Crude-oil futures fell briefly under $34 to their lowest level in nearly five weeks Friday with President Bush appearing to lean more toward diplomacy than an immediate war with Iraq.
The Bush administration has also indicated a willingness to release oil from the nation's reserves.
Crude for April delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange traded as low as $33.80 a barrel, a level not seen since Feb. 11. It traded lately at $34.10 a barrel, down $1.91.
"Oil is going down [and] oil will keep going down until a war occurs," said Michael Cavanaugh, an analyst at Peak Trading Group in Chicago.
Most of the rise in oil prices these past months have been an emotional rally based on the fear of a war, but now that the U.N. is "taking a stand, and pushing the U.S. war effort back, the oil market is trading lower, and will continue to do so until the U.S. makes its move," he said. Cavanaugh expects oil prices to drop to the low $30s "soon."
The start of a war will likely trigger a quick rally, he said, but "once the smoke clears, the oil will drop again."
Oil dragged to 5-week low
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