Tropical Storm GABRIELLE (ATL): Global & BAM Models

[canegrl04]

This thing better not be a hurricane that goes up the eastcoast.My brother lives in Norfolk .His basement got flooded in Floyd

[windstorm99]

96 hours

Getting closer to outerbanks

Cant really go with those models luis until we have a well established LLC.Right now its drifting ESE.

[Brent]

96 hours

Getting closer to outerbanks

Looks like another busy sleepless weekend, only this time the U.S. is threatened.

[cycloneye]

108

Mantains just east of outerbanks.

[Derek Ortt]

we do most certainly has a well-established LLC with this system.

Furthermore, it does not matter if there is an LLC in a global model. That is only of importance for the interpolated models and the tropical models, including GFDL and HWRF

[Extremecane]

when does the 18z gfdl come out?

[windstorm99]

we do most certainly has a well-established LLC with this system.

Furthermore, it does not matter if there is an LLC in a global model. That is only of importance for the interpolated models and the tropical models, including GFDL and HWRF

Derek sounds good but this system continues to drift ESE as of right now and who say it doesn't continue doing so over the next 24hrs.

[fasterdisaster]

An LLC is established, but winds are not high enough.

[cycloneye]

120 hours

Continues moving northward without touching coast.

[Derek Ortt]

of course this will drift to the east, maybe to near Bermuda... but then it's coming back

[fasterdisaster]

of course this will drift to the east, maybe to near Bermuda... but then it's coming back

Potentially a cr-aaaa-zy track with this one if it develops.

[cycloneye]

138 hours

Goodbye!!.Starts to race NE.Just SE of Long Island.

[deltadog03]

EURO....lol lets say it together E U R O...jk all. I am sticking with the Euro on this one.

[cycloneye]

150 hours

There it goes out to sea.

[ROCK]

EURO....lol lets say it together E U R O...jk all. I am sticking with the Euro on this one.

though I don't hug the Euro as much as I do the consensus, after its preformance with Felix I might join you....

[Meso]

Well the EURO's solution on this is pretty much the same as the other models it seems...So trusting it would be an even safer bet this time

[fasterdisaster]

Well the EURO's solution on this is pretty much the same as the other models it seems...So trusting it would be an even safer bet this time

Agreed, but you never know. Remember the Jeanne hysteria?

P.S. Sorry it's OT, but I love your avatar Meso

[CrazyC83]

The CMC basically puts a repeat of Hugo or Hazel into the Carolina coast...something like 935mb now...

[storms in NC]

It is not A TD or TS till it is I have no faith in the models yet. Will just have to wait. But it just may go on out to sea. See if it feels froggy or not

[cycloneye]

WHXX04 KWBC 042325
CHGQLM
ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST 99L

INITIAL TIME 18Z SEP 4

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE HEADING/SPEED(KT)

0 29.5 74.3 100./ 8.9
6 29.2 73.3 103./ 8.9
12 29.4 72.3 83./ 9.1
18 30.2 71.1 53./13.4
24 30.9 70.4 45./ 9.3
30 31.3 70.0 45./ 5.1
36 31.4 70.3 278./ 1.9
42 30.9 70.1 160./ 4.9
48 30.8 69.9 117./ 2.2
54 30.9 70.1 297./ 2.2
60 31.1 70.6 290./ 4.8
66 31.4 71.5 290./ 8.0
72 31.6 72.5 282./ 9.4
78 31.6 73.3 270./ 6.2
84 32.2 73.6 329./ 6.8
90 32.8 74.4 307./ 8.6
96 33.2 74.6 335./ 4.8
102 33.8 74.5 13./ 5.8
108 34.6 74.2 22./ 8.5
114 35.7 73.7 25./11.0
120 36.6 72.8 42./12.2
126 37.6 71.8 45./12.6


18z GFDL.