$3 per gallon gasoline could be headed to a pump near you.
Posted: Mon Feb 23, 2004 11:25 am
The expanding U.S. economy, limited supplies of certain blends and unexpected output cuts by major producing nations will likely propel U.S. retail prices well past their record high, industry experts said.
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, which supplies 40 percent of the world's oil, agreed Feb. 10 to rein in an estimated 1.5 million barrels of daily overproduction. Members also voted to cut their official output target by 1 million barrels to 23.5 million barrels a day, excluding production from Iraq, starting April 1.
The cartel's action comes as the national retail price of gas is only 10 cents below the all-time average high of $1.73 a gallon reached last August.
"OPEC's decision ... is one more reason on an already lengthy list of why U.S. consumers are likely to pay the highest gasoline prices on record this year," AAA spokesman Geoff Sundstrom said.
Gas prices "will certainly breach" the $2 mark on the back of OPEC's announcement, said Kevin Kerr, a senior trading director at KWEST Trading International. "At the same time, the economic recovery in the United States and other parts of the world ... and the draw on existing energy supplies could be disastrous."
Since the oil market didn't anticipate OPEC's dramatic moves, "the shockwave will be felt all the way to the pumps," Kerr said.
A survey of the five market analysts found all agree that retail gas prices will, at the very least, hit a new record this year.
Indeed, if crude inventories don't increase, and if OPEC votes to cut another 5 percent from its output, unleaded gas prices could reach the "upper limits of $2.75 to $3 this summer," said John Person, head financial analyst at Infinity Brokerage Services.
http://aolpf5.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?guid=%7B40A4FE60%2D9FE7%2D4C04%2DB5C7%2D22EEB3113ACB%7D&siteid=aolpf&dist=special
The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, which supplies 40 percent of the world's oil, agreed Feb. 10 to rein in an estimated 1.5 million barrels of daily overproduction. Members also voted to cut their official output target by 1 million barrels to 23.5 million barrels a day, excluding production from Iraq, starting April 1.
The cartel's action comes as the national retail price of gas is only 10 cents below the all-time average high of $1.73 a gallon reached last August.
"OPEC's decision ... is one more reason on an already lengthy list of why U.S. consumers are likely to pay the highest gasoline prices on record this year," AAA spokesman Geoff Sundstrom said.
Gas prices "will certainly breach" the $2 mark on the back of OPEC's announcement, said Kevin Kerr, a senior trading director at KWEST Trading International. "At the same time, the economic recovery in the United States and other parts of the world ... and the draw on existing energy supplies could be disastrous."
Since the oil market didn't anticipate OPEC's dramatic moves, "the shockwave will be felt all the way to the pumps," Kerr said.
A survey of the five market analysts found all agree that retail gas prices will, at the very least, hit a new record this year.
Indeed, if crude inventories don't increase, and if OPEC votes to cut another 5 percent from its output, unleaded gas prices could reach the "upper limits of $2.75 to $3 this summer," said John Person, head financial analyst at Infinity Brokerage Services.
http://aolpf5.marketwatch.com/news/story.asp?guid=%7B40A4FE60%2D9FE7%2D4C04%2DB5C7%2D22EEB3113ACB%7D&siteid=aolpf&dist=special