models have been missing the intensity this year. Felix for one.

oyster_reef · #239 Postby **oyster_reef** » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:58 am

check out the low pinching off the coast of Yucatan... headed north.

#240 Postby **Ivanhater** » Wed Sep 19, 2007 10:59 am

Models coming into agreement it seems...North central Gulfcoast...Crappy weekend it seems