Hurricane Katrina

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

945 millibars 4 more millibars. But no increase in winds. This has been a weird storm...This is not bombing because winds have to increase fast with a fast drop in pressure.

[mobilebay]

945 millibars 4 more millibars. But no increase in winds. This has been a weird storm...This is not bombing because winds have to increase fast with a fast drop in pressure.

There is usually a lag time between pressure drop and wind increase. just hold on Matt.

[senorpepr]

945 millibars 4 more millibars. But no increase in winds. This has been a weird storm...This is not bombing because winds have to increase fast with a fast drop in pressure.

This isn't all that unusual, Matt. Pressure first, then wind.

[senorpepr]

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 12
Flight ID: AF304
Flt Data Number: 26
Latest Recon Position: 171 mi WSW of Fort Myers, Florida

Ob #01: 08:18:00Z; 25.1°N 84.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: -72 ft; Wind: E (86°) @ 70 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 74 mph; Radar Altitude: 10075 ft
Ob #02: 08:18:30Z; 25.1°N 84.3°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: -59 ft; Wind: E (89°) @ 70 mph; Temp: 48°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Max Wind: 73 mph; Radar Altitude: 10102 ft
Ob #03: 08:19:00Z; 25.1°N 84.3°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: -36 ft; Wind: E (85°) @ 68 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 70 mph; Radar Altitude: 10112 ft
Ob #04: 08:19:30Z; 25.2°N 84.3°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: -23 ft; Wind: E (86°) @ 70 mph; Temp: 47°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 76 mph; Radar Altitude: 10138 ft
Ob #05: 08:20:00Z; 25.2°N 84.3°W; PA: 9980 ft; D-Value: -10 ft; Wind: E (87°) @ 76 mph; Temp: 46°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 81 mph; Radar Altitude: 10125 ft
Ob #06: 08:20:30Z; 25.2°N 84.3°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 13 ft; Wind: E (86°) @ 66 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 69 mph; Radar Altitude: 10171 ft
Ob #07: 08:21:00Z; 25.2°N 84.3°W; PA: 9987 ft; D-Value: 30 ft; Wind: ENE (78°) @ 70 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Max Wind: 73 mph; Radar Altitude: 10167 ft
Ob #08: 08:21:30Z; 25.3°N 84.3°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 36 ft; Wind: E (79°) @ 70 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Max Wind: 74 mph; Radar Altitude: 10194 ft
Ob #09: 08:22:00Z; 25.3°N 84.3°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 46 ft; Wind: E (79°) @ 74 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 75 mph; Radar Altitude: 10187 ft
Ob #10: 08:22:30Z; 25.3°N 84.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 56 ft; Wind: E (81°) @ 75 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 75 mph; Radar Altitude: 10210 ft
Ob #11: 08:23:00Z; 25.3°N 84.3°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 66 ft; Wind: E (84°) @ 76 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Max Wind: 76 mph; Radar Altitude: 10213 ft
Ob #12: 08:23:30Z; 25.4°N 84.3°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 75 ft; Wind: E (85°) @ 75 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 75 mph; Radar Altitude: 10233 ft
Ob #13: 08:24:00Z; 25.4°N 84.3°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 85 ft; Wind: E (86°) @ 74 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 75 mph; Radar Altitude: 10236 ft
Ob #14: 08:24:30Z; 25.4°N 84.3°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 98 ft; Wind: E (84°) @ 71 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Max Wind: 71 mph; Radar Altitude: 10243 ft
Ob #15: 08:25:00Z; 25.5°N 84.3°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 105 ft; Wind: E (82°) @ 71 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 71 mph; Radar Altitude: 10249 ft
Ob #16: 08:25:30Z; 25.5°N 84.3°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 115 ft; Wind: E (85°) @ 69 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 69 mph; Radar Altitude: 10272 ft
Ob #17: 08:26:00Z; 25.5°N 84.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 121 ft; Wind: E (85°) @ 67 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 68 mph; Radar Altitude: 10276 ft
Ob #18: 08:26:30Z; 25.5°N 84.3°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 128 ft; Wind: E (87°) @ 67 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 68 mph; Radar Altitude: 10269 ft
Ob #19: 08:27:00Z; 25.6°N 84.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 131 ft; Wind: E (89°) @ 66 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Max Wind: 66 mph; Radar Altitude: 10285 ft
Ob #20: 08:27:30Z; 25.6°N 84.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 141 ft; Wind: E (90°) @ 63 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 65 mph; Radar Altitude: 10289 ft
Note: **** means data accuracy was suspect

[senorpepr]

Dropsonde Observation
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 12
Flight ID: AF304
Observation Number: 18
Time: 0800Z
Latitude: 24.3°N
Longitude: 84.3°W
Location: 150 mi NW of Havana, Cuba
Surface: 953 mb; Temp: 80°F; Dewpt: 26.8°F; N (N/A°) @ N/A mph
925mb height: 853 ft; Temp: 77°F; Dewpt: 25.2°F; SSW (210°) @ 108 mph
850mb height: 3297 ft; Temp: 72°F; Dewpt: 22.4°F; SW (220°) @ 91 mph
700mb height: 8802 ft; Temp: 55°F; Dewpt: 12.8°F; WSW (255°) @ 94 mph
EYEWALL 180 SPL 2438N08419W 0808 LST WND 027 MBL WND 21090
AEV 20507 DLM WND 22583 950733 WL150 20097 103

[senorpepr]

Dropsonde Observation
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 12
Flight ID: AF304
Observation Number: 19
Time: 0800Z
Latitude: 24.4°N
Longitude: 84.3°W
Location: 154 mi NW of Havana, Cuba
Surface: 945 mb; Temp: 81°F; Dewpt: 26.5°F; NW (310°) @ 10 mph
925mb height: 627 ft; Temp: 78°F; Dewpt: 25.4°F; NW (310°) @ 12 mph
850mb height: 3074 ft; Temp: 72°F; Dewpt: 22.3°F; NW (320°) @ 10 mph
700mb height: 8599 ft; Temp: 64°F; Dewpt: 12.9°F; NNE (25°) @ 2 mph
EYE SPL 2439N08428W 0809 MBL WND 31009 AEV 20507 DLM WND 31
508 944751 WL150 31009 080

[senorpepr]

Dropsonde Observation
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 12
Flight ID: AF304
Observation Number: 20
Time: 0800Z
Latitude: 24.5°N
Longitude: 84.3°W
Location: 159 mi NW of Havana, Cuba
Surface: 956 mb; Temp: 81°F; Dewpt: 27°F; N (N/A°) @ N/A mph
925mb height: 955 ft; Temp: 77°F; Dewpt: 24.7°F; NE (55°) @ 124 mph
850mb height: 3396 ft; Temp: 72°F; Dewpt: 22.4°F; ENE (65°) @ 111 mph
700mb height: 8901 ft; Temp: 56°F; Dewpt: 13.4°F; E (95°) @ 103 mph
EYEWALL 360 SPL 2451N08440W 0812 LST WND 063 MBL WND 05605
AEV 20507 DLM WND 06595 950749 WL150 04611 138

[senorpepr]

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 12
Flight ID: AF304
Flt Data Number: 27
Latest Recon Position: 159 mi W of Fort Myers, Florida

Ob #01: 08:28:00Z; 25.6°N 84.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 144 ft; Wind: E (92°) @ 63 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 65 mph; Radar Altitude: 10295 ft
Ob #02: 08:28:30Z; 25.7°N 84.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 154 ft; Wind: E (94°) @ 63 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Max Wind: 63 mph; Radar Altitude: 10308 ft
Ob #03: 08:29:00Z; 25.7°N 84.3°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 161 ft; Wind: E (92°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 62 mph; Radar Altitude: 10305 ft
Ob #04: 08:29:30Z; 25.7°N 84.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 167 ft; Wind: E (93°) @ 55 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 44°F; Max Wind: 56 mph; Radar Altitude: 10322 ft
Ob #05: 08:30:00Z; 25.7°N 84.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 174 ft; Wind: E (94°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 43°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10322 ft
Ob #06: 08:30:30Z; 25.8°N 84.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 177 ft; Wind: E (96°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 43°F; Max Wind: 60 mph; Radar Altitude: 10328 ft
Ob #07: 08:31:00Z; 25.8°N 84.3°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 184 ft; Wind: E (98°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 42°F; Max Wind: 61 mph; Radar Altitude: 10344 ft
Ob #08: 08:31:30Z; 25.8°N 84.3°W; PA: 9980 ft; D-Value: 184 ft; Wind: E (93°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 42°F; Max Wind: 60 mph; Radar Altitude: 10318 ft
Ob #09: 08:32:00Z; 25.9°N 84.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 190 ft; Wind: E (96°) @ 61 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 42°F; Max Wind: 61 mph; Radar Altitude: 10344 ft
Ob #10: 08:32:30Z; 25.9°N 84.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 200 ft; Wind: E (95°) @ 61 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 44°F; Max Wind: 63 mph; Radar Altitude: 10351 ft
Ob #11: 08:33:00Z; 25.9°N 84.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 207 ft; Wind: E (93°) @ 62 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 63 mph; Radar Altitude: 10354 ft
Ob #12: 08:33:30Z; 26°N 84.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 213 ft; Wind: E (89°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 58 mph; Radar Altitude: 10364 ft
Ob #13: 08:34:00Z; 26°N 84.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 217 ft; Wind: E (88°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 58 mph; Radar Altitude: 10367 ft
Ob #14: 08:34:30Z; 26°N 84.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 223 ft; Wind: E (88°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 58 mph; Radar Altitude: 10377 ft
Ob #15: 08:35:00Z; 26°N 84.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 226 ft; Wind: E (90°) @ 56 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 56 mph; Radar Altitude: 10381 ft
Ob #16: 08:35:30Z; 26.1°N 84.3°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 230 ft; Wind: E (91°) @ 55 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 55 mph; Radar Altitude: 10374 ft
Ob #17: 08:36:00Z; 26.1°N 84.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 236 ft; Wind: E (92°) @ 56 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 58 mph; Radar Altitude: 10387 ft
Ob #18: 08:36:30Z; 26.1°N 84.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 240 ft; Wind: E (92°) @ 61 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 62 mph; Radar Altitude: 10387 ft
Ob #19: 08:37:00Z; 26.2°N 84.3°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 243 ft; Wind: E (93°) @ 62 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 62 mph; Radar Altitude: 10390 ft
Ob #20: 08:37:30Z; 26.2°N 84.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 246 ft; Wind: E (94°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 62 mph; Radar Altitude: 10397 ft
Note: **** means data accuracy was suspect

[mtm4319]

man this isnt looking good at all

It isn't for wherever this hits, but for Mobile it's looking better by the hour.

Please! It is not looking better for Mobile. The track is basicly on the Louisiana/Mississippi Coast. Remember, these models tend to have a west bias. Remeber Ivan's NE jog. Remember Dennis? People in Punta Gorda can sure tell you about Charley's East turn.

All I meant is that the farther south it goes, the farther west it's likely to make landfall. And seeing that the forecast track is already west of Mobile, each hour it continues its WSW motion shifts the cone ever so slightly to the west. If it goes farther east than the models indicate, then that's what happens. But we can't just assume that it will do so.

[mtm4319]

Hurricane Katrina Advisory Number 16

Statement as of 5:00 am EDT on August 27, 2005


...Katrina becomes a major hurricane with 115 mph winds...

At 5 am EDT... 0900z... the Tropical Storm Warning has been
discontinued from the Seven Mile Bridge to Key Largo Florida and
for Florida Bay. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from
west of the Seven Mile Bridge westward to Key West including the
Dry Tortugas.


For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.


At 5 am EDT...0900z...the eye of Hurricane Katrina was located by
radar and reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 24.4 north...
longitude 84.4 west or about 435 miles southeast of the mouth of
the Mississippi River and about 165 miles west of Key West Florida.


Katrina is moving toward the west near 7 mph... 11 km/hr. A
gradual turn toward the west-northwest is expected during the next
24 hours.


Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph...with higher gusts.
Katrina is a category three hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours.


Reconnaissance aircraft data and surface observations indicate that
Katrina has become a larger hurricane. Hurricane force winds extend
outward up to 40 miles from the center...and tropical storm force
winds extend outward up to 150 miles. Tropical storm force winds
are occurring just offshore of the northern coast of western Cuba.


The minimum central pressure recently reported by an Air Force
reconnaissance aircraft was 945 mb...27.91 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels...
can be expected along the southwest coast of Florida in areas of
onshore flow east of Cape Sable... and in Florida Bay. Storm surge
will gradually subside today.


Katrina is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 5 to 10 inches
over western Cuba... and 1 to 3 inches of rainfall is expected
over the Yucatan Peninsula. Rainfall is expected to slowly diminish
across the lower Florida Keys today... although an additional 1 to 2
inches of rain is possible in some of the heavier rain bands.


Isolated tornadoes are possible this morning over the lower Florida
Keys.


Repeating the 5 am EDT position...24.4 N... 84.4 W. Movement
toward...west near 7 mph. Maximum sustained
winds...115 mph. Minimum central pressure... 945 mb.


An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 8 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 11 am
EDT.


Forecaster Knabb

[Windy]

[mtm4319]

HURRICANE KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122005
0900Z SAT AUG 27 2005

AT 5 AM EDT... 0900Z... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO KEY LARGO FLORIDA AND
FOR FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
WEST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO KEY WEST INCLUDING THE
DRY TORTUGAS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 84.4W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 945 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE 30SE 30SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 90SE 90SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 90SE 90SW 175NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 84.4W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.4N 84.0W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 24.5N 85.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...130NE 90SE 90SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 25.0N 87.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 26.0N 88.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 27.4N 89.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 75NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 31.5N 90.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 100SE 90SW 60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 36.0N 87.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 40.0N 82.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.4N 84.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

FORECASTER KNABB

[senorpepr]

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 12
Flight ID: AF304
Observation Number: 21
Time: 0837Z
Latitude: 26.2°N
Longitude: 84.3°W
Location: 159 mi W of Fort Myers, Florida
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: In & out of clouds
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: E (90°) @ 61 mph
Temperature: 50°F
Dewpoint: 46°F
Weather: Rainshowers
700mb height: 10100 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None

[mtm4319]

Code: Select all

HURRICANE KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2005           
                                   
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
                                   
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.4 WEST
                                   
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT TUE AUG 30 2005
                                   
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
                                   
25.0N  87.0W      43  X  X  X 43   BURAS LA           X  3 11  4 18
26.0N  88.7W      19  9  1  X 29   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  1  9  7 17
27.4N  89.9W       1 17  4  1 23   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  9  7 16
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  2  2   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  4  9 13
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  3  3   GALVESTON TX       X  X  4  8 12
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2   FREEPORT TX        X  X  3  8 11
MARCO ISLAND FL    X  1  X  1  2   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  2  6  8
FT MYERS FL        X  1  X  1  2   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  1  4  5
VENICE FL          1  1  1  1  4   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  1  2  3
TAMPA FL           X  1  1  2  4   GULF 29N 85W       X  2  4  5 11
CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  1  4  5   GULF 29N 87W       X  6  6  4 16
ST MARKS FL        X  X  2  6  8   GULF 28N 89W       1 14  5  2 22
APALACHICOLA FL    X  1  3  6 10   GULF 28N 91W       X 10  9  2 21
PANAMA CITY FL     X  1  3  7 11   GULF 28N 93W       X  3 10  4 17
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  6  7 13   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  6  6 12
MOBILE AL          X  X  6  8 14   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  3  5  8
GULFPORT MS        X  1  7  8 16   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  2  2  4
                                   
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN       
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON       
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE       
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT     
                                   
FORECASTER KNABB

[senorpepr]

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 12
Flight ID: AF304
Flt Data Number: 28
Latest Recon Position: 200 mi SW of Tampa, Florida

Ob #01: 08:38:00Z; 26.2°N 84.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 253 ft; Wind: E (94°) @ 61 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 62 mph; Radar Altitude: 10400 ft
Ob #02: 08:38:30Z; 26.3°N 84.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 262 ft; Wind: E (95°) @ 61 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 62 mph; Radar Altitude: 10413 ft
Ob #03: 08:39:00Z; 26.3°N 84.3°W; PA: 10013 ft; D-Value: 282 ft; Wind: E (94°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 61 mph; Radar Altitude: 10446 ft
Ob #04: 08:39:30Z; 26.3°N 84.4°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 266 ft; Wind: E (90°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10407 ft
Ob #05: 08:40:00Z; 26.3°N 84.4°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 256 ft; Wind: E (89°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 61 mph; Radar Altitude: 10407 ft
Ob #06: 08:40:30Z; 26.2°N 84.4°W; PA: 9987 ft; D-Value: 253 ft; Wind: E (89°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 61 mph; Radar Altitude: 10390 ft
Ob #07: 08:41:00Z; 26.2°N 84.5°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 253 ft; Wind: E (88°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10413 ft
Ob #08: 08:41:30Z; 26.2°N 84.5°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 249 ft; Wind: E (85°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 60 mph; Radar Altitude: 10397 ft
Ob #09: 08:42:00Z; 26.2°N 84.5°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 249 ft; Wind: E (82°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 61 mph; Radar Altitude: 10397 ft
Ob #10: 08:42:30Z; 26.2°N 84.6°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 246 ft; Wind: E (81°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 60 mph; Radar Altitude: 10397 ft
Ob #11: 08:43:00Z; 26.2°N 84.6°W; PA: 9987 ft; D-Value: 243 ft; Wind: E (80°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 60 mph; Radar Altitude: 10384 ft
Ob #12: 08:43:30Z; 26.2°N 84.7°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 243 ft; Wind: E (79°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 44°F; Max Wind: 60 mph; Radar Altitude: 10397 ft
Ob #13: 08:44:00Z; 26.2°N 84.7°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 243 ft; Wind: E (79°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 60 mph; Radar Altitude: 10387 ft
Ob #14: 08:44:30Z; 26.1°N 84.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 243 ft; Wind: E (80°) @ 61 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 61 mph; Radar Altitude: 10397 ft
Ob #15: 08:45:00Z; 26.1°N 84.8°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 243 ft; Wind: ENE (78°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 60 mph; Radar Altitude: 10390 ft
Ob #16: 08:45:30Z; 26.1°N 84.8°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 240 ft; Wind: ENE (75°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 44°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10390 ft
Ob #17: 08:46:00Z; 26.1°N 84.9°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 243 ft; Wind: ENE (73°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 42°F; Max Wind: 60 mph; Radar Altitude: 10397 ft
Ob #18: 08:46:30Z; 26.1°N 84.9°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 243 ft; Wind: ENE (70°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 42°F; Max Wind: 60 mph; Radar Altitude: 10390 ft
Ob #19: 08:47:00Z; 26.1°N 84.9°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 243 ft; Wind: ENE (70°) @ 61 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 61 mph; Radar Altitude: 10390 ft
Ob #20: 08:47:30Z; 26.1°N 85°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 243 ft; Wind: ENE (71°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 42°F; Max Wind: 61 mph; Radar Altitude: 10387 ft

[senorpepr]

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 12
Flight ID: AF304
Flt Data Number: 29
Latest Recon Position: 251 mi SW of Tampa, Florida

Ob #01: 08:48:00Z; 26.1°N 85°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 240 ft; Wind: ENE (68°) @ 61 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 62 mph; Radar Altitude: 10390 ft
Ob #02: 08:48:30Z; 26.1°N 85.1°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 243 ft; Wind: ENE (67°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 61 mph; Radar Altitude: 10397 ft
Ob #03: 08:49:00Z; 26°N 85.1°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 243 ft; Wind: ENE (68°) @ 61 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 43°F; Max Wind: 61 mph; Radar Altitude: 10390 ft
Ob #04: 08:49:30Z; 26°N 85.1°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 246 ft; Wind: ENE (67°) @ 62 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 43°F; Max Wind: 62 mph; Radar Altitude: 10400 ft
Ob #05: 08:50:00Z; 26°N 85.2°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 246 ft; Wind: ENE (67°) @ 61 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 43°F; Max Wind: 62 mph; Radar Altitude: 10390 ft
Ob #06: 08:50:30Z; 26°N 85.2°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 246 ft; Wind: ENE (65°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 44°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10397 ft
Ob #07: 08:51:00Z; 26°N 85.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 246 ft; Wind: ENE (65°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 44°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10397 ft
Ob #08: 08:51:30Z; 26°N 85.3°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 249 ft; Wind: ENE (64°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 44°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10400 ft
Ob #09: 08:52:00Z; 26°N 85.3°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 249 ft; Wind: ENE (64°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10397 ft
Ob #10: 08:52:30Z; 26°N 85.4°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 253 ft; Wind: ENE (65°) @ 56 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 58 mph; Radar Altitude: 10404 ft
Ob #11: 08:53:00Z; 25.9°N 85.4°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 256 ft; Wind: ENE (62°) @ 54 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 55 mph; Radar Altitude: 10400 ft
Ob #12: 08:53:30Z; 25.9°N 85.5°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 256 ft; Wind: ENE (60°) @ 55 mph; Temp: 49°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Max Wind: 55 mph; Radar Altitude: 10410 ft
Ob #13: 08:54:00Z; 25.9°N 85.5°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 256 ft; Wind: ENE (58°) @ 54 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Max Wind: 54 mph; Radar Altitude: 10400 ft
Ob #14: 08:54:30Z; 25.9°N 85.5°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 253 ft; Wind: ENE (57°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10410 ft
Ob #15: 08:55:00Z; 25.9°N 85.6°W; PA: 9987 ft; D-Value: 256 ft; Wind: NE (54°) @ 55 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Max Wind: 58 mph; Radar Altitude: 10397 ft
Ob #16: 08:55:30Z; 25.9°N 85.6°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 259 ft; Wind: NE (54°) @ 54 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Max Wind: 54 mph; Radar Altitude: 10417 ft
Ob #17: 08:56:00Z; 25.9°N 85.6°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 259 ft; Wind: NE (54°) @ 53 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Max Wind: 54 mph; Radar Altitude: 10407 ft
Ob #18: 08:56:30Z; 25.9°N 85.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 259 ft; Wind: ENE (57°) @ 56 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 50°F; Max Wind: 58 mph; Radar Altitude: 10413 ft
Ob #19: 08:57:00Z; 25.9°N 85.7°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 262 ft; Wind: NE (53°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10410 ft
Ob #20: 08:57:30Z; 25.8°N 85.8°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 266 ft; Wind: NE (50°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 41°F; Max Wind: 58 mph; Radar Altitude: 10413 ft
Note: **** means data accuracy was suspect

[Windy]

Hurricane Katrina Discussion Number 16

Statement as of 5:00 am EDT on August 27, 2005


the eye has become clearly discernible during the past few hours in
GOES-12 infrared imagery. Aircraft reconnaissance indicates the
minimum central pressure is falling... most recently measured at
945 mb. While such a low pressure is typical of some category four
hurricanes... the maximum 700 mb flight level winds have not yet
exceeded 104 kt which corresponds to about 95 kt at the surface.
Given the falling pressure... and Dvorak intensity estimates
ranging from 100 to 115 kt... the advisory intensity will be
increased to 100 kt... making Katrina a category three hurricane.
The aircraft data and a few surface observations also indicate that
Katrina has grown in size... which perhaps explains why the maximum
winds have not yet caught up to the central pressure. The initial
and forecast wind radii have been expanded accordingly.


WSR-88D radar imagery from Key West... and the series of aircraft
fixes... indicate that Katrina is wobbling about a heading just
south of due west... so the long-anticipated turn to the west might
be starting. The dynamical models all forecast a
west-northwestward motion to begin later today... followed by a
gradual turn toward the northwest and north during the next 2-3
days as the ridge to the northwest of Katrina eases westward and a
weakness develops over the northern Gulf. The dynamical model
consensus forecast of the track through the Gulf of Mexico had
shifted westward during the past 24 hours of forecast cycles. The
latest consensus track is only slightly west of the previous... so
it is possible that the westward shifting of the models is ending.
The new official forecast is right on top of the consensus track
and a bit to the west of the previous advisory. Due to the
decreasing spread in the models... the confidence in the forecast
track is increasing.


Katrina is located within an atmospheric environment that seemingly
cannot get much more conducive for strengthening... primarily due
to a very large upper-level anticyclone over the entire Gulf of
Mexico. Not surprisingly... upper-level outflow from the hurricane
continues to become more established. This weak wind shear
environment is forecast by the dynamical models to persist for
about the next three days until an upper-level trough moves into
Texas from the west. Therefore shear could begin to increase over
the hurricane near the time it makes landfall on the
northern Gulf Coast... but it seems that will be too late to
prevent Katrina from maintaining major hurricane status at
landfall. The SHIPS guidance now shows strengthening to 123 kt...
and the official forecast now peaks at 120 kt over the northern
Gulf within the next couple of days.


The 12-foot seas radii have been expanded based upon data from NOAA
buoy 42003 and on ship data.


Forecaster Knabb




forecast positions and Max winds


initial 27/0900z 24.4n 84.4w 100 kt
12hr VT 27/1800z 24.5n 85.4w 105 kt
24hr VT 28/0600z 25.0n 87.0w 115 kt
36hr VT 28/1800z 26.0n 88.7w 120 kt
48hr VT 29/0600z 27.4n 89.9w 120 kt
72hr VT 30/0600z 31.5n 90.0w 75 kt...inland
96hr VT 31/0600z 36.0n 87.5w 30 kt...inland
120hr VT 01/0600z 40.0n 82.0w 25 kt...extratropical

[senorpepr]

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 12
Flight ID: AF304
Flt Data Number: 30
Latest Recon Position: 242 mi WNW of Key West, Florida

Ob #01: 08:58:00Z; 25.8°N 85.8°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 269 ft; Wind: NE (52°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 41°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10417 ft
Ob #02: 08:58:30Z; 25.8°N 85.8°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 272 ft; Wind: NE (50°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 58 mph; Radar Altitude: 10427 ft
Ob #03: 08:59:00Z; 25.8°N 85.9°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 289 ft; Wind: NE (51°) @ 56 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 42°F; Max Wind: 56 mph; Radar Altitude: 10443 ft
Ob #04: 08:59:30Z; 25.8°N 85.9°W; PA: 10007 ft; D-Value: 282 ft; Wind: NE (48°) @ 53 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 42°F; Max Wind: 55 mph; Radar Altitude: 10443 ft
Ob #05: 09:00:00Z; 25.8°N 85.8°W; PA: 9984 ft; D-Value: 262 ft; Wind: NE (47°) @ 53 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 41°F; Max Wind: 54 mph; Radar Altitude: 10400 ft
Ob #06: 09:00:30Z; 25.7°N 85.8°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 259 ft; Wind: NE (46°) @ 53 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 42°F; Max Wind: 53 mph; Radar Altitude: 10410 ft
Ob #07: 09:01:00Z; 25.7°N 85.8°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 259 ft; Wind: NE (47°) @ 51 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 52 mph; Radar Altitude: 10407 ft
Ob #08: 09:01:30Z; 25.7°N 85.8°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 253 ft; Wind: NE (47°) @ 53 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 49°F; Max Wind: 54 mph; Radar Altitude: 10400 ft
Ob #09: 09:02:00Z; 25.7°N 85.8°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 249 ft; Wind: NE (46°) @ 54 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 55 mph; Radar Altitude: 10400 ft
Ob #10: 09:02:30Z; 25.7°N 85.7°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 246 ft; Wind: NE (46°) @ 54 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 44°F; Max Wind: 54 mph; Radar Altitude: 10400 ft
Ob #11: 09:03:00Z; 25.6°N 85.7°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 240 ft; Wind: NE (50°) @ 52 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 43°F; Max Wind: 52 mph; Radar Altitude: 10387 ft
Ob #12: 09:03:30Z; 25.6°N 85.7°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 236 ft; Wind: NE (49°) @ 52 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 52 mph; Radar Altitude: 10387 ft
Ob #13: 09:04:00Z; 25.6°N 85.7°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 233 ft; Wind: NE (48°) @ 53 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 53 mph; Radar Altitude: 10384 ft
Ob #14: 09:04:30Z; 25.6°N 85.6°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 223 ft; Wind: NE (46°) @ 54 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 55 mph; Radar Altitude: 10377 ft
Ob #15: 09:05:00Z; 25.5°N 85.6°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 220 ft; Wind: NE (46°) @ 55 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 55 mph; Radar Altitude: 10367 ft
Ob #16: 09:05:30Z; 25.5°N 85.6°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 213 ft; Wind: NE (47°) @ 56 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 56 mph; Radar Altitude: 10361 ft
Ob #17: 09:06:00Z; 25.5°N 85.6°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 207 ft; Wind: NE (47°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 58 mph; Radar Altitude: 10354 ft
Ob #18: 09:06:30Z; 25.5°N 85.6°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 197 ft; Wind: NE (50°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 60 mph; Radar Altitude: 10351 ft
Ob #19: 09:07:00Z; 25.5°N 85.5°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 190 ft; Wind: NE (49°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Max Wind: 59 mph; Radar Altitude: 10338 ft
Ob #20: 09:07:30Z; 25.4°N 85.5°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 187 ft; Wind: NE (48°) @ 59 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 60 mph; Radar Altitude: 10338 ft
Note: **** means data accuracy was suspect

[senorpepr]

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 12
Flight ID: AF304
Observation Number: 22
Time: 0900Z
Latitude: 25.7°N
Longitude: 85.8°W
Location: 256 mi SW of Tampa, Florida
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: In & out of clouds
Pressure Altitude: 10000 feet
Flight level wind: NE (50°) @ 54 mph
Temperature: 52°F
Dewpoint: N/A°F
Weather: Rainshowers
700mb height: 10100 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None

[senorpepr]

Flight Level Data
Storm Name: KATRINA (12L)
Mission Number: 12
Flight ID: AF304
Flt Data Number: 31
Latest Recon Position: 212 mi W of Key West, Florida

Ob #01: 09:08:00Z; 25.4°N 85.5°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 177 ft; Wind: NE (47°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: ****; Max Wind: 61 mph; Radar Altitude: 10325 ft
Ob #02: 09:08:30Z; 25.4°N 85.5°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 167 ft; Wind: NE (46°) @ 60 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 62 mph; Radar Altitude: 10318 ft
Ob #03: 09:09:00Z; 25.4°N 85.4°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 164 ft; Wind: NE (44°) @ 62 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 63 mph; Radar Altitude: 10308 ft
Ob #04: 09:09:30Z; 25.4°N 85.4°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 157 ft; Wind: NE (43°) @ 58 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 58 mph; Radar Altitude: 10312 ft
Ob #05: 09:10:00Z; 25.3°N 85.4°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 148 ft; Wind: NE (45°) @ 61 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 62 mph; Radar Altitude: 10299 ft
Ob #06: 09:10:30Z; 25.3°N 85.4°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 144 ft; Wind: NE (46°) @ 63 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 65 mph; Radar Altitude: 10302 ft
Ob #07: 09:11:00Z; 25.3°N 85.4°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 138 ft; Wind: NE (44°) @ 62 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 45°F; Max Wind: 65 mph; Radar Altitude: 10282 ft
Ob #08: 09:11:30Z; 25.3°N 85.3°W; PA: 9993 ft; D-Value: 128 ft; Wind: NE (45°) @ 63 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 44°F; Max Wind: 63 mph; Radar Altitude: 10276 ft
Ob #09: 09:12:00Z; 25.3°N 85.3°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 121 ft; Wind: NE (44°) @ 62 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 44°F; Max Wind: 62 mph; Radar Altitude: 10276 ft
Ob #10: 09:12:30Z; 25.2°N 85.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 115 ft; Wind: NE (40°) @ 62 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 44°F; Max Wind: 62 mph; Radar Altitude: 10266 ft
Ob #11: 09:13:00Z; 25.2°N 85.3°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 112 ft; Wind: NE (42°) @ 65 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 43°F; Max Wind: 66 mph; Radar Altitude: 10259 ft
Ob #12: 09:13:30Z; 25.2°N 85.2°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 98 ft; Wind: NE (41°) @ 65 mph; Temp: 54°F; Dewpt: 43°F; Max Wind: 65 mph; Radar Altitude: 10243 ft
Ob #13: 09:14:00Z; 25.2°N 85.2°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 89 ft; Wind: NE (44°) @ 66 mph; Temp: 53°F; Dewpt: 44°F; Max Wind: 67 mph; Radar Altitude: 10240 ft
Ob #14: 09:14:30Z; 25.2°N 85.2°W; PA: 10003 ft; D-Value: 79 ft; Wind: NE (45°) @ 68 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 44°F; Max Wind: 69 mph; Radar Altitude: 10233 ft
Ob #15: 09:15:00Z; 25.1°N 85.2°W; PA: 9987 ft; D-Value: 66 ft; Wind: NE (47°) @ 70 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 46°F; Max Wind: 71 mph; Radar Altitude: 10207 ft
Ob #16: 09:15:30Z; 25.1°N 85.1°W; PA: 10010 ft; D-Value: 56 ft; Wind: NE (48°) @ 71 mph; Temp: 50°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 73 mph; Radar Altitude: 10220 ft
Ob #17: 09:16:00Z; 25.1°N 85.1°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 46 ft; Wind: NE (47°) @ 73 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 74 mph; Radar Altitude: 10190 ft
Ob #18: 09:16:30Z; 25.1°N 85.1°W; PA: 10000 ft; D-Value: 39 ft; Wind: NE (42°) @ 69 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 47°F; Max Wind: 70 mph; Radar Altitude: 10194 ft
Ob #19: 09:17:00Z; 25°N 85.1°W; PA: 9990 ft; D-Value: 26 ft; Wind: NE (40°) @ 69 mph; Temp: 52°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Max Wind: 69 mph; Radar Altitude: 10171 ft
Ob #20: 09:17:30Z; 25°N 85.1°W; PA: 9997 ft; D-Value: 16 ft; Wind: NE (38°) @ 70 mph; Temp: 51°F; Dewpt: 48°F; Max Wind: 70 mph; Radar Altitude: 10167 ft
Note: **** means data accuracy was suspect