CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[Brent]

HURRICANE DEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
1500 UTC WED AUG 22 2007

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE HURRICANE WARNING EAST OF COATZACOALCOS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM COATZACOALCOS
NORTHWARD TO LA CRUZ. PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM NORTH OF LA CRUZ TO BAHIA ALGODONES.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 96.3W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
50 KT.......120NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.
34 KT.......175NE 120SE 90SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 225SE 75SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 96.3W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 95.5W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 21.2N 98.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...120NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...175NE 100SE 60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 21.3N 101.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 96.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN




296
WTNT34 KNHC 221439
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
1000 AM CDT WED AUG 22 2007

...DEAN REACHES CATEGORY TWO STRENGTH...LANDFALL EXPECTED WITHIN A
FEW HOURS...

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE HURRICANE WARNING EAST OF COATZACOALCOS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM COATZACOALCOS
NORTHWARD TO LA CRUZ. PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM NORTH OF LA CRUZ TO BAHIA ALGODONES.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.3 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES...
155 KM...NORTH OF VERACRUZ MEXICO AND ABOUT 75 MILES...125 KM...
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL LANDFALL. ON THIS
TRACK...DEAN IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR TUXPAN
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 100
MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ONLY A SMALL AMOUNT OF
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200
MILES...325 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...NEAR AND
TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

DEAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MEXICO...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
UP TO 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. ABOUT FOUR INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN
VERACRUZ DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS.

REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION...20.6 N...96.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 100 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400
PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/MAINELLI



620
WTNT44 KNHC 221439
TCDAT4
HURRICANE DEAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
1100 AM EDT WED AUG 22 2007

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING DEAN
IS FINDING FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS OF CLOSE TO 100 KT...AND RECENT
OBSERVATIONS ARE SHOWING A CONTRACTION OF THE INNER CORE WIND
FIELD. A DROPSONDE ABOUT 20 NMI NORTH OF THE CENTER RECENTLY
REPORTED A WL150...I.E. LOW-LEVEL...MEAN WIND OF 100 KT...
CORRESPONDING TO 85 KT AT THE SURFACE. ON THIS BASIS...THE
ADVISORY INTENSITY IS INCREASED TO 85 KT...MAKING DEAN A CATEGORY
TWO HURRICANE. FORTUNATELY...THESE CHANGES IN THE CORE STRUCTURE
ARE OCCURRING TOO CLOSE TO LANDFALL TO ALLOW FOR MUCH FURTHER
INTENSIFICATION.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS ABOUT THE SAME...285/16. THERE HAS BEEN NO
CHANGE IN THE TRACK FORECAST THINKING...AND DEAN IS EXPECTED TO
MAKE LANDFALL WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS NEAR TUXPAN.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 22/1500Z 20.6N 96.3W 85 KT
12HR VT 23/0000Z 21.2N 98.6W 65 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 23/1200Z 21.3N 101.6W 25 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 24/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/MAINELLI

[Brent]

AT 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.3 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES...
155 KM...NORTH OF VERACRUZ MEXICO AND ABOUT 75 MILES...125 KM...
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO.

REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION...20.6 N...96.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB.

[Category 5]

000
WTNT34 KNHC 221439
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
1000 AM CDT WED AUG 22 2007

...DEAN REACHES CATEGORY TWO STRENGTH...LANDFALL EXPECTED WITHIN A
FEW HOURS...

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED
THE HURRICANE WARNING EAST OF COATZACOALCOS. A HURRICANE WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM COATZACOALCOS
NORTHWARD TO LA CRUZ. PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA
SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM NORTH OF LA CRUZ TO BAHIA ALGODONES.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.3 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES...
155 KM...NORTH OF VERACRUZ MEXICO AND ABOUT 75 MILES...125 KM...
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TUXPAN MEXICO.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL LANDFALL. ON THIS
TRACK...DEAN IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR TUXPAN
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NOW NEAR 100
MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ONLY A SMALL AMOUNT OF
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200
MILES...325 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...NEAR AND
TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

DEAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MEXICO...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
UP TO 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. ABOUT FOUR INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN IN
VERACRUZ DURING THE LAST SIX HOURS.

REPEATING THE 1000 AM CDT POSITION...20.6 N...96.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 100 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400
PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/MAINELLI

[HenkL]

000
URNT15 KNHC 221440
AF301 1704A DEAN HDOB 34 20070822
143030 2036N 09552W 6973 02997 9922 +062 +062 167084 086 999 999 03
143100 2035N 09553W 6965 03000 9909 +066 +066 169081 084 999 999 03
143130 2035N 09555W 6962 02996 9895 +070 +070 169073 076 999 999 03
143200 2035N 09557W 6971 02976 9854 +094 +094 172062 063 999 999 03
143230 2035N 09559W 6968 02971 9838 +098 +098 166055 058 999 999 03
143300 2035N 09601W 6969 02972 9815 +118 +118 167048 049 999 999 03
143330 2035N 09602W 6971 02959 9783 +138 +110 157055 058 999 999 03
143400 2035N 09604W 6977 02944 9781 +132 +122 161051 058 999 999 03
143430 2035N 09606W 6953 02969 9819 +096 +096 147052 059 999 999 03
143500 2035N 09608W 6972 02942 9818 +094 +094 141044 054 999 999 03
143530 2034N 09610W 6966 02946 9811 +096 +096 146033 037 999 999 03
143600 2034N 09612W 6963 02948 9807 +098 +098 143019 021 999 999 03
143630 2034N 09614W 6972 02938 9795 +108 +108 144018 021 999 999 03
143700 2034N 09616W 6968 02945 9776 +124 +124 157014 015 999 999 03
143730 2033N 09618W 6968 02943 9782 +118 +118 192009 010 999 999 03
143800 2033N 09619W 6966 02943 9761 +136 +108 195012 015 999 999 03
143830 2033N 09621W 6970 02936 9760 +136 +108 192016 018 999 999 03
143900 2033N 09623W 6967 02938 9758 +136 +098 194016 017 999 999 03
143930 2033N 09625W 6967 02935 9755 +136 +100 197015 015 999 999 03
144000 2034N 09626W 6968 02931 9749 +138 +102 190015 015 999 999 03
$$

[HenkL]

000
URNT15 KNHC 221450
AF301 1704A DEAN HDOB 35 20070822
144030 2034N 09628W 6967 02928 9738 +144 +104 199011 011 999 999 03
144100 2035N 09630W 6969 02921 9733 +142 +114 173006 012 999 999 03
144130 2035N 09632W 6969 02917 9736 +134 +134 064009 013 999 999 03
144200 2036N 09633W 6962 02926 9741 +130 +130 038023 029 999 999 03
144230 2037N 09634W 6918 02980 9724 +142 +126 047040 046 999 999 03
144300 2039N 09635W 6924 02982 9739 +140 +118 055056 059 999 999 03
144330 2040N 09636W 6937 02976 9748 +142 +112 056062 064 999 999 03
144400 2042N 09637W 6930 02994 9761 +138 +118 058066 068 999 999 03
144430 2043N 09637W 6935 02994 9770 +138 +110 061067 068 999 999 03
144500 2045N 09638W 6932 03006 9779 +138 +110 062064 065 999 999 03
144530 2046N 09639W 6935 03008 9785 +138 +110 057066 068 999 999 03
144600 2048N 09640W 6934 03015 9790 +140 +106 054071 072 999 999 03
144630 2049N 09641W 6931 03024 9801 +136 +100 058072 074 999 999 03
144700 2051N 09641W 6935 03026 9816 +130 +096 058076 077 999 999 03
144730 2052N 09642W 6932 03035 9828 +126 +088 057079 081 999 999 03
144800 2053N 09643W 6935 03039 9837 +126 +080 056082 084 999 999 03
144830 2055N 09644W 6930 03052 9841 +130 +070 054084 086 999 999 03
144900 2056N 09645W 6933 03055 9847 +130 +078 048075 077 999 999 03
144930 2058N 09645W 6935 03060 9859 +126 +084 047073 074 999 999 03
145000 2059N 09646W 6935 03063 9863 +126 +078 048074 074 999 999 03
$$


000
URNT12 KNHC 221452
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 22/14:40:50Z
B. 20 deg 35 min N
096 deg 31 min W
C. 700 mb 2881 m
D. 75 kt
E. 88 deg 056 nm
F. 166 deg 086 kt
G. 089 deg 037 nm
H. 975 mb
I. 6 C/ 3058 m
J. 15 C/ 3044 m
K. 10 C/ NA
L. OPEN S-W
M. C17
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.12 / 02 nm
P. AF301 1704A DEAN OB 22
MAX FL WIND 97 KT NW QUAD 13:08:10 Z
MAX FL TEMP 16 C, 90 / 26NM

[HenkL]

000
UZNT13 KNHC 221454
XXAA 72157 99206 70965 08206 99975 27407 32518 00726 ///// /////
92467 24801 02023 85209 21611 35514 70879 14010 08004 88999 77999
31313 09608 81440
61616 AF301 1704A DEAN OB 23
62626 EYE SPL 2057N09653W 1445 MBL WND 01519 AEV 00000 DLM WND 00
517 975725 WL150 35518 075 =
XXBB 72158 99206 70965 08206 00975 27407 11850 21611 22728 15205
33708 15409 44697 13410
21212 00975 32518 11961 36019 22949 00519 33935 02015 44927 02023
55909 02017 66887 02015 77873 00519 88850 35514 99817 36015 11804
34515 22697 09505
31313 09608 81440
61616 AF301 1704A DEAN OB 23
62626 EYE SPL 2057N09653W 1445 MBL WND 01519 AEV 00000 DLM WND 00
517 975725 WL150 35518 075 =

[bigGbear]

Squall line heading for McAllen and also curving up towards Laredo.
Increasing convection offshore well north of storm center.

On a different topic, does anyone know what happened to skeetobiteweather.com.
They have been down for nearly a day.

[HenkL]

000
URNT15 KNHC 221500
AF301 1704A DEAN HDOB 36 20070822
145030 2100N 09647W 6928 03077 9871 +124 +076 047071 073 999 999 03
145100 2102N 09648W 6936 03075 9893 +112 +086 050068 069 999 999 03
145130 2103N 09648W 6933 03084 9899 +112 +086 051067 068 999 999 03
145200 2105N 09649W 6931 03091 9911 +106 +090 054068 069 999 999 03
145230 2106N 09650W 6934 03097 9924 +104 +092 054063 065 999 999 03
145300 2107N 09651W 6935 03100 9929 +104 +088 056063 063 999 999 03
145330 2109N 09652W 6932 03109 9934 +106 +082 055064 065 999 999 03
145400 2110N 09652W 6934 03111 9943 +102 +084 058064 065 999 999 03
145430 2112N 09653W 6931 03118 9952 +098 +086 059062 062 999 999 03
145500 2113N 09654W 6933 03120 9959 +096 +086 060061 062 999 999 03
145530 2115N 09655W 6932 03125 9963 +096 +086 059059 059 999 999 03
145600 2116N 09656W 6932 03127 9965 +096 +086 059059 059 999 999 03
145630 2115N 09658W 6933 03122 9961 +096 +088 054056 057 999 999 03
145700 2113N 09659W 6931 03124 9961 +096 +086 051056 057 999 999 03
145730 2112N 09657W 6937 03121 9965 +096 +086 053057 058 999 999 03
145800 2111N 09656W 6933 03121 9958 +098 +084 050060 062 999 999 03
145830 2109N 09656W 6931 03120 9945 +106 +080 046063 064 999 999 03
145900 2107N 09655W 6935 03109 9937 +106 +082 046063 064 999 999 03
145930 2106N 09654W 6932 03107 9935 +102 +088 045062 063 999 999 03
150000 2104N 09653W 6933 03100 9935 +096 +096 048061 063 999 999 03
$$

[tolakram]

I'd say less than an hour from landfall.




Colder tops than when Dean was a cat5.

[Sanibel]

Good solid, round CDO burst with black IR on approach. Should have some punch at landfall on Tuxpan.

[HenkL]

000
URNT15 KNHC 221510
AF301 1704A DEAN HDOB 37 20070822
150030 2102N 09652W 6933 03093 9923 +100 +094 047064 065 999 999 03
150100 2100N 09651W 6932 03087 9904 +110 +086 046068 071 999 999 03
150130 2059N 09651W 6938 03069 9893 +110 +088 043074 078 999 999 03
150200 2057N 09650W 6930 03072 9879 +114 +086 041077 080 999 999 03
150230 2055N 09649W 6934 03061 9860 +126 +076 044078 081 999 999 03
150300 2053N 09648W 6931 03055 9852 +124 +078 048080 083 999 999 03
150330 2052N 09647W 6933 03044 9839 +126 +082 049079 079 999 999 03
150400 2050N 09647W 6934 03033 9828 +126 +090 048076 076 999 999 03
150430 2048N 09646W 6930 03029 9815 +128 +094 046074 074 999 999 03
150500 2046N 09645W 6933 03019 9807 +128 +100 044070 073 999 999 03
150530 2045N 09644W 6934 03012 9793 +134 +106 046062 064 999 999 03
150600 2043N 09643W 6931 03010 9783 +138 +106 045056 056 999 999 03
150630 2041N 09642W 6932 03002 9770 +144 +094 040058 060 999 999 03
150700 2039N 09642W 6935 02990 9760 +144 +106 043054 057 999 999 03
150730 2038N 09640W 6933 02986 9753 +144 +106 050043 046 999 999 03
150800 2037N 09639W 6932 02983 9749 +144 +104 053038 039 999 999 03
150830 2035N 09638W 6932 02979 9739 +150 +092 057036 037 999 999 03
150900 2034N 09637W 6933 02973 9735 +150 +088 058036 036 999 999 03
150930 2032N 09637W 6936 02964 9731 +146 +106 053029 034 999 999 03
151000 2030N 09635W 6932 02964 9723 +146 +122 035013 020 999 999 03
$$

[HenkL]

000
URNT15 KNHC 221520
AF301 1704A DEAN HDOB 38 20070822
151030 2029N 09634W 6932 02967 9716 +156 +120 298004 008 999 999 03
151100 2028N 09632W 6935 02970 9728 +150 +126 223007 008 999 999 03
151130 2029N 09631W 6931 02976 9742 +140 +116 178017 021 999 999 03
151200 2031N 09631W 6936 02974 9735 +152 +104 124024 026 999 999 03
151230 2033N 09630W 6932 02982 9743 +150 +090 114028 028 999 999 03
151300 2035N 09630W 6932 02984 9749 +146 +094 112026 028 999 999 03
151330 2037N 09630W 6932 02986 9751 +146 +092 110027 030 999 999 03
151400 2038N 09629W 6932 02987 9746 +152 +086 117033 034 999 999 03
151430 2040N 09629W 6934 02988 9754 +148 +092 122031 033 999 999 03
151500 2042N 09629W 6932 02993 9753 +150 +104 116030 032 999 999 03
151530 2044N 09628W 6932 02998 9751 +156 +104 114036 037 999 999 03
151600 2046N 09628W 6928 03009 9760 +154 +100 120044 047 999 999 03
151630 2048N 09628W 6938 03001 9751 +168 +086 124043 045 999 999 03
151700 2050N 09627W 6938 03009 9762 +164 +100 112043 046 999 999 03
151730 2051N 09627W 6936 03012 9774 +152 +114 105050 053 999 999 03
151800 2053N 09627W 6929 03024 9786 +144 +114 108052 056 999 999 03
151830 2055N 09626W 6934 03025 9811 +130 +112 101061 063 999 999 03
151900 2057N 09626W 6933 03032 9825 +124 +106 102065 069 999 999 03
151930 2058N 09626W 6935 03037 9826 +132 +094 102068 073 999 999 03
152000 2100N 09626W 6929 03052 9861 +108 +094 111075 078 999 999 03
$$

[HenkL]

URNT12 KNHC 221521
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 22/15:10:00Z
B. 20 deg 30 min N
096 deg 35 min W
C. 700 mb 2883 m
D. NA kt
E. deg nm
F. 047 deg 083 kt
G. 331 deg 028 nm
H. EXTRAP 975 mb
I. 13 C/ 3087 m
J. 15 C/ 3090 m
K. 12 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.31 / nm
P. AF301 1704A DEAN OB 26
MAX FL WIND 94 KT N QUAD 13:57:10 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 700 MB
PRELIMINARY

[HenkL]

UZNT13 KNHC 221522
XXAA 72157 99205 70966 08206 99974 28214 25013 00738 ///// /////
92457 26217 24518 85204 23426 28006 70889 17856 27508 88999 77999
31313 09608 81510
61616 AF301 1704A DEAN OB 27
62626 EYE SPL 2048N09655W 1513 MBL WND 24516 AEV 00000 =
XXBB 72158 99205 70966 08206 00974 28214 11850 23426 22761 19223
33717 19457 44693 16856
21212 00974 25013 11955 23516 22928 24518 33881 24516 44864 24511
55850 28006 66817 30510 77799 27512 88785 28010 99746 24010 11693
27508
31313 09608 81510
61616 AF301 1704A DEAN OB 27
62626 EYE SPL 2048N09655W 1513 MBL WND 24516 AEV 00000 =

[JtSmarts]

Hopefully the lack of water keeps him from regaining Cat 3 strength.

[HenkL]

URNT15 KNHC 221530
AF301 1704A DEAN HDOB 39 20070822
152030 2102N 09625W 6935 03053 9879 +102 +090 116080 082 999 999 03
152100 2104N 09625W 6931 03067 9902 +092 +088 119083 084 999 999 03
152130 2106N 09625W 6932 03075 9917 +088 +086 118084 088 999 999 03
152200 2107N 09624W 6933 03082 9929 +086 +086 118078 078 999 999 03
152230 2109N 09624W 6933 03088 9935 +086 +086 122082 083 999 999 03
152300 2111N 09624W 6932 03099 9957 +078 +078 121085 085 999 999 03
152330 2113N 09623W 6939 03094 9986 +060 +060 120086 088 999 999 03
152400 2115N 09623W 6930 03112 9979 +070 +070 119084 086 999 999 03
152430 2117N 09623W 6931 03115 9988 +068 +068 120084 086 999 999 03
152500 2119N 09622W 6936 03117 9988 +074 +074 120082 084 999 999 03
152530 2121N 09622W 6932 03125 0003 +066 +066 121075 076 999 999 03
152600 2122N 09622W 6933 03127 0007 +066 +066 118074 078 999 999 03
152630 2124N 09621W 6934 03132 9997 +078 +078 116071 073 999 999 03
152700 2126N 09621W 6932 03137 0008 +072 +072 114073 073 999 999 03
152730 2128N 09621W 6934 03139 0002 +080 +080 110063 067 999 999 03
152800 2130N 09620W 6930 03149 9995 +090 +078 106061 063 999 999 03
152830 2131N 09620W 6937 03143 0001 +088 +076 107064 065 999 999 03
152900 2133N 09620W 6932 03151 0008 +084 +076 105061 062 999 999 03
152930 2135N 09619W 6932 03153 0018 +078 +076 104058 059 999 999 03
153000 2136N 09619W 6933 03153 0017 +080 +074 104060 061 999 999 03
$$

[HenkL]

000
UZNT13 KNHC 221535
XXAA 72157 99210 70964 08216 99993 25419 08571 00565 ///// /////
92618 20809 10607 85349 17409 11601 70991 10611 11581 88999 77999
31313 09608 81520
61616 AF301 1704A DEAN OB 28
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 2108N09652W 1524 MBL WND 09084 AEV 00000 DLM W
ND 11093 993717 WL150 08572 075 =
XXBB 72158 99210 70964 08216 00993 25419 11935 21005 22850 17409
33741 11811 44725 12431 55706 11815 66693 09406
21212 00993 08571 11986 08569 22980 08577 33969 09079 44955 09091
55943 09596 66935 10091 77924 10607 88884 11100 99877 11595 11867
11596 22859 11602 33850 11601 44693 11580
31313 09608 81520
61616 AF301 1704A DEAN OB 28
62626 MXWNDBND SPL 2108N09652W 1524 MBL WND 09084 AEV 00000 DLM W
ND 11093 993717 WL150 08572 075 =

[HenkL]

VDM corrected:

URNT12 KNHC 221521 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 22/15:10:00Z
B. 20 deg 30 min N
096 deg 35 min W
C. NA mb 2883 m
D. 45 kt
E. 328 deg 018 nm
F. 047 deg 083 kt
G. 331 deg 028 nm
H. 974 mb
I. 13 C/ 3087 m
J. 15 C/ 3090 m
K. 12 C/ NA
L. OPEN NE-SE
M. C18
N. 12345/07
O. 0.31 / 02 nm
P. AF301 1704A DEAN OB 26 CCA
MAX FL WIND 94 KT N QUAD 13:57:10 Z
MAX FL WIND OUTBOUND 88 KT NE QUAD 15:21:10 Z

[HenkL]

URNT15 KNHC 221540
AF301 1704A DEAN HDOB 40 20070822
153030 2138N 09619W 6933 03154 0021 +078 +074 105058 060 999 999 03
153100 2140N 09618W 6876 03219 0014 +076 +070 106054 055 999 999 03
153130 2142N 09618W 6727 03398 0001 +074 +054 105058 061 999 999 03
153200 2143N 09618W 6527 03650 9998 +064 +032 106061 062 999 999 03
153230 2145N 09617W 6329 03913 0011 +048 +022 108061 062 999 999 03
153300 2147N 09617W 6128 04181 0005 +038 +018 107065 067 999 999 03
153330 2149N 09617W 5933 04443 9999 +024 +010 105065 066 999 999 03
153400 2150N 09616W 5745 04705 9992 +012 +004 104066 068 999 999 03
153430 2152N 09616W 5571 04952 9990 -003 -003 104064 065 999 999 03
153500 2154N 09616W 5404 05197 0201 -009 -017 101069 070 999 999 03
153530 2156N 09615W 5252 05431 0221 -015 -031 102071 071 999 999 03
153600 2158N 09615W 5122 05633 0237 -029 -041 104073 074 999 999 03
153630 2159N 09615W 5003 05820 0251 -035 -055 106072 072 999 999 03
153700 2201N 09614W 4900 05988 0265 -039 -071 108069 070 999 999 03
153730 2203N 09614W 4793 06163 0279 -051 -081 107068 069 999 999 03
153800 2205N 09613W 4682 06348 0293 -057 -099 105069 069 999 999 03
153830 2207N 09613W 4584 06516 0307 -061 -117 104070 070 999 999 03
153900 2208N 09613W 4512 06642 0318 -069 -125 101070 071 999 999 03
153930 2210N 09612W 4434 06779 0329 -081 -131 100071 071 999 999 03
154000 2213N 09612W 4329 06967 0346 -099 -127 100069 070 999 999 03
$$

Plane ascending, recon done.

[mf_dolphin]

On a different topic, does anyone know what happened to skeetobiteweather.com.
They have been down for nearly a day.

Skeetobite had a hardware failure on their server and hopefully will be back up today.