CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[wxmann_91]

Because of the bombing, and the fact that such deep convection is over the eyewall, I am convinced that strong winds WILL be brought down to the surface. The reduction factor b/t 700mb and the sfc is more like around 95%... this storm will be very efficient at bringing gusts down to the sfc. I expect gusts to be over 170 kt on the coast.

[ZeeNL]

What doesn't seem right to me is that the only news station right now that is covering this is the Weather Channel.

This is history. This is bad. This is a very big story. Yet FoxNews, MSNBC, et. al. think it's not even worth a mention.

I guarantee if it was just a category one hitting the gulf coast we'd hear about it non stop on all the news channels. Yet, it seems like when it wasn't going to hit America most people stopped caring.

CNN is covering it.

[Texashawk]

What doesn't seem right to me is that the only news station right now that is covering this is the Weather Channel.

This is history. This is bad. This is a very big story. Yet FoxNews, MSNBC, et. al. think it's not even worth a mention.

I guarantee if it was just a category one hitting the gulf coast we'd hear about it non stop on all the news channels. Yet, it seems like when it wasn't going to hit America most people stopped caring.

I'm assuming it's because a) it's super late at night and b) it's a sparsely populated area of Mexico, and c) there might be a much bigger story in a day or two on the other side of the Yucatan. Just my $0.02. That said... I agree with your sentiments.

[Scorpion]

Agreed wxmann. Perhaps even higher.. Chetumal can easily see gusts exceeding 150 kt

[Coredesat]

Good eye.

[gotoman38]

With the forward speed about the same as Andrew's, this could deepen through landfall and bring very strong winds well inland, perhaps strong Cat 4 winds to Chetumal

Chetumal wont recieve Category 4 conditions in the southern eyewall unless Dean's southern eyewall has strengthened since last recon obs...Recon obs suggested that Dean carried solid 125 mph winds in his southern eyewall. Land friction should reduce these winds to at least 110 mph or so. This is, of course, going on data an hour ago. It is quite possible Dean's southern eyewall has intensified much like its northern eyewall.

Forward speed relationships now suggest that Dean's southern eyewall contains 130 mph winds (20 mph forward speed, 170 N Quad 130 S Quad).

S eyewall is registering 121KT at flight level.... Entering the eye again.

[Valkhorn]

CNN is covering it.

I just surfed on over there. Not enough to pre-empt Larry King though.

[JtSmarts]

ABC and CBS are talking about it right now on their overnight broadcasts.

[Texashawk]

Y'know, it seems to be taking quite the little NW jog. Just saying. Nothing more.

[typhoon_tim]

000
URNT15 KNHC 210734
AF306 1504A DEAN HDOB 27 20070821
072500 1859N 08712W 6961 02824 9645 +118 +118 101109 110 079 000 00
072530 1857N 08712W 6970 02793 9621 +119 +119 100115 117 082 001 03
072600 1856N 08713W 6960 02778 9579 +129 +116 102123 124 087 000 00
072630 1854N 08713W 6963 02736 9524 +148 +099 102131 134 096 000 00
072700 1853N 08714W 6968 02679 9463 +161 +095 105142 145 105 000 00
072730 1852N 08714W 6955 02651 9406 +163 +102 106146 151 110 000 00
072800 1850N 08715W 6956 02583 9358 +141 +128 107157 161 123 018 00
072830 1849N 08715W 6959 02515 9302 +122 +122 114144 149 122 018 00
072900 1848N 08716W 6971 02433 9206 +150 +150 110123 136 116 003 00
072930 1846N 08716W 6971 02362 9114 +177 +159 104093 102 101 001 00
073000 1845N 08717W 6953 02332 9036 +216 +130 102063 077 112 001 03
073030 1843N 08717W 6962 02313 9028 +217 +127 100026 037 035 001 03
073100 1841N 08718W 6972 02314 9038 +216 +127 079003 017 007 003 03
073130 1839N 08718W 6967 02350 9074 +208 +132 268021 026 003 003 03
073200 1837N 08717W 6967 02384 9115 +196 +141 260037 044 035 004 00
073230 1836N 08717W 6960 02434 9178 +175 +151 256057 068 092 007 00
073300 1834N 08717W 6993 02448 9990 +128 +999 256096 110 120 020 05
073330 1833N 08717W 6919 02628 9990 +099 +999 257116 123 122 041 05
073400 1832N 08717W 6982 02618 9990 +087 +999 255116 120 093 042 01
073430 1830N 08717W 6966 02686 9554 +083 +083 259104 108 092 023 05
$$

[Hockey007]

903 mb on last recon O.o

[Sanibel]

Right on NHC track

[Valkhorn]

ABC and CBS are talking about it right now on their overnight broadcasts.[/QUOTE]

Thanks. I'll check out ABC.

[typhoon_tim]

902.8mb extrapolated

[Scorpion]

extrap 903.... probably 905 then

[miamicanes177]

At such extreme winds it's difficult for them to get the highest of them on each pass. Probably why "just" 161kts that pass.

[Coredesat]

[JtSmarts]

903 mb on last recon O.o

Getting close to sub 900 I'll have to eat crow.

[ZeeNL]

CNN is covering it.

I just surfed on over there. Not enough to pre-empt Larry King though.

Ah ok, I live in the Netherlands, so I think I get CNN international here. CNN here is showing a sat loop in a corner of the screen and reporting about Dean 75 procent of the time.

[Normandy]

I bet you Dean has mesovortices similar to Andrew.....

Weve gotten varying wind reading in three different passes in the N quad of 175 mph, 150 mph, and anywhere in between.