Charley Advisories
Moderator: S2k Moderators
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NorthGaWeather
Latest vortex:
URNT12 KNHC 111710
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 11/1710Z
B. 16 DEG 33 MIN N
76 DEG 36 MIN W
C. 850 MB 1342 M
D. 65 KT
E. 204 DEG 6 NM
F. 109 DEG 80 KT
G. 049 DEG 007 NM
H. 993 MB
I. 15 C/ 1519 M
J. 21 C/ 1528 M
K. 16 C/ NA
L. OPEN SOUTH
M. C10
N. 12345/8
O. 0.1/1.0 NM
P. AF968 0203A CHARLEY OB 22
MAX FL WIND 80 KT N QUAD 1656Z.
Would seem to indicate that.
URNT12 KNHC 111710
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 11/1710Z
B. 16 DEG 33 MIN N
76 DEG 36 MIN W
C. 850 MB 1342 M
D. 65 KT
E. 204 DEG 6 NM
F. 109 DEG 80 KT
G. 049 DEG 007 NM
H. 993 MB
I. 15 C/ 1519 M
J. 21 C/ 1528 M
K. 16 C/ NA
L. OPEN SOUTH
M. C10
N. 12345/8
O. 0.1/1.0 NM
P. AF968 0203A CHARLEY OB 22
MAX FL WIND 80 KT N QUAD 1656Z.
Would seem to indicate that.
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freeport_texas2005
- Tropical Depression
- Posts: 53
- Joined: Fri Jul 30, 2004 8:01 pm
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 145379
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
IT's official HURRICANE CHARLEY
Hurricane Charley Intermediate Advisory Number 9a
Statement as of 2:00 PM EDT on August 11, 2004
...Charley becomes a hurricane...rain bands spreading over
Jamaica...
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch remain in effect for
Jamaica.
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the Cayman Islands.
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the following provinces of
western Cuba...Pinar del Rio...la Habana...Ciudad de la
Habana...Matanzas...and the Isle of Youth.
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the Florida Keys from Dry
Tortugas to Craig Key. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane
conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36
hours. Additional watches will likely be required for portions of
the Florida peninsula later today.
Reports from an Air Force hurricane hunter plane indicate that
Charley has strengthened...and is now a hurricane.
At 2 PM EDT...1800z...the eye of Hurricane Charley was located near
latitude 16.6 north...longitude 76.8 west or about 90 miles...
150 km...south of Kingston Jamaica.
Charley is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph
...30 km/hr...and a gradual turn to the northwest is expected during
the next day or so. On this track the center will be passing to the
south of the south coast of Jamaica this afternoon and evening.
However...bands of squalls with tropical storm force winds are
likely to affect much of Jamaica today and tonight.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph...120
km/hr...with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast
during the next 24 hours.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
...185 km from the center.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by the hurricane
hunters is 993 mb...29.31 inches.
Above normal tides...accompanied by large and dangerous battering
waves...are likely along the coasts of Jamaica today...and the
Cayman Islands tonight.
Rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches are likely in association with
Charley.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.
Repeating the 2 PM EDT position...16.6 N... 76.8 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 18 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 75 mph. Minimum central pressure... 993 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
5 PM EDT.
Forecaster Pasch
Statement as of 2:00 PM EDT on August 11, 2004
...Charley becomes a hurricane...rain bands spreading over
Jamaica...
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch remain in effect for
Jamaica.
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the Cayman Islands.
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the following provinces of
western Cuba...Pinar del Rio...la Habana...Ciudad de la
Habana...Matanzas...and the Isle of Youth.
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the Florida Keys from Dry
Tortugas to Craig Key. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane
conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36
hours. Additional watches will likely be required for portions of
the Florida peninsula later today.
Reports from an Air Force hurricane hunter plane indicate that
Charley has strengthened...and is now a hurricane.
At 2 PM EDT...1800z...the eye of Hurricane Charley was located near
latitude 16.6 north...longitude 76.8 west or about 90 miles...
150 km...south of Kingston Jamaica.
Charley is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph
...30 km/hr...and a gradual turn to the northwest is expected during
the next day or so. On this track the center will be passing to the
south of the south coast of Jamaica this afternoon and evening.
However...bands of squalls with tropical storm force winds are
likely to affect much of Jamaica today and tonight.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph...120
km/hr...with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast
during the next 24 hours.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
...185 km from the center.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by the hurricane
hunters is 993 mb...29.31 inches.
Above normal tides...accompanied by large and dangerous battering
waves...are likely along the coasts of Jamaica today...and the
Cayman Islands tonight.
Rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches are likely in association with
Charley.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.
Repeating the 2 PM EDT position...16.6 N... 76.8 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 18 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 75 mph. Minimum central pressure... 993 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
5 PM EDT.
Forecaster Pasch
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and yep....it's a Hurricane
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donsutherland1
- S2K Analyst
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- Location: New York
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Trader Ron
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 928
- Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 7:25 pm
- Location: Naples,Fl
- Contact:
I'm seeing no turn or even any indications of one about to start. Yes, he may have slowed down some but he is still progressing steadily just slighty north of due WEST. Charley is well over 100 miles south of the TPC forecast track from last night and early this morning and nearly 50 miles south of the 11am and still moving west. Somethings got to give if he doesn't turn soon. Even small changes in track can cause large errors in a long range forecast. 100 miles on a 12 hour forecast is not small in my opinion.
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Brent
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 38091
- Age: 36
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
Hurricane Charley Intermediate Advisory Number 9a
Statement as of 2:00 PM EDT on August 11, 2004
...Charley becomes a hurricane...rain bands spreading over
Jamaica...
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch remain in effect for
Jamaica.
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the Cayman Islands.
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the following provinces of
western Cuba...Pinar del Rio...la Habana...Ciudad de la
Habana...Matanzas...and the Isle of Youth.
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the Florida Keys from Dry
Tortugas to Craig Key. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane
conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36
hours. Additional watches will likely be required for portions of
the Florida peninsula later today.
Reports from an Air Force hurricane hunter plane indicate that
Charley has strengthened...and is now a hurricane.
At 2 PM EDT...1800z...the eye of Hurricane Charley was located near
latitude 16.6 north...longitude 76.8 west or about 90 miles...
150 km...south of Kingston Jamaica.
Charley is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph
...30 km/hr...and a gradual turn to the northwest is expected during
the next day or so. On this track the center will be passing to the
south of the south coast of Jamaica this afternoon and evening.
However...bands of squalls with tropical storm force winds are
likely to affect much of Jamaica today and tonight.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph...120
km/hr...with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast
during the next 24 hours.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
...185 km from the center.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by the hurricane
hunters is 993 mb...29.31 inches.
Above normal tides...accompanied by large and dangerous battering
waves...are likely along the coasts of Jamaica today...and the
Cayman Islands tonight.
Rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches are likely in association with
Charley.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.
Repeating the 2 PM EDT position...16.6 N... 76.8 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 18 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 75 mph. Minimum central pressure... 993 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
5 PM EDT.
Statement as of 2:00 PM EDT on August 11, 2004
...Charley becomes a hurricane...rain bands spreading over
Jamaica...
A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch remain in effect for
Jamaica.
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the Cayman Islands.
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the following provinces of
western Cuba...Pinar del Rio...la Habana...Ciudad de la
Habana...Matanzas...and the Isle of Youth.
A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the Florida Keys from Dry
Tortugas to Craig Key. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane
conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36
hours. Additional watches will likely be required for portions of
the Florida peninsula later today.
Reports from an Air Force hurricane hunter plane indicate that
Charley has strengthened...and is now a hurricane.
At 2 PM EDT...1800z...the eye of Hurricane Charley was located near
latitude 16.6 north...longitude 76.8 west or about 90 miles...
150 km...south of Kingston Jamaica.
Charley is moving toward the west-northwest near 18 mph
...30 km/hr...and a gradual turn to the northwest is expected during
the next day or so. On this track the center will be passing to the
south of the south coast of Jamaica this afternoon and evening.
However...bands of squalls with tropical storm force winds are
likely to affect much of Jamaica today and tonight.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph...120
km/hr...with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast
during the next 24 hours.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
...185 km from the center.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by the hurricane
hunters is 993 mb...29.31 inches.
Above normal tides...accompanied by large and dangerous battering
waves...are likely along the coasts of Jamaica today...and the
Cayman Islands tonight.
Rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches are likely in association with
Charley.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.
Repeating the 2 PM EDT position...16.6 N... 76.8 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 18 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 75 mph. Minimum central pressure... 993 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
5 PM EDT.
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#neversummer
Charley intensity at landfall?
What is the official forecast intensity for Charley at landfall?
Of course feel free to add your own ideas of intensity
Of course feel free to add your own ideas of intensity
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Typhoon_Willie
- Category 5
- Posts: 1042
- Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 3:19 pm
- Location: Greenacres City, Florida
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LA Storm Tracker
- Tropical Wave
- Posts: 8
- Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2004 3:55 pm
How interesting it is? Charles slows down a little and gets a little stronger. Also, I know that this is only temporary but whats up with the jog to the left south of Jamaica, mon. When is the last time that TWO tropical cyclones (aka hurricanes) made landfall in the same state within 24 hours? Is that one for the tropical record books.
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frederic79
- Category 1
- Posts: 271
- Joined: Sun Jul 18, 2004 8:48 pm
- Location: Grand Bay, AL
wnw movenment?
With all due respect for the NHC, since 4AM plots show Charley has moved 0 (zero) degrees north and 2.1 degrees west. How's that wnw?
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Derek Ortt
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