Charley Advisories

OtherHD · #1181 Postby **OtherHD** » Wed Aug 11, 2004 4:46 pm

The BAMD is for Deeper systems, which Charley is.

Earlier it was the BAMS (used for shallow/weak systems) that showed a westward movement so this is a bit surprising..

washington · #1182 Postby **washington** » Wed Aug 11, 2004 4:47 pm

Is it me are did the models move the storm back to northern FL

GalvestonDuck · #1183 Postby **GalvestonDuck** » Wed Aug 11, 2004 4:47 pm

True, OG. Scott's site http://www.midatlanticwx.com/modelmap.htm has the BAMM, not the BAMD heading our way.

#1184 Postby **Steve Cosby** » Wed Aug 11, 2004 4:48 pm

OtherHD wrote:The BAMD is for Deeper systems, which Charley is.

Earlier it was the BAMS (used for shallow/weak systems) that showed a westward movement so this is a bit surprising..

So, it is looking more likely that DT is correct.

D for Deeper / S for Shallow / M for ?

Thanks,

rainstorm · #1185 Postby **rainstorm** » Wed Aug 11, 2004 4:49 pm

looks like they all shifted west some

opera ghost · #1186 Postby **opera ghost** » Wed Aug 11, 2004 4:50 pm

M is for mid if I remember correctly.

Duck- do you know which is right then? Or are they both right and just different runs?

washington · #1187 Postby **washington** » Wed Aug 11, 2004 4:51 pm

The issue is will the trough pick up charley. If not you can expect charley to move futher west near tx area.

#1188 Postby **Steve Cosby** » Wed Aug 11, 2004 4:52 pm

DT wrote:Its bait b/c he is well lying and twsiting what I said.

I think it called freedom of speech or something.

That I think its unwise? Oh no NOT that....

Clearly that is a Lie.

And on a lighter note,

it just wouldn't be the tropical season without DT's blood pressure, as measured by the specific gramatical terms and expressions he uses, going sky high.

Don't forget your Atenolol tonight. :lol:

Looks like a good call, by the way.

GalvestonDuck · #1189 Postby **GalvestonDuck** » Wed Aug 11, 2004 4:54 pm

opera ghost wrote:M is for mid if I remember correctly.

Duck- do you know which is right then? Or are they both right and just different runs?

I'm clueless.

Sorry, but seriously, I'm afraid I still haven't got a grasp on all the different models and which ones are best for what. :oops:

Stratosphere747 · #1190 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Wed Aug 11, 2004 4:54 pm

It seems like there has been quite a bit of a shift to the west...Is this only because it has finally slowed down...It seems it would have to slow down even more for it to miss the front..

stormernie · #1191 Postby **stormernie** » Wed Aug 11, 2004 4:54 pm

The last few frames of visible satellite pictures show what may be the beginning of a more nw track (jogged) with Charlie.

If this trend continues then the treat to South Florida increases and we may see a hit around the Marathon area and then up to mainland monroe.

The slowing down of forward speed may be a indicator that the storm is now at the end of the ridge and may commence the curve to the north.

Coments welcome.

#1192 Postby **pavelbure224** » Wed Aug 11, 2004 4:55 pm

just think of a wobble for a couple of more hours before thinking of anything of it

Guest · #1193 Postby **Guest** » Wed Aug 11, 2004 4:57 pm

No you are right.... the Hurricane models are shifting west

washington wrote:Is it me are did the models move the storm back to northern FL

NorthGaWeather · #1194 Postby **NorthGaWeather** » Wed Aug 11, 2004 4:57 pm

Not turning yet wait till its further West.

BonesXL · #1195 Postby **BonesXL** » Wed Aug 11, 2004 4:58 pm

The slow down could mean a possible jog more to the NW.

washington · #1196 Postby **washington** » Wed Aug 11, 2004 4:58 pm

Thanks DT one of the forecasters in NWS here still thinks from AL to N. FL still will be hit.

Guest · #1197 Postby **Guest** » Wed Aug 11, 2004 5:01 pm

So you think I should hold off buying a long board?

I love all of DT's posts, they have a certain mystery that needs to be investigated which keeps this board cranking all the posts.

Kennethb · #1198 Postby **Kennethb** » Wed Aug 11, 2004 5:02 pm

Its only August 11, so any track is possible. If it were September 11, I'd say for sure Charley would take the trough.

washington · #1199 Postby **washington** » Wed Aug 11, 2004 5:03 pm

I agree with you in one from LA to FL should watch this storm.

#1200 Postby **Steve Cosby** » Wed Aug 11, 2004 5:03 pm

Kennethb wrote:Its only August 11, so any track is possible. If it were September 11, I'd say for sure Charley would take the trough.

Why?

Charley Advisories

So, it's looking like DT IS correct.

And, on a lighter note...

Charlie might be commencing NW movement

Why?

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