CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

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Derek Ortt

Re: Hurricane Dean Forecasts in AF

#10641 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:58 pm

I have seen the additional data now... special statement coming on the nwhhc website
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LeeJet

#10642 Postby LeeJet » Mon Aug 20, 2007 7:59 pm

If this were the 1500's, we'd be seeing alot of sunken Spanish ships. Oh wait..that did happen.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10643 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:01 pm

AL Chili Pepper wrote:
Brent wrote:Amazing, after a year of nothing last year, the first hurricane of the year is a Cat 5! Makes you wonder what's ahead...

Cat 5's are rare to begin with, 1999-2002 had NONE. We've had 6 since then, including an all-time record of 4 in 2005.


And not only have we had a record number of Cat 5s in such a short time, but the Cat 5s keep breaking records....storm surges, pressures, etc. It seems that every time we get an August or September storm now we can expect it to break a record.



This may sound cold hearted but this is a amazing part of history we are witnessing and a "good" time to be a hurricane watcher. May not be for people that have built on the coast.

But hey I got a falt under me or near me that can produce a 9+ earth quake. But if I'm going to die I'm going to die. That is life.

IT could happen at any time to.
Last edited by Matt-hurricanewatcher on Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: DEAN -Threat Area -Yucatan Peninsula-Mainland Mexico

#10644 Postby Stephanie » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:01 pm

OMG Luis!!! :eek:
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10645 Postby aguaviva » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:01 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
gilbert88 wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Cat 5!!! :woo:


Yeah, awesome... :roll: :(


The damage difference is minimal between a high Cat 4 and a low Cat 5. That is just a psychological barrier.



yes the barrier between a rational person and a raving lunatic. I am sure he would not be happy if it were he and his family in Chetumal and Belize.
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Re: DEAN -Threat Area -Yucatan Peninsula-Mainland Mexico

#10646 Postby gilbert88 » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:01 pm

I'm starting to become more worried about the second landfall... it's moving toward a very densely populated area with a horrible history of hurricane prevention. And I haven't read about any action taken by the Veracruz state gov't.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10647 Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:02 pm

I have a bad feeling, there might be another Category 5 hurricane before the season ends. I hope I am proven wrong.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10648 Postby ZeeNL » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:03 pm

"I was glad to get back to my hotel and find the lobby buzzing with activity-- including what seem to be lots of TV people. I'm not riding this out alone, praise the lord"


Well, I hope it doesn't end up in a drama, like a story about a family having a hurricane party at the beach I have once read.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10649 Postby aguaviva » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:04 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:
Ptarmigan wrote:Since Dean is a Category 5, maybe they will take it even more seriously. It's going to be scary for sure.


If it stays at Cat 5 until landfall, it will be the first landfalling Cat 5 in the Western Hemisphere since Andrew.


I think that is incorrect. Mitch in 98(?) was a Category 5 and so was Wilma in Cancun.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10650 Postby aguaviva » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:05 pm

ZeeNL wrote:
"I was glad to get back to my hotel and find the lobby buzzing with activity-- including what seem to be lots of TV people. I'm not riding this out alone, praise the lord"


Well, I hope it doesn't end up in a drama, like a story about a family having a hurricane party at the beach I have once read.


yep.
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10651 Postby gben027 » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:05 pm

aguaviva wrote:
CrazyC83 wrote:
Ptarmigan wrote:Since Dean is a Category 5, maybe they will take it even more seriously. It's going to be scary for sure.


If it stays at Cat 5 until landfall, it will be the first landfalling Cat 5 in the Western Hemisphere since Andrew.


I think that is incorrect. Mitch in 98(?) was a Category 5 and so was Wilma in Cancun.



Mitch was only Cat. 1 at landfall and Wilma was Cat. 4.
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#10652 Postby Tstormwatcher » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:06 pm

Gilbert was a cat 5 in 1988, and Wilma was a cat 4 at landfall. Mitch hit hondoras in 98.
Last edited by Tstormwatcher on Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re:

#10653 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:07 pm

Tstormwatcher wrote:Mitch was in 88, and Wilma was a cat 4 at landfall.



Nope Mitch was in 98, I don't remember if it made landfall as a 5. I think it weakened before landfall. In Wilma was a cat5 at landfall.
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Re: Re:

#10654 Postby Cyclone1 » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:08 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:
Tstormwatcher wrote:Mitch was in 88, and Wilma was a cat 4 at landfall.



Nope Mitch was in 98, I don't remember if it made landfall as a 5. I think it weakened before landfall. In Wilma was a cat5 at landfall.

Mitch - cat 1, 1998
Wilma - Cat 4, 2005
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Re: Major Hurricane DEAN: (8 PM page 291) Discussions, Analysis

#10655 Postby Brent » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:08 pm

Mitch stalled just offshore for a long time and weakened from a 5 down to 1 by landfall.
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Derek Ortt

#10656 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:08 pm

the worst winds will be nroth of Chetumal, unless this dives south. However, they should still get cat 3 winds with cat 5 gusts

Horrific tidal surge possible for the Bay of Campeche
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Re: DEAN -Threat Area -Yucatan Peninsula-Mainland Mexico

#10657 Postby msbee » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:08 pm

cycloneye wrote:WTNT64 KNHC 210034
TCUAT4
HURRICANE DEAN TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
835 PM AST MON AUG 20 2007


DATA FROM THE AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY
INVESTIGATING HURRICANE DEAN INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
HAVE INCREASED TO 160 MPH...MAKING DEAN A POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC
CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB



Malas noticias ya que Dean ahora es un 5 con vientos de 160 mph.


OMG
I cannot believe this. I have chills running up and down my back.
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Derek Ortt

#10658 Postby Derek Ortt » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:09 pm

Horrific tidal surge looking likely for the bay of Campeche

Second landfall is going to be a mess... worse than Diana in 1990
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Re: Re:

#10659 Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:09 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:

Nope Mitch was in 98, I don't remember if it made landfall as a 5. I think it weakened before landfall. In Wilma was a cat5 at landfall.


Wilma made landfall as a Cat. 4. Mitch made landfall as a 1.
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Re: DEAN -Threat Area -Yucatan Peninsula-Mainland Mexico

#10660 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 20, 2007 8:09 pm

gilbert88 wrote:I'm starting to become more worried about the second landfall... it's moving toward a very densely populated area with a horrible history of hurricane prevention. And I haven't read about any action taken by the Veracruz state gov't.



I am hearing various radio stations but as you said almost nothing is mentioned about the second landfall.All the information is about the first landfall.

Estoy escuchando varias estaciones de radio pero apenas se habla del segundo azote en Veracruz.

Derek,as you said,the second landfall will be worse in terms of the flooding and the winds too.But all the attention is to the first landfall.

Derek,como tu dices,el segundo azote sera bien malo con increibles inundaciones.
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