Hurricane Rita - Cat. 5

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LAwxrgal
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#161 Postby LAwxrgal » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:18 pm

Brent wrote::eek:

Miami and New Orleans... ugh.

Good thing BAMM is not a good tropical model.


Exactly. If this were to pan out Rita would finish what Katrina started...the complete destruction of SE-LA. Puts the eye right over my house...
Last edited by LAwxrgal on Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Andrew 92/Isidore & Lili 02/Bill 03/Katrina & Rita 05/Gustav & Ike 08/Isaac 12 (flooded my house)/Harvey 17/Barry 19/Cristobal 20/Claudette 21/Ida 21 (In the Eye)/Francine 24
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dwg71
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#162 Postby dwg71 » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:18 pm

Image

Not much consensous.....
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#163 Postby cajungal » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:19 pm

Good thing because we sure don't need it. My brother just left to go to Houston today. Possibly relocated there for 3 months because he works at the Court of Appeals in New Orleans. And it got some flood damage. So, I hope it does not go Houston either. Lots of evacuees in Houston, too. Crash into Mexico, Rita, I know you are thirsty for a good margarita.
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#164 Postby gatorcane » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:20 pm

yes but notice that the BAMM has initialized the center farther north which in my opinion is correct. The UKMET and GFDL initialize farther south. Where the final center winds up is key to this track...we'll know more by 11pm :eek:
Last edited by gatorcane on Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Ivanhater
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#165 Postby Ivanhater » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:20 pm

dwg71 wrote:Image

Not much consensous.....


good God, haaaaa throw a dart
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#166 Postby HurricaneGirl » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:20 pm

:eek: Holy Crap! :eek:
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jasons2k
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#167 Postby jasons2k » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:20 pm

BAMM may not be good to use, however, I do look for others to trend more northward. Doubt LA has anything to worry about, but very worried here in SE TX.
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#168 Postby hicksta » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:21 pm

Yall, the BAMMS are horrible at tropics. Dont look at those. GFDL GFS CMC UKMET GFDI and those are the ones to watch.
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#169 Postby gatorcane » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:22 pm

Let's all remember we are approaching October. Ridges don't last as long as they do in August or early September.

No way Rita tracks all the way to Mexico. No way.
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#170 Postby Eyes2theSkies » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:23 pm

personally i am always a big fan of the LBAR. I like the way it always marches to the beat of its own drum gotta respect that :D
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#171 Postby hicksta » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:24 pm

LOL
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#172 Postby Jono » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:25 pm

Looks like I wont be going into work tomorrow...
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#173 Postby CocoCreek » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:29 pm

Recon has the left the building...er I mean storm...

Here were their findings on the way out...

1: Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 67 KT N Quadrant at 23:16:50 Z
2: SLP EXTRAP FROM 850 MB
3: EYE FEATURE FORMING ON NORTH SIDE, ABOUT 40% COMPLETE
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#174 Postby canegrl04 » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:31 pm

Uh Oh . Ever since Katrina,I have had a terrible feeling she would not be the last major hurricane in the Gulf this season :eek: Rita has the potential to be the second of a one-two punch
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vaffie
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#175 Postby vaffie » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:31 pm

The BAM models are not very good predictors, but the fact that the 8 pm run of the BAMM has moved north compared to it's previous run means that the global dynamic models will likely move north too, towards, well, this area, in their next runs. I think New Orleans is far too east, but Lake Charles and Beaumont might not be. Regardless, this BAM run makes me feel less comfortable even than I was already. :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :roll: :eek: :?: :grr: :eek: :eek: :eek: :P
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#176 Postby THead » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:32 pm

CocoCreek wrote:Recon has the left the building...er I mean storm...

Here were their findings on the way out...

1: Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 67 KT N Quadrant at 23:16:50 Z
2: SLP EXTRAP FROM 850 MB
3: EYE FEATURE FORMING ON NORTH SIDE, ABOUT 40% COMPLETE


67kt.........what's that equal at the surface? That seems like quite an increase.
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#177 Postby Jim Cantore » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:33 pm

I sure hope the BAM doesnt play out

that could be the final blow

Image[/img]
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#178 Postby chadtm80 » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:34 pm

No Problem Tracy!!
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vaffie
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#179 Postby vaffie » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:34 pm

CocoCreek wrote:Recon has the left the building...er I mean storm...

Here were their findings on the way out...

1: Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 67 KT N Quadrant at 23:16:50 Z
2: SLP EXTRAP FROM 850 MB
3: EYE FEATURE FORMING ON NORTH SIDE, ABOUT 40% COMPLETE


Is this for Rita?! :eek: :eek:
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cjrciadt
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#180 Postby cjrciadt » Sun Sep 18, 2005 7:36 pm

vaffie wrote:
CocoCreek wrote:Recon has the left the building...er I mean storm...

Here were their findings on the way out...

1: Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 67 KT N Quadrant at 23:16:50 Z
2: SLP EXTRAP FROM 850 MB
3: EYE FEATURE FORMING ON NORTH SIDE, ABOUT 40% COMPLETE


Is this for Rita?! :eek: :eek:
Yup, 84knts just found on Philippe now a bare Cat1.
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