Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

[truballer#1]

can smeone tell if this is a wobble or not. If you watch the eye over the lil island, it looks like its moving north not across it!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[cjrciadt]

the dropsonde.
752
UZNT13 KNHC 212326
XXAA 71238 99205 70866 08106 99934 25805 18137 00/// ///// /////
92087 24405 18136 85827 21605 20101 70503 11200 88999 77999
31313 09608 82307
61616 AF305 1524A WILMA OB 32
62626 EYEWALL 150 SPL 2058N08656W 2311 MBL WND 19120 AEV 20507 DL
M WND 19610 934835 WL150 18137 075 =
XXBB 71238 99205 70866 08106 00934 25805 11930 24205 22914 23404
33850 21605 44824 21820 55795 19206 66737 16809 77709 16400 88697
09400
21212 00934 18137 11910 18633 22905 19119 33900 19113 44886 19618
55875 19614 66871 20602 77858 20099 88850 20101 99697 20115
31313 09608 82307
61616 AF305 1524A WILMA OB 32
62626 EYEWALL 150 SPL 2058N08656W 2311 MBL WND 19120 AEV 20507 DL
M WND 19610 934835 WL150 18137 075 =
;


137 knots... at the surface

[gatorcane]

can smeone tell if this is a wobble or not. If you watch the eye over the lil island, it looks like its moving north not across it!

If this trend continues (the next few frames are crucial) look for a MAJOR change in the intensity forecast (and a track shifted farther north) at the 11pm.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I knew it looked like a cat5 all along. But recon kept reporting back that it was a 3 or lower 4. In which I found weird.

[Bellarose]

the more lattitude she gains, the farther north along the FL W coast landfall will be

Is it me, or have more people (mets or not) been mentioning Tampa more? Not so much as a direct landfall, but as seeing more of an effect? Believe me, though I'd love a TS, I'm not "the W word" and don't want anything major. I'm mostly concerned because we have a toddler and live in an older building. The closer it comes to us, the worse our evac plan to Gainesville seems.

Thanks!

Bella

I'd love some input, please. I'm trying to take this all in, but after a full work day, it's a bit hard to catch up.

Thanks.

[CHRISTY]

can a pro met elavorate on this possible north movement!!

[Foladar0]

can smeone tell if this is a wobble or not. If you watch the eye over the lil island, it looks like its moving north not across it!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

You can't tell if it's a wobble or trend without more data, wait an hour or two.

[HurricaneGirl]

[Derek Ortt]

I see it now, and that the MBL wind has increased. Winds are likely at least 150, well above what the flight level winds were indicating

[Foladar0]

I see it now, and that the MBL wind has increased. Winds are likely at least 150, well above what the flight level winds were indicating

150mph winds previously, now, or in the future?
Sorry, confused.

[eyewall07]

I dont know about the change of north forecast but the intensity will have to be increased.

[thunderchief]

the flight level winds have been slightly below the eyewall surface drops all day.

weve had drops pick up surface winds of a few in the 100s, 111, 118, 127, and now 137 knots.

They have been dropping alot more in the eyewall than I remember them doing usually.

[Praxus]

CNN met said he feared 'total destruction' for cancun area.

[cjrciadt]

http://img458.imageshack.us/my.php?image=miss5he.jpg
she has and will miss the forcast points greatly to the E.

[gtalum]

The last frame on visible has her bumping back west. It's just a wobble.

[gatorcane]

I don't see a W wobble on the last frame. Movement is NNW almost N still.

[gtalum]

I don't see a W wobble on the last frame. Movement is NNW almost N still.

I see it plain as day. Just a slight tick west ont he last frame. It'll be more noticeable on the next one.

[WeatherEmperor]

I don't see a W wobble on the last frame. Movement is NNW almost N still.

well better get some better glasses my friend Take a look at this nasa website loop which is much more up to date then the NHC. Just animate and click on the eye of Wilma.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html

<RICKY>

[johngaltfla]

137knts just found at the surface!!!!! CAT5 Surprise!!!!!!!!!!!

Not good. Especially if she doesn't cross NW over the peninsula.

Not good at all.

[THead]

The last frame on visible has her bumping back west. It's just a wobble.

Whats the time on this frame you're looking at?