Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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Derek Ortt

#3101 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:49 pm

NHC mentioned 130KT in their discussion

did one of the two misread 130 as 103 or something? That is bizzarre that NOAA would be that far apart
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gatorcane
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#3102 Postby gatorcane » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:50 pm

wobble, wobble. She's reluctant to cross the coast. Smart woman.
Last edited by gatorcane on Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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CHRISTY

#3103 Postby CHRISTY » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:51 pm

yep !and if part of that eye stays on water were gonna have a different storm here in florida...
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#3104 Postby Brent » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:51 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:NHC mentioned 130KT in their discussion

did one of the two misread 130 as 103 or something? That is bizzarre that NOAA would be that far apart


SEVERAL EYEWALL DROPSONDES
HAVE MEASURED SURFACE WINDS IN THE 110-130 KT RANGE. ONE SUCH
SONDE MEASUREMENT MIGHT NOT BE REPRESENTATIVE OF SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS... BUT A SEQUENCE OF THEM PROBABLY PROVIDES A REASONABLE
ESTIMATED OF THE INTENSITY... WHICH IS ESTIMATED TO BE IN THE
MIDDLE OF THIS RANGE AT 120 KT. THE ADVISORY INTENSITY IS ALSO
SUPPORTED BY 18Z DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES THAT ARE UNANIMOUSLY
T6.5/127 KT.

They took the middle of the road...
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cjrciadt
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#3105 Postby cjrciadt » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:51 pm

LanceW wrote:
cjrciadt wrote:
LanceW wrote:
boca_chris wrote:
HEY NOW. I don't like this run. I am at 28.1/81.3. That is WAY to close to me


Where is Poinacia ?


South of Kissimmee. Osceola/Polk county line.
Charley passed thru right there and here in Kissimmee.!! :eek: However Wilma's windfield is much larger, CAt1 winds may return here not good.


We had 120+ MPH winds at the house. The last thing I saw on the TV for 6 days was Tom Terry saying "Poinciana, hunker down, because it is....."
We losted power here watching tom show the center reaching Poinciana, I remember.
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#3106 Postby thunderchief » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:52 pm

the storm is moving very slowly with the eyewall directly over cancun and a dropsonde just southeast of the city picked up a surface wind of 137 knots.

ouch
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#3107 Postby cjrciadt » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:53 pm

137knts just found at the surface!!!!! CAT5 Surprise!!!!!!!!!!! :eek: :eek: :oops:
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O Town
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#3108 Postby O Town » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:53 pm

LanceW wrote:We had 120+ MPH winds at the house. The last thing I saw on the TV for 6 days was Tom Terry saying "Poinciana, hunker down, because it is....."

I love ol' Tom Terry he is the only one that got Charley right. :D
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#3109 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:53 pm

If that 137 knots is right then it had to be that strong the whole time. What on earth???
:eek:
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#3110 Postby gatorcane » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:53 pm

CAT 5 winds :eek: :eek: :eek:
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#3111 Postby Liberty30 » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:55 pm

"We losted power here watching tom show the center reaching Poinciana, I remember."

Ah yes. Hunker down. Tom could have made a bumper sticker of that and sold it. :lol:

Not so fond memories of "hunkering down" in the bathtub of my house with Tom on the radio during Charley. Talk about a night I'll never forget.
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#3112 Postby Raebie » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:55 pm

I don't think they've had a handle on this storm since day 1.
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O Town
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#3113 Postby O Town » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:55 pm

:eek: Holy Crap :eek:
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#3114 Postby thunderchief » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:55 pm

keep in mind that dropsonde could have recorded a gust, not necessarilly a sustained wind, but still, 137 knots is up there.
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#3115 Postby tronbunny » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:55 pm

cjrciadt wrote:
LanceW wrote:
cjrciadt wrote:
LanceW wrote:
boca_chris wrote:
HEY NOW. I don't like this run. I am at 28.1/81.3. That is WAY to close to me


Where is Poinacia ?


South of Kissimmee. Osceola/Polk county line.
Charley passed thru right there and here in Kissimmee.!! :eek: However Wilma's windfield is much larger, CAt1 winds may return here not good.


We had 120+ MPH winds at the house. The last thing I saw on the TV for 6 days was Tom Terry saying "Poinciana, hunker down, because it is....."
We losted power here watching tom show the center reaching Poinciana, I remember.

Howdy neighbor!
I vote we boycott the latest GFS and GFDL!
I'm not liking their attitudes :lol:
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gatorcane
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#3116 Postby gatorcane » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:56 pm

gust or sustained that is severe. CAT 5 gusts would cause extreme damage.
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truballer#1

#3117 Postby truballer#1 » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:56 pm

can smeone tell if this is a wobble or not. If you watch the eye over the lil island, it looks like its moving north not across it!
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#3118 Postby HurricaneGirl » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:56 pm

O Town wrote::eek: Holy Crap :eek:

My sentiments exactly!! :eek:
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Derek Ortt

#3119 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:56 pm

where are we seeing 137KT at surface?
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#3120 Postby Brent » Fri Oct 21, 2005 6:57 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:where are we seeing 137KT at surface?


UZNT13 KNHC 212326
XXAA 71238 99205 70866 08106 99934 25805 18137 00/// ///// /////
92087 24405 18136 85827 21605 20101 70503 11200 88999 77999
31313 09608 82307
61616 AF305 1524A WILMA OB 32
62626 EYEWALL 150 SPL 2058N08656W 2311 MBL WND 19120 AEV 20507 DL
M WND 19610 934835 WL150 18137 075 =
XXBB 71238 99205 70866 08106 00934 25805 11930 24205 22914 23404
33850 21605 44824 21820 55795 19206 66737 16809 77709 16400 88697
09400
21212 00934 18137 11910 18633 22905 19119 33900 19113 44886 19618
55875 19614 66871 20602 77858 20099 88850 20101 99697 20115
31313 09608 82307
61616 AF305 1524A WILMA OB 32
62626 EYEWALL 150 SPL 2058N08656W 2311 MBL WND 19120 AEV 20507 DL
M WND 19610 934835 WL150 18137 075 =
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