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Call me dense but....
Posted: Tue Feb 03, 2004 8:49 pm
by stormraiser
how the heck can they declare Kerry to have MO with 3% of the vote counted? I mean, what if he loses most of the other 97% of the precincts?
Re: Call me dense but....
Posted: Tue Feb 03, 2004 8:53 pm
by blizzard
stormraiser wrote:how the heck can they declare Kerry to have MO with 3% of the vote counted? I mean, what if he loses most of the other 97% of the precincts?
I asked that same thing last week in the NH primaries. It is ridiculous
Posted: Tue Feb 03, 2004 8:59 pm
by Stephanie
They did it in the Presidential Election as well. It's totally ridiculous!
Posted: Tue Feb 03, 2004 9:02 pm
by stormraiser
Now, Arizona closes and Kerry is the projected winner with 0% of precincts reporting

Posted: Tue Feb 03, 2004 9:07 pm
by weatherlover427

That is crazy, anything could happen at this stage of the game...
Posted: Tue Feb 03, 2004 9:24 pm
by mf_dolphin
Actually they're pretty close in most cases.

They use exit polls to find out how people voted. Once in a while they get surprised but not often...
Posted: Tue Feb 03, 2004 9:31 pm
by streetsoldier
As far as Missouri goes, please remember that Kerry's support is coming from Democratic stalwarts...based primarily within St. Louis, St. Louis County and Kansas City.
It will be the OTHER 151 counties Kerry has to worry about come November...and they are showing themselves BUSH people.

Posted: Tue Feb 03, 2004 9:36 pm
by stormraiser
Yeah, Bill, I realized it was probably the, um, Urban areas that were the Democrat strongholds
Posted: Wed Feb 04, 2004 4:03 am
by ColdFront77
mf_dolphin wrote:Actually they're pretty close in most cases.

They use exit polls to find out how people voted. Once in a while they get surprised but not often...
This was basically my response to Blizzard's mention of the New Hampshire Primary last week. There isn't just looking at the percent reporting in those early stages of the ballot counting.
It is also true that the areas that haven't been counted are being figured in beforehand in a sense and added into the data already in.
So, I agree to a point when there the percentage reporting is below 30% or so, it does make us somewhat wonder why they even announce the winner right at the top of the hour... when the polls and caucuses closed (at least on Fox News Channel).

Posted: Wed Feb 04, 2004 7:22 am
by coriolis
There's competition between the networks to be the first to "call" it.
Posted: Wed Feb 04, 2004 10:48 am
by JCT777
coriolis wrote:There's competition between the networks to be the first to "call" it.
Which worked out rather badly in the 2000 presidential election for Florida!

Posted: Wed Feb 04, 2004 11:18 am
by GulfBreezer
What about all those who are not voting? Those are all Bush supporters..........what are the statistics on that one? Can you tell I haven't been following this? I KNOW who I am voting for!!
Posted: Wed Feb 04, 2004 12:07 pm
by Guest
Exit polls and wanting to be the first network to call it...

Posted: Wed Feb 04, 2004 12:22 pm
by senorpepr
streetsoldier wrote:As far as Missouri goes, please remember that Kerry's support is coming from Democratic stalwarts...based primarily within St. Louis, St. Louis County and Kansas City.
It will be the OTHER 151 counties Kerry has to worry about come November...and they are showing themselves BUSH people.

As a born and raised Missourian, I said, "Well said!"
Posted: Wed Feb 04, 2004 12:25 pm
by Lindaloo
Okay stormraiser... I am going to call you dense. LOL!! j/k
Posted: Wed Feb 04, 2004 12:34 pm
by Guest
LOL Linda..
Posted: Wed Feb 04, 2004 12:35 pm
by 2 Seam Fastball
Maybe its fixed. I hope Kerry becomes the Presidantial democrat nominee. Because then I would know for sure that Bush would win Re-Election in 04!!!
Posted: Wed Feb 04, 2004 3:00 pm
by stormraiser
Thanks Linda. At least someone listens to me around here
Lindaloo wrote:Okay stormraiser... I am going to call you dense. LOL!! j/k
Posted: Wed Feb 04, 2004 3:30 pm
by Lindaloo
LOL stormraiser.
2seam... you said it all dude!!

Posted: Thu Feb 05, 2004 3:27 am
by ColdFront77
Sure they want to be the first to call it, but they would like to be correct, too. The results are generally correct... when the data is too close to call, they certainly don't call it right away.
