Tropical Depression GABRIELLE:Discussions and Images

[HURAKAN]

Wonder if this storm is the reason why the labor & delivery area at the hospital was booming today....so I have to wait and see if I can be induced tomorrow. I had to call every 3hrs today and nada...she said they were delivering in triage they were so full and so unexpected.

Please: Discussion is in here: viewtopic.php?f=59&t=97781&p=1624818#p1624818

[NCWeatherChic]

Is it possible for Gabby to become at Cat 1 before Sunday nights estimated landfall? And, I was thinking it would be closer to landfall between Myrtle Beach SC and Wilmington, NC? Any thoughts?

[MiamiensisWx]

A friendly reminder:

We could fill 1,000 pages with one-liners, chat, and greetings to a non-human entity. We could continue our model speculation with no facts to support them. I'm blunt, but it's the truth. We should restrain ourselves, folks. Please stop the one-liners per each second. I cannot get any constructive analyses. I can't read the thread!!! We should relax our fingers.

I'll get off my soapbox. I saw the posts in the old 99L thread.

[CrazyC83]

What will Gabrielle be called if it reaches hurricane intensity and is still subtropical?

[ConvergenceZone]

I'm losing my interest in this one. Yea, it will probably be a weak to moderate tropical storm upon landfall, but half the enjoyment is not knowing how strong it will be and also watching a beautiful storm spin up. I'd prefer watching a decent sized hurricane, just turning before it hit the shoreline, so that it stayed off shore, that would be much more enjoyable...Frustrating storms like this don't do it for me, but I know others enjoy it ..nonetheless, I'll tune into the board a couple of times over the weekend to see if NC is getting some much needed rain...

[storms in NC]

don't most women take there time LOL Oh no put my self down cause I be one too.

[fasterdisaster]

Is it possible for Gabby to become at Cat 1 before Sunday nights estimated landfall? And, I was thinking it would be closer to landfall between Myrtle Beach SC and Wilmington, NC? Any thoughts?

Yes I do think it's possible and the NHC is being fairly conservative with their forecast. But it is because they are assuming it to be subtropical for another whole day, when it could possibly be so for only 12 hours or so.

[Bane]

tropical storm watch from edisto beach, sc to oregon inlet, nc

[Chacor]

What will Gabrielle be called if it reaches hurricane intensity and is still subtropical?

Subtropical Storm.

[fasterdisaster]

What will Gabrielle be called if it reaches hurricane intensity and is still subtropical?

I think I've read that's an impossibility, and 60 to 65 mph is the maximum possibility for a still subtropical storm.

[Recurve]

WeatherChick, just the typical thoughts here -- don't focus on an exact point of landfall three or two days out, be prepared for it coming to you if you're in the cone, and plan for one category higher than forecast. Even tropical storms can throw out a mess of tornadoes and produce flash floods.

The pros (NHC and the mets here) are the only one's I'd listen to for track guidance.

[ConvergenceZone]

Is it possible for Gabby to become at Cat 1 before Sunday nights estimated landfall? And, I was thinking it would be closer to landfall between Myrtle Beach SC and Wilmington, NC? Any thoughts?

Yes I do think it's possible and the NHC is being fairly conservative with their forecast. But it is because they are assuming it to be subtropical for another whole day, when it could possibly be so for only 12 hours or so.

I don't know about that, mets on here even mentioned this today said weak to moderate tropical storm upon landfall..

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

If I remember right if a subtropical system reachs hurricane strength it is called a hurricane. In really that kind of wind in a subtropical system is very rare. I'm not really sure about this.

[fasterdisaster]

Is it possible for Gabby to become at Cat 1 before Sunday nights estimated landfall? And, I was thinking it would be closer to landfall between Myrtle Beach SC and Wilmington, NC? Any thoughts?

Yes I do think it's possible and the NHC is being fairly conservative with their forecast. But it is because they are assuming it to be subtropical for another whole day, when it could possibly be so for only 12 hours or so.

I don't know about that, mets on here even mentioned this today said weak to moderate tropical storm upon landfall..

That was before this was suddenly initialized as a 45 mph storm.

[Chacor]

Check HURDAT. Subtropical Storm 1 in 1968 and 1979 were both called STSes, at hurricane strength of 70 and 65 kt respectively.

Also, in the NHC's glossary, there is no upper wind speed limit for subtropical storms.

[jimvb]

Logically if a subtropical storm gets winds exceeding 74 mph, it should be called a subhurricane. But my guess is that it is just simply called a hurricane.

[fasterdisaster]

Check HURDAT. Subtropical Storm 1 in 1968 and 1979 were both called STSes, at hurricane strength of 70 and 65 kt respectively.

Also, in the NHC's glossary, there is no upper wind speed limit for subtropical storms.

Actually it was me who said that, sorry, I thought I read it somewhere but I was wrong.

[Bane]

here is an historical perspective of storms that have formed near gabrielle. the map is courtesy of weatherunderground.

[NCWeatherChic]

WeatherChick, just the typical thoughts here -- don't focus on an exact point of landfall three or two days out, be prepared for it coming to you if you're in the cone, and plan for one category higher than forecast. Even tropical storms can throw out a mess of tornadoes and produce flash floods.

The pros (NHC and the mets here) are the only one's I'd listen to for track guidance.

I suppose you are right...I guess I am antsy as I was to be induced today and the L&D floor was booming and the nurses I spoke to said they never have that many babies being born without a storm of some sort right on us or a full moon. They were delivering in triage it was so messed up. I called every 3hrs today and now to start over tomorrow morning at 10am and hope to get in and then get out before Gabby comes just in case she is stronger than expected. I certainly don't want to deliver at home!!! (Where's that epidural?)

Thanks,
Angela

[Bane]

WeatherChick, just the typical thoughts here -- don't focus on an exact point of landfall three or two days out, be prepared for it coming to you if you're in the cone, and plan for one category higher than forecast. Even tropical storms can throw out a mess of tornadoes and produce flash floods.

The pros (NHC and the mets here) are the only one's I'd listen to for track guidance.

I suppose you are right...I guess I am antsy as I was to be induced today and the L&D floor was booming and the nurses I spoke to said they never have that many babies being born without a storm of some sort right on us or a full moon. They were delivering in triage it was so messed up. I called every 3hrs today and now to start over tomorrow morning at 10am and hope to get in and then get out before Gabby comes just in case she is stronger than expected. I certainly don't want to deliver at home!!! (Where's that epidural?)

Thanks,
Angela

last october, my wife and i went through the same thing. it took 18 hours to get her into the hospital.