I agree with Air Force Met...if you look at the radar loop out of Miami you can clearly see the center of circulation and it does appear that it will pass just south of Key West...I think she is going to squeeze through the straights without making a landfall.
SouthFLTropics
Hurricane Rita - Cat. 5
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SouthFLTropics
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SouthFLTropics
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HURAKAN wrote:Sometimes tropical systems are so inpredictable. Rita has all the conditions to bomb, and hasn't done so, FORTUNATELY! Sometimes we see systems being impacted by shear, and they intensify. Is hard to be in the NHC and have to deal with these crazy beasts!
I can't imagine being a forecaster for the NHC. For some of us it would be a dream job, but I can imagine it would also be a nightmare. So much pressure on you to get the forecast right and then you also have to deal with all of the media
I think that would be the worst part. I like hearing directly from Max or the other forecasters when they give an interview but maybe it would be better if the NHC had one spokesperson to give press conferences to the media so that the forecasters can stick to the work at hand. I hope all of the forecasters take a long vacation when December comes.
SouthFLTropics
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HurricaneGirl
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Holy Crap! -
Derek Ortt
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spaceisland
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That is a beautiful visible shot. Spaceisland has moved...away from Florida. No, I didn't chicken out. As a certified science teacher, I will be working with the Native American community near Blackduck, Minnesota, where it is 55 degrees right now and beautiful. We left some of our grown children in Florida just to keep life interesting. So now we can watch both the Fall hurricanes and the Winter blizzards with interest!
Air Force met is right... the most the Keys will see is squall lines generated off of the northern eye wall.
from the shores of Blackduck Lake, MN.... I'll be watching!
Air Force met is right... the most the Keys will see is squall lines generated off of the northern eye wall.
from the shores of Blackduck Lake, MN.... I'll be watching!
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StormFury
South Florida (especially Miami-Dade County) get ready for some really nasty weather! A very strong band of thunderstorms should approach the Miami metro area within an hour. Expect power outages and possible waterspouts/tornados. The eye of Rita can be viewed on this radar loop, and it appears to be making a move between WNW and NW. I still think the Keys may get a direct impact.http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/lo ... kamx.shtml
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timeflow
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http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p20-r/si.kbyx.shtml
Eyewall tightened up a little in the last 30 minutes, less ragged, and a slight wobble, possibly...
Eyewall tightened up a little in the last 30 minutes, less ragged, and a slight wobble, possibly...
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skysummit
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dwg71 wrote:It appears that the UKMET has done the best so far...or am I just imaging that?
I do think the GFS and those accompanied with it are underestimating the ridge.
Time will tell.
That ridge is holding strong, but still moving west. Isn't it forecasted to move out NE? When should this occur?
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Brent
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skysummit wrote:dwg71 wrote:It appears that the UKMET has done the best so far...or am I just imaging that?
I do think the GFS and those accompanied with it are underestimating the ridge.
Time will tell.
That ridge is holding strong, but still moving west. Isn't it forecasted to move out NE? When should this occur?
Not til Thursday/Friday... that's why it doesn't turn til then.
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#neversummer
Later this week, but the front to do this moving is budding heads with EPAC Hurricane Kenneth moving into its way. Timing will be everything for the track.skysummit wrote:dwg71 wrote:It appears that the UKMET has done the best so far...or am I just imaging that?
I do think the GFS and those accompanied with it are underestimating the ridge.
Time will tell.
That ridge is holding strong, but still moving west. Isn't it forecasted to move out NE? When should this occur?
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skysummit
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Brent wrote:skysummit wrote:dwg71 wrote:It appears that the UKMET has done the best so far...or am I just imaging that?
I do think the GFS and those accompanied with it are underestimating the ridge.
Time will tell.
That ridge is holding strong, but still moving west. Isn't it forecasted to move out NE? When should this occur?
Not til Thursday/Friday... that's why it doesn't turn til then.
Oh cool.
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