INVEST 97L: Near Puerto Rico :Discussions & Images

[Vortex]

Cycloneye,

You might be right as Barbados as of 11am had winds shift to the SW



87 °F / 30 °C
Mostly Cloudy
Humidity: 60%
Dew Point: 75 °F / 24 °C
Wind: 10 mph / 17 km/h / from the SW
Wind Gust: -
Pressure: 29.88 in / 1012 hPa
Visibility: 11.0 miles / 18.0 kilometers
Clouds: Scattered Clouds 1181 ft / 360 m
Scattered Clouds 1575 ft / 480 m
Mostly Cloudy 29528 ft / 9000 m
(Above Ground Level)

[marcane_1973]

Has alot of work to do but....it's still hanging on. I really think with the shear to the west of 97L this invest could be the one to go POOF. The other 2 have a pretty solid chance becoming named storms.

[Gustywind]

Cycloneye,

You might be right as Barbados as of 11am had winds shift to the SW



87 °F / 30 °C
Mostly Cloudy
Humidity: 60%
Dew Point: 75 °F / 24 °C
Wind: 10 mph / 17 km/h / from the SW
Wind Gust: -
Pressure: 29.88 in / 1012 hPa
Visibility: 11.0 miles / 18.0 kilometers
Clouds: Scattered Clouds 1181 ft / 360 m
Scattered Clouds 1575 ft / 480 m
Mostly Cloudy 29528 ft / 9000 m
(Above Ground Level)

SW winds....meaning on a NW course??!, it will pass north of Barbados?!

[Chacor]

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED
IN THE VICINITY OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE NOT WELL-ORGANIZED AT THIS TIME....
BUT THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS LOW TO BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT
ABOUT 15 MPH. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING SQUALLY WEATHER TO
PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND LEEWARD ISLANDS TODAY AND TOMORROW.
INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

$$

FORECASTER PASCH

[gatorcane]

NHC still bullish.

System is moving NW just like the GFDL suggests. If the GFDL is right, this won't really get going for about 24-48 hours.

Notice that folks -- movement is NW at 15mph...its gaining lattitude and probably would not be a Caribbean storm if this continues.

Also note the GFDL and BAMS bend it back WNW in about 3 days so probably not going fishing with this one.

[Sanibel]

If 97L gets strong it should, theoretically, steer the possible 96L hurricane more north and keep it weaker. BUT it is possible that the 96L hurricane could keep the 97L storm further west and towards you know what (ala CMC).

[cycloneye]

The Latest Closeup View.

[gatorcane]

Luis its definitely looking more impressive this morning but STILL largely unorganized.....

[Gustywind]

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... Tagant.jpg

[Sanibel]

Looks like a divide still exists there for the dry, sheared Atlantic environment Ingrid encountered. 97L is entering it and responding accordingly with dry convection and weakness. That little swirl at 15N-48W is interesting in how it will affect either 96L or 97L.

[cycloneye]

[TampaFl]

Radar link for the Islands/Martinique - Guadeloupe:


http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antilles/pack-public/animation/animMOSAIC2.html

[Vortex]

Here's the martinique radar...

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... SAIC2.html

[cycloneye]

The Latest Closeup View at 15:45 UTC.

[Vortex]

Barbados at noon is reprting wsw winds at 17. Definetely a closed circulation....


86 °F / 30 °C
Mostly Cloudy
Humidity: 74%
Dew Point: 77 °F / 25 °C
Wind: 17 mph / 28 km/h / 7.7 m/s from the WSW
Pressure: 29.86 in / 1011 hPa (Falling)

[Vortex]

Martinique has NNE winds at Noon...LLC appears to be ese of martinique and wnw of Barbados under the deep convection forming..

Observed at: Le Lamentin, MR
Elevation: 13 ft / 4 m

88 °F / 31 °C
Mostly Cloudy
Humidity: 70%
Dew Point: 77 °F / 25 °C
Wind: 9 mph / 15 km/h / 4.1 m/s from the NNE
Pressure: 29.89 in / 1012 hPa (Falling)
Heat Index: 100 °F / 38 °C
Visibility: 5.0 miles / 8.0 kilometers
UV: 9 out of 16
Clouds: Few 1300 ft / 396 m
Mostly Cloudy 1800 ft / 548 m
(Above Ground Level)

[BigA]

Latest radar image looks fairly decent, if there is a spin (hard to tell) Looks to me like an organizing tropical low, but becuase most organizing tropical lows are far from land, it is hard to tell what an organizing tropical low looks like on radar.

[Vortex]

Dominica at noon has winds out of the WNW


Disable Rapid Fire — About Rapid Fire
Observed at: Canefield, DO
Elevation: 16 ft / 5 m

88 °F / 31 °C
Scattered Clouds
Humidity: 66%
Dew Point: 75 °F / 24 °C
Wind: 4 mph / 6 km/h / 1.5 m/s from the WNW
Pressure: 29.89 in / 1012 hPa (Falling)
Heat Index: 98 °F / 36 °C
Visibility: 6.2 miles / 10.0 kilometers
UV: 14 out of 16
Clouds: Scattered Clouds 1900 ft / 579 m
Scattered Clouds 26000 ft / 7924 m
(Above Ground Level)

[Gustywind]

Barbados at noon is reprting wsw winds at 17. Definetely a closed circulation....


86 °F / 30 °C
Mostly Cloudy
Humidity: 74%
Dew Point: 77 °F / 25 °C
Wind: 17 mph / 28 km/h / 7.7 m/s from the WSW
Pressure: 29.86 in / 1011 hPa (Falling)

Absolutely ....organizing , it will pass north of Barbados...churning near Martiniqua or Dominica tonight!
.

[Vortex]

radar from martinique at of 1600 utc shows the developing center about 30 miles ese of Martinique moving wnw....