CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[theworld]

Arial view tour of Punta Allen
http://www.locogringo.com/maps/tour/P1010226a-t.html

[hurricanetrack]

I am here to tell you that a deepening hurricane is, in my experience, vastly different than one that is steady and certainly one that is weakening. The horror of this at night will be just unbearable. Anyone who went through Andrew's core can attest to that, I am sure. Wow, what a sight. I would love to have an RM Young anemometer there mounted on a 10 meter concrete pole. No such luck.

[wxmann_91]

This is one time where I wish I had cable TV still!

Anyway, is there long range radar image out of Cancun? Witnessing a Cat 5 make landfall on radar is NOT something you'd see every day.

[Scorpion]

I am here to tell you that a deepening hurricane is, in my experience, vastly different than one that is steady and certainly one that is weakening. The horror of this at night will be just unbearable. Anyone who went through Andrew's core can attest to that, I am sure. Wow, what a sight. I would love to have an RM Young anemometer there mounted on a 10 meter concrete pole. No such luck.

Why didn't you consider coming to the Yucatan to chase this? Would be great for another DVD.

[miamicanes177]

does anyone know how long the sat blackout lasts? I think it is like 2 hours away from blackout and was wondering when it will come back. I am hoping it will be up for landfall.

[CrazyC83]

364
URNT15 KNHC 210315
AF306 1504A DEAN HDOB 01 20070821
030500 3009N 08900W 7294 02878 0164 +128 +037 158013 014 023 001 03
030530 3007N 08900W 7115 03087 0163 +119 +001 160012 014 024 001 03
030600 3005N 08901W 6876 03380 0167 +101 +019 160014 015 999 999 03
030630 3004N 08901W 6662 03644 0167 +088 -008 165018 020 999 999 03
030700 3002N 08901W 6467 03889 0171 +076 -107 165020 020 999 999 03
030730 3001N 08901W 6332 04062 0168 +068 -173 166021 021 999 999 03
030800 2959N 08901W 6190 04253 0170 +057 -213 164020 021 035 000 03
030830 2957N 08901W 6060 04427 0167 +045 -237 159021 022 999 999 03
030900 2956N 08902W 5903 04612 0142 +030 -239 157023 023 999 999 03
030930 2954N 08901W 5804 04744 0143 +021 -209 164021 022 027 000 03
031000 2953N 08901W 5690 04907 0146 +013 -233 167022 023 999 999 03
031030 2951N 08900W 5583 05079 0159 +002 -234 170022 022 999 999 03
031100 2950N 08900W 5478 05240 0337 -004 -230 168022 023 999 999 03
031130 2948N 08859W 5395 05350 0344 -005 -238 168021 022 999 999 03
031200 2946N 08859W 5290 05509 0354 -014 -228 167022 022 999 999 03
031230 2945N 08858W 5200 05649 0365 -024 -229 166022 023 999 999 03
031300 2943N 08858W 5118 05770 0375 -032 -244 164022 022 999 999 03
031330 2942N 08857W 5044 05889 0381 -039 -252 163021 022 999 999 03
031400 2940N 08857W 4949 06039 0389 -051 -243 162023 024 032 000 03
031430 2938N 08856W 4881 06150 0399 -057 -232 169023 024 030 000 00
$$

Recon available, taking off.

[tallywx]

does anyone know how long the sat blackout lasts? I think it is like 2 hours away from blackout and was wondering when it will come back. I am hoping it will be up for landfall.

12:15AM till 2:15AM

04:15Z till 06:15Z

We'll have to rely on recon. and Cancun radar to wobble-watch this thing ashore.

[theworld]

uh, fuggetaboutit, now he turned due west in last frame. I give up and should know better.

[Sanibel]

That wobble just corrected back west on previous track.

That person in Chetumal is definitely going to be close.

[Recurve]

Floating IR over the globe in GE, somewhat of a viz of the monster approaching the peninsula.




Coming up on 6,000 posts on this storm.

[Sanibel]

Track is pretty much grooved right now. Right over the top of Majahual at intensifying category 5. The little village will be wiped out. Thankfully the notices all say the Mexican government already evacuated the low-lying seaside village.

I'm with the red IR ring callers right now. This is really intensifying in an intensification burst. I would be surprised to hear of anything less than 165-70mph conservative.

[CrazyC83]

795
URNT15 KNHC 210324
AF306 1504A DEAN HDOB 02 20070821
031500 2937N 08856W 4791 06293 0407 -066 -238 170024 024 031 000 03
031530 2935N 08855W 4730 06391 0414 -075 -229 171023 023 031 000 00
031600 2933N 08855W 4672 06486 0418 -082 -226 173023 024 031 000 00
031630 2932N 08854W 4601 06597 0419 -091 -220 172023 024 030 000 00
031700 2930N 08854W 4553 06681 0424 -097 -225 174021 021 029 000 00
031730 2928N 08853W 4478 06805 0431 -100 -226 164024 025 030 000 03
031800 2926N 08852W 4406 06932 0437 -109 -181 160023 023 030 000 03
031830 2925N 08852W 4379 06974 0440 -112 -183 159022 023 030 000 00
031900 2923N 08851W 4334 07054 0446 -118 -198 159022 022 029 000 00
031930 2921N 08851W 4273 07167 0453 -125 -213 159023 024 028 000 00
032000 2919N 08850W 4225 07254 0458 -130 -219 161021 022 028 000 00
032030 2918N 08850W 4193 07310 0463 -134 -216 162021 021 027 000 00
032100 2916N 08849W 4152 07387 0468 -139 -216 164020 020 020 003 00
032130 2914N 08849W 4117 07449 0472 -144 -213 164019 019 029 000 00
032200 2912N 08848W 4097 07483 0473 -145 -214 162020 020 030 000 00
032230 2910N 08847W 4100 07488 0474 -147 -215 161020 020 030 000 00
032300 2909N 08847W 4098 07488 0473 -150 -212 163020 020 030 000 00
032330 2906N 08846W 4096 07488 0474 -149 -305 164019 020 031 000 00
032400 2904N 08846W 4098 07484 0474 -150 -390 163021 021 031 000 00
032430 2902N 08845W 4098 07485 0474 -150 -423 162022 022 030 000 00
$$

[Normandy]

.......... O_O

The 315 image is astounding....Dean is REALLY deepening.....this is terrible.

[tallywx]

Do we have any lightning detection data from that part of the world? I recall that during Katrina and Rita's rapid intensification cycles, you would actually get a ton of lightning in the eyewall signalling violent updrafts contributing to the RI. Would be interesting to see that taking place here in Dean as another proxy suggesting an exploding storm.

[jaxfladude]

The person who makes the 6,000th post has to donate 6k for Hurricane Dean Relief....hey something good as to come out of 6,000 posts on Dean....

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

It appears that the floor is droping out with this system. This thing is exploding. Also because of the higher convection gets the conveciton to the surface easlier. I think you can use .9 reduce again. So this could already be close to 170 mph from last recon data. I would be suprized to find less with this recon run.

[Derek Ortt]

looks like the final landfall will be near Poza Rica, a city of more than 180,000

This has the potential to be much worse than Diana, which killed 139 back in 1990

[Normandy]

Boy the windspeeds they find at flight level are going to be dramatic to say the least....Im really wondering what the wind profile of the entire eyewall is.

[kurtpage]

.......... O_O

The 315 image is astounding....Dean is REALLY deepening.....this is terrible.

Do you have a link?? I would like to watch too!

[kurtpage]

This is all that I have...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/sloop-avn.html