Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

[gotoman38]

wow... I just noticed.... 155 pages!

CAT 5 THREAD!

LOL, that is awesome but i thought we needed 156 pages for cat 5? can we get a ruling from an admin....regardless, it will reach that in nthe next hour or so!

Well.... I think at the time we were *greater than* 155 pages

[johngaltfla]

Just doing my part at getting to 156 pages

Well, this thread is well on it's way to becoming the first ever, S2K

CAT 6 THREAD

[mtm4319]

still wobbling like crazy...cozumel and that area are just going to be decimated

...was that a southwest wobble?

[coriolis]

The climatology is favorable.

[CronkPSU]

still wobbling like crazy...cozumel and that area are just going to be decimated

...was that a southwest wobble?

looks like it is looping but yeah that was a SW wobble at 2:45....3:15 should be up soon

[johngaltfla]

FYI, our local met, Bob Harrigan on Channel 7 just said on the 11 pm news that Hurricane Warnings will probably go up for Sarasota County with the 11 a.m. advisory on Sunday.

Sobering.

[CronkPSU]

The climatology is favorable.

for???

[fuzzyblow]

The climatology is favorable.

for???

Some rain...

[coriolis]

The climatology is favorable.

for???

A cat 6 thread.

[CronkPSU]

hmmm...looks like another SW wobble

<img src="http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/FLOAT/IR4/20.jpg">

[WeatherEmperor]

still wobbling like crazy...cozumel and that area are just going to be decimated

...was that a southwest wobble?

looks like it is looping but yeah that was a SW wobble at 2:45....3:15 should be up soon

i definitely am noticing the SW wobble. Its now out to 3:25 on the NASA sat loop.

<RICKY>

[superfly]

Remember the southern half of Katrina and Rita fall apart approaching landfall? That is simply not the case for Wilma, she's been hugging the coast for well close to 12 hours now and still looks very organized on radar.

[gotoman38]

still wobbling like crazy...cozumel and that area are just going to be decimated

...was that a southwest wobble?

looks like it is looping but yeah that was a SW wobble at 2:45....3:15 should be up soon

Yeah... SW wobble agreed... Playa del Carmen might be catching some of the eye calm... but not for long.... these people are getting so hammered!

The reefs between Cozumel and the mainland will largely be laid to waste, but some really cool canyons will be cut too... making for some really nice scuba.

[Bgator]

Yes it did wobble SW, but yet again in an hour it can take a giant jump north, every wobble counts now, but a counter-wobble(LOL) can happen to!

[THead]

Yes it did wobble SW, but yet again in an hour it can take a giant jump north, every wobble counts now, but a counter-wobble(LOL) can happen to!

Its kind of interesting, it would actually have a better chance of hitting the "old" forecast point, rather than the revised 11pm track point further east. Go figure this crazy...............storm......

[wxmann_91]

This wobble VERY bad for Cancun, the strongest portion of the strongest eyewall (the outer one) has been sitting over Cancun for over six hours. Yes, I do mean sustained winds over 130 for six hours. Very bad situation, won't be surprised to see some of the poorly constructed buildings completely flattened once the damage reports come in.

[Bgator]

00z GFS has it over land for a good 24-30 hrs but restrengthens it before hitting land!At 60 hrs...

[gotoman38]

This wobble VERY bad for Cancun, the strongest portion of the strongest eyewall (the outer one) has been sitting over Cancun for over six hours. Yes, I do mean sustained winds over 130 for six hours. Very bad situation, won't be surprised to see some of the poorly constructed buildings completely flattened once the damage reports come in.

And the hotel zone... sitting on a barrier island.... I would expect part to be completely washed through?

Reports are that the HZ was completely evac'd... I sure hope so.

[wxmann_91]

And the hotel zone... sitting on a barrier island.... I would expect part to be completely washed through?

Photos in another thread show that. Thankfully, though, waters around Cancun are fairly deep, still, a 10-15 ft surge is quite possible, and a barrier island could indeed be washed through.

[THead]

Think you could say it officially made landfall on the mainland YP judging by the 3:15 frame? Looks like the center of the eye is now on the mainland coast.

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