Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

gtalum · #3141 Postby **gtalum** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:21 pm

23:45 UTC

thunderchief · #3142 Postby **thunderchief** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:22 pm

One drop of 137 knots does not necessarily indicate a cat 5, especially with a surface pressure of 930mb.

a strong 4, yes.

Foladar0 · #3143 Postby **Foladar0** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:22 pm

johngaltfla wrote:
cjrciadt wrote:137knts just found at the surface!!!!! CAT5 Surprise!!!!!!!!!!!

Not good. Especially if she doesn't cross NW over the peninsula.

Not good at all.

Wouldn't that make it still cat 4? Don't they take some winds off or something, since thats at the surface?

superfly · #3144 Postby **superfly** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:23 pm

150MPH gust reported on EasternUSX at a weather station near Cancun.

jkt21787 · #3145 Postby **jkt21787** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:23 pm

Station in Cancun reported a 150 mph wind gust.

thunderchief · #3146 Postby **thunderchief** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:23 pm

link to that station or is it on TV?

#3147 Postby **cjrciadt** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:23 pm

thunderchief wrote:One drop of 137 knots does not necessarily indicate a cat 5, especially with a surface pressure of 930mb.

a strong 4, yes.

Sustained winds might not be a Cat5, but this proves she still a Cat4 if not a high end Cat4

truballer#1 · #3148 Postby **truballer#1** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:24 pm

jkt21787 wrote:Station in Cancun reported a 150 mph wind gust.

wow!

#3149 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:24 pm

my goodness those are some strong winds.

<RICKY>

#3150 Postby **THead** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:29 pm

Looks darn near due north the last 2 hours, or 4 frames. From 21:45 to 23:45

#3151 Postby **O Town** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:30 pm

I definatley see the west wobble.

El Nino · #3152 Postby **El Nino** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:30 pm

I just don't see a W movement, still a N'ly one.Maybe just a wobble, but still northwards and MAYBE missing Yucatan.

As I know, Cancun isnot in the eyewall, so it can be more than 150mph. I think she's on borderline cat5.

#3153 Postby **THead** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:34 pm

O Town wrote:I definatley see the west wobble.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

Check the check boxes for lat/lon lines and trop fcst pts for reference. You may be seeing what looks like the NW eye-wall eroding a bit, but she still looks pretty good, and pretty north so far.

SouthFLTropics · #3154 Postby **SouthFLTropics** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:36 pm

I think something of more importance than watching the wobbles would be to watch the overall cloud and convection pattern of the storm. If you look now it looks like it is more elongated from SSW to NNE. Possibly a hint of her future track. She may be feeling some tug at this time. Nothing definite yet, but one thing is for sure. Tonight and tomorrow will be a critical times for Wilma and her future here in the sunshine state.

#3155 Postby **feederband** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:37 pm

If you were to stand on the wall to your left it would be going west.. :wink:

#3156 Postby **cjrciadt** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:38 pm

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_ATL/atlanim8ir.html
this loop will be very crucial in the future.

CHRISTY · #3157 Postby **CHRISTY** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:39 pm

still wobbleing NORTH ..

Website · #3158 Postby **Brent** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:40 pm

Severe winds over a longer period of time, expect worst damage than we saw from Andrew and Katrina.

MiamiensisWx · #3159 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:40 pm

Based on my viewing, the eye is wobbling back-and-forth between north-northwest and northwest, with occasional (but brief) west-northwest wobbles. Due to the wobbles, I think it is best to look at the general direction(s) the eye is moving overall, although wobbles bear watching.

#3160 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri Oct 21, 2005 7:40 pm

wow, this is going to get interesting.....I can't wait for the 11pm advisory. I'm not sure the NHC knows now what it is going to do yet. It's confusing everybody.

Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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