CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[Normandy]

edit

[aerojad]

To quote the 4am discussion
"GPS DROPSONDE IN THE
NORTHERN EYEWALL MEASURED A WIND SPEED OF 178 KT AVERAGED OVER THE
LOWEST 150 METERS OF THE SOUNDING."

Folks.....thats nearly 200 mph. WOW.

So... sustained 205mph winds, with gusts to what... 240? 250mph?

Can you imagine the sound of that?

[WeatherNLU]

JESUS....im starting to thinking we were blessed with Katrina....Katrina is only a shadow of what a true beast could do.

Good lord.

Sorry, but I'll have to call you on this one. No one here was blessed, trust me. But I know what you are trying to say!

[Chacor]

In terms of intensity (i.e. pressure)...

Dean is the third-strongest hurricane at landfall EVER on record.

[Coredesat]

I did recon maps, so no forecast. However:

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Intense Hurricane Dean (04L)
Tropical Cyclone Update - Atlantic
0900 UTC 21 August 2007

Satellite imagery and reconnaissance observations indicate that Hurricane Dean (04L) has made landfall near Chetumal, Mexico. The system underwent a sudden strengthening process just before landfall, and recon estimated pressures of 902-909 hPa and flight-level winds of 165 kt. The system looks impressive, with very deep convection surrounding a large eye. Outflow good in all quadrants, though a little ragged due to land interaction. Latest Dvorak T was T7.0/7.0 from SAB and TAFB, and CIMSS ADT is 7.1. Dean is the first Category 5 hurricane to make landfall in the Atlantic basin since Hurricane Andrew 15 years ago.

Estimated current position is 18.8°N 87.6°W, confidence good (GOES-East AVN/BD-IR). Maximum sustained winds (1-minute average) are estimated to be 145 knots (165 mph) gusting to 175 knots (200 mph). Estimated minimum pressure is 905 hPa. The system is moving to the west-northwest at 17 kt and weakening is expected due to land interaction. The system should emerge over the Bay of Campeche in the next 24 hours.

Next forecast at 1800 UTC August 21.

[gilbert88]

JESUS....im starting to thinking we were blessed with Katrina....Katrina is only a shadow of what a true beast could do.

Good lord.

Could you please calm down? Really, please. Your posts are starting to become more than a little... excessive, considering some of us have interests in the area that is being hit right now.

[Texashawk]

JESUS....im starting to thinking we were blessed with Katrina....Katrina is only a shadow of what a true beast could do.

Good lord.

Hey Normandy... I live in Houston also... thank God he isn't coming this way...

[Normandy]

JESUS....im starting to thinking we were blessed with Katrina....Katrina is only a shadow of what a true beast could do.

Good lord.

Could you please calm down? Really, please. Your posts are starting to become more than a little... excessive, considering some of us have interests in the area that is being hit right now.

Youre right, that statement was irresponsible. My apologies.
Its hard to stay calm however when such an awful event is occuring

[Beam]

JESUS....im starting to thinking we were blessed with Katrina....Katrina is only a shadow of what a true beast could do.

Good lord.

Could you please calm down? Really, please.

For what it's worth I agree with Normandy. I'm simply aghast as I sit here watching this thing. People are dying, homes are disintegrating, and unless that dropsonde was a dud, the winds are downright unspeakable. Good god. This changes everything.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Reminder, temporarily live radar loop:
http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/temp/cancunradar/

[Chacor]

I should point out that while it's unlikely Dean's low-level circulation will survive into the Eastern Pacific, in an ironic twist of coincidence, should any remnants regenerate there and be renamed, the name will be "Gil".

[aerojad]

New Atlantic Basin Top 10 Intensity List:

1) Wilma - 2005 - 882mb
2) Gilbert - 1988 - 888mb
3) Labor Day - 1935 - 892mb
4) Rita - 2005 - 895mb
5) Allen - 1980 - 899mb
6) Katrina - 2005 - 902mb
7) Camille - 1969 - 905mb
7t) Mitch - 1998 - 905mb
9) Dean - 2007 - 906mb
10) Ivan - 2004 - 910mb

[Texashawk]

New Atlantic Basin Top 10 Intensity List:

1) Wilma - 2005 - 882mb
2) Gilbert - 1988 - 888mb
3) Labor Day - 1935 - 892mb
4) Rita - 2005 - 895mb
5) Allen - 1980 - 899mb
6) Katrina - 2005 - 902mb
7) Camille - 1969 - 905mb
7t) Mitch - 1998 - 905mb
9) Dean - 2007 - 906mb
10) Ivan - 2004 - 910mb

And 5 of them in the last 3 years.

[aerojad]

New Atlantic Basin Top 10 Intensity List:

1) Wilma - 2005 - 882mb
2) Gilbert - 1988 - 888mb
3) Labor Day - 1935 - 892mb
4) Rita - 2005 - 895mb
5) Allen - 1980 - 899mb
6) Katrina - 2005 - 902mb
7) Camille - 1969 - 905mb
7t) Mitch - 1998 - 905mb
9) Dean - 2007 - 906mb
10) Ivan - 2004 - 910mb

And 5 of them in the last 3 years.

that's quite frightening

[Normandy]

New Atlantic Basin Top 10 Intensity List:

1) Wilma - 2005 - 882mb
2) Gilbert - 1988 - 888mb
3) Labor Day - 1935 - 892mb
4) Rita - 2005 - 895mb
5) Allen - 1980 - 899mb
6) Katrina - 2005 - 902mb
7) Camille - 1969 - 905mb
7t) Mitch - 1998 - 905mb
9) Dean - 2007 - 906mb
10) Ivan - 2004 - 910mb

And 5 of them in the last 3 years.

That is something.

Despite how terrible this is....one thing to be thankful for.
Dean didn't hit 20 miles south....or Chetumal would have been facing one of the most severe northern eyewalls ever to strike land.

[Normandy]

Well, at least Dean looks like hes experiencing land now.
Looking a bit less disorganized.

[HURAKAN]

HELL ON EARTH is what the people in the area of the eyewall must be experiencing right now.

This also reminds you that only takes on, four minor storms and one horrible hurricane so far.

[Sanibel]

Hmm, dead center on Majahual.

Must be wobbling because eyewall is VERY close now to Chetumal in that shot.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Lets see how long it can keep that eye.

[Stratosphere747]

It's probably going to miss Chetumal by about 10/15 miles.