Invest 98L,Central Atlantic

[rjgator]

It was almost nothing yesterday whats for tomorrow ?????

[gatorcane]

Folks patience on this one. I think it will develop but it will take a couple of days. Look at all the moisture it still has with it.
This one will track a bit farther north than Felix and could be a player to watch for the islands/US down the road given where it is developing and the steering patterns.

Locals in South Florida are already talking some about it -- although it is way too early to say what it is going to do.

Check out this water vapor loop:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/loop-wv.html

[Buck]

gatorcane is right... not much convection, but plenty of moisture. Convection will build and stay when the environment is better.

[RL3AO]

I can't believe some of you have called this one dead. Unreal.

[jhamps10]

yeah if we don't see any convection form at all overnight, then I'd call it dead, but it is getting ready to slowly move into more favorable territory and would help it develop.

[rjgator]

Where is the 10:30 TWO?

[HURAKAN]

I can't believe some of you have called this one dead. Unreal.

It's always the same story. I guess people don't learn and don't realize this is September, anything can happen.

From almost nothing to a depression to a hurricane in 48 hrs. Just ask Félix.

[cycloneye]

Where is the 10:30 TWO?

After they put out all the advisory products for Felix,then they will release it.

[KatDaddy]

This time of year nothing should be written off. The tropics can change quickly. Felix is a prime example.

[rjgator]

Where is the 10:30 TWO?

After they put out all the advisory products for Felix,then they will release it.

Thanks Cycloneye

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT SAT SEP 1 2007

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON
RECENTLY-UPGRADED HURRICANE FELIX...LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES
EAST-NORTHEAST OF BONAIRE.

A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN AFRICA AND THE
LESSER ANTILLES IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THIS
SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION THIS EVENING...AND THERE
IS STILL THE POTENTIAL FOR IT TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[cycloneye]

Umm,despite the horrible appearance tonight,they still see it developing down the road.

[gatorcane]

Luis not surprising. Like I said earlier up this page it has PLENTY of moisture to work with -- just give it time. It should be our next headache

[HurricaneMaster_PR]

People, prepare for the Diurnal Maximum..In my personal opinion this disturbance will make its act together once it reaches better atmospheric conditions,that is, west of 45W.

[skysummit]

By the direction the broad LLC is moving tonight, if it keeps this up, it's gonna be WAAAAAY south.

[HURAKAN]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/sloop-vis.html

Convection begins to develop and the LLC is very visible.

[cycloneye]

Something interesting is that as it moves Westsouthwest,and yes,it will reach the same latitud of Dean and what was the disturbance that gave birth to Felix.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The subtropical high is pushing it into its favorable zone. Anything north of 13-14 north up to 60 west won't have a good shot of developing. The more it gets inline the better its shot is. I expect to develop if it does so.

[skysummit]

Whoa...could we be looking at a triple shot down the road? Man, that would suck if Felix hit the same area as Dean, and then comes Gabby.

[HURAKAN]

Whoa...could we be looking at a triple shot down the road? Man, that would suck if Felix hit the same area as Dean, and then comes Gabby.

May be triple for now. The rest of the season only God knows.