Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

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Starburst
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#961 Postby Starburst » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:58 am

During reconnaissance of tropical system ERNESTO a maximum wind speed of 46 mph, at 4800 feet, was found by the government plane.

Time (Z) Lat Lon Altitude Dir Speed Gust Temp Dewp
07:37:00 15.41 -70.48 4800 70 46 46 63 60
07:37:30 15.43 -70.51 4800 69 44 45 62 60
07:38:00 15.46 -70.53 4800 68 44 45 62 62
07:38:30 15.48 -70.55 4797 66 39 40 63 62
07:39:00 15.5 -70.58 4803 65 39 39 63 62
07:39:30 15.51 -70.6 4800 66 38 38 64 61
07:40:00 15.53 -70.61 4803 70 38 38 63 62
07:40:30 15.56 -70.63 4797 71 38 38 62 62
07:41:00 15.58 -70.66 4803 71 40 40 63 59
07:41:30 15.6 -70.68 4800 72 40 41 63 60
07:42:00 15.61 -70.7 4803 77 43 44 61 61
07:42:30 15.63 -70.73 4797 71 41 41 62 62
07:43:00 15.66 -70.75 4803 71 41 43 62 62
07:43:30 15.68 -70.76 4800 72 43 44 63 62
07:44:00 15.7 -70.8 4803 77 45 46 62 62
07:44:30 15.71 -70.81 4797 75 45 45 62 62
07:45:00 15.73 -70.83 4800 79 43 45 61 61
07:45:30 15.76 -70.85 4797 80 36 37 61 61
07:46:00 15.78 -70.88 4803 83 36 38 58 58
07:46:30 15.8 -70.9 4817 74 40 44 58 58
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#962 Postby Starburst » Sat Aug 26, 2006 2:59 am

It is a feature of professional accuweather I only subscribe to it during tropical season I think it is like 30.00 a month.
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#963 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat Aug 26, 2006 3:00 am

AF302 0305A ERNESTO HDOB 22 KNHC
0747 1549N 07055W 01458 0033 079 035 164 164 035 01524 0000000000
0747. 1551N 07057W 01464 0034 080 035 170 162 035 01531 0000000000
0748 1552N 07058W 01463 0034 080 033 168 150 034 01529 0000000000
0748. 1553N 07059W 01464 0034 078 034 164 158 035 01530 0000000000
0749 1554N 07101W 01462 0035 076 034 164 160 035 01529 0000000000
0749. 1556N 07102W 01463 0035 074 036 160 160 036 01531 0000000000
0750 1557N 07103W 01463 0035 079 034 162 154 034 01531 0000000000
0750. 1558N 07105W 01463 0036 078 032 158 158 032 01532 0000000000
0751 1558N 07107W 01464 0036 074 033 164 164 034 01534 0000000000
0751. 1557N 07108W 01463 0037 072 033 162 162 033 01533 0000000000
0752 1556N 07108W 01461 0035 072 032 160 160 034 01529 0000000000
0752. 1554N 07108W 01464 0034 074 034 162 144 035 01531 0000000000
0753 1552N 07108W 01463 0034 073 034 168 132 034 01530 0000000000
0753. 1551N 07109W 01464 0034 072 033 172 128 033 01532 0000000000
0754 1549N 07109W 01473 0036 067 032 168 146 033 01542 0000000000
0754. 1547N 07109W 01471 0039 065 031 170 152 032 01543 0000000000
0755 1545N 07109W 01463 0040 066 030 170 140 030 01535 0000000000
0755. 1542N 07109W 01463 0038 067 027 162 162 028 01534 0000000000
0756 1540N 07109W 01460 0037 067 027 164 164 029 01530 0000000000
0756. 1538N 07108W 01454 0035 064 026 172 166 026 01522 0000000000
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#964 Postby Starburst » Sat Aug 26, 2006 3:01 am

Bailey1777 wrote:69MPH/60Knts


This is already decoded Bailey so it is just 60mph no knots :wink:
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#965 Postby Bailey1777 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 3:02 am

I see that cool little thing you got there.
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#966 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat Aug 26, 2006 3:06 am

079
URNT14 KNHC 260800
SUPPLEMENTARY VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
INBOUND
LAT LON jHHH TTDD ddfff
01134 10685 12492 11715 18031
02136 20687 22488 21715 18032
03138 30689 32484 31715 18041
04139 40691 42479 41716 18036
05141 50692 52471 51515 19034
06143 60694 62464 61817 20031
07145 70696 72448 72018 23027
MF138 M0689 MF041
OBS 01 AT 06:48:10Z
OBS 07 AT 07:13:50Z
OBS 01 SFC WND /////
OUTBOUND
LAT LON jHHH TTDD ddfff
01149 10699 12440 12017 06039
02151 20701 22461 21717 07053
03152 30703 32472 31717 07046
04154 40705 42479 41716 07041
05156 50707 52484 51715 07035
06158 60709 62488 61616 08032
07159 70710 72492 71616 07035
MF151 M0701 MF053
OBS 01 AT 07:23:30Z
OBS 07 AT 07:49:10Z
OBS 07 SFC WND /////
AF302 0305A ERNESTO OB 11

Can someone decode that?
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#967 Postby Starburst » Sat Aug 26, 2006 3:08 am

Storm: undefined (Report Time: 26/0800Z)
Max Inbound Flight Level Winds: 13.8N 68.9W 041KT (47.15MPH) [06:48:10Z to 07:13:50Z]
Max Outbound Flight Level Winds: 15.1N 70.1W 053KT (60.95MPH) [07:23:30Z to 07:49:10Z]
Data # Position Height Temp Dewpoint Wind
I01 13.4N 68.5W Unknown data 17°C 15°C 031KT (35.65MPH) @ 180°
I02 13.6N 68.7W Unknown data 17°C 15°C 032KT (36.8MPH) @ 180°
I03 13.8N 68.9W Unknown data 17°C 15°C 041KT (47.15MPH) @ 180°
I04 13.9N 69.1W Unknown data 17°C 16°C 036KT (41.4MPH) @ 180°
I05 14.1N 69.2W Unknown data 15°C 15°C 034KT (39.1MPH) @ 190°
I06 14.3N 69.4W Unknown data 18°C 17°C 031KT (35.65MPH) @ 200°
I07 14.5N 69.6W Unknown data 20°C 18°C 027KT (31.05MPH) @ 230°
O01 14.9N 69.9W Unknown data 20°C 17°C 039KT (44.85MPH) @ 60°
O02 15.1N 70.1W Unknown data 17°C 17°C 053KT (60.95MPH) @ 70°
O03 15.2N 70.3W Unknown data 17°C 17°C 046KT (52.9MPH) @ 70°
O04 15.4N 70.5W Unknown data 17°C 16°C 041KT (47.15MPH) @ 70°
O05 15.6N 70.7W Unknown data 17°C 15°C 035KT (40.25MPH) @ 70°
O06 15.8N 70.9W Unknown data 16°C 16°C 032KT (36.8MPH) @ 80°
O07 15.9N 71.0W Unknown data 16°C 16°C 035KT (40.25MPH) @ 70°
Last edited by Starburst on Sat Aug 26, 2006 3:11 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#968 Postby clfenwi » Sat Aug 26, 2006 3:08 am

Supplementary Vortex Data Message
Inbound Ob #1: 13.4°N 068.5°W; 850mb height: 4900 feet; Temp: 63°F; Dewpt: 59°F; Flt level wind: S (180°) @ 36 mph
Inbound Ob #2: 13.6°N 068.7°W; 850mb height: 4900 feet; Temp: 63°F; Dewpt: 59°F; Flt level wind: S (180°) @ 37 mph
Inbound Ob #3: 13.8°N 068.9°W; 850mb height: 4900 feet; Temp: 63°F; Dewpt: 59°F; Flt level wind: S (180°) @ 47 mph
Inbound Ob #4: 13.9°N 069.1°W; 850mb height: 4900 feet; Temp: 63°F; Dewpt: 61°F; Flt level wind: S (180°) @ 41 mph
Inbound Ob #5: 14.1°N 069.2°W; 850mb height: 4800 feet; Temp: 59°F; Dewpt: 59°F; Flt level wind: S (190°) @ 39 mph
Inbound Ob #6: 14.3°N 069.4°W; 850mb height: 4800 feet; Temp: 64°F; Dewpt: 63°F; Flt level wind: SSW (200°) @ 36 mph
Inbound Ob #7: 14.5°N 069.6°W; 850mb height: 4800 feet; Temp: 68°F; Dewpt: 64°F; Flt level wind: SW (230°) @ 31 mph



Max flight level wind (Inbound): 47 mph at 13.8°N 068.9°W
First inbound ob surface wind: NA

Outbound Ob #1: 14.9°N 069.9°W; 850mb height: 4700 feet; Temp: 68°F; Dewpt: 63°F; Flt level wind: ENE (60°) @ 45 mph
Outbound Ob #2: 15.1°N 070.1°W; 850mb height: 4800 feet; Temp: 63°F; Dewpt: 63°F; Flt level wind: ENE (70°) @ 61 mph
Outbound Ob #3: 15.2°N 070.3°W; 850mb height: 4800 feet; Temp: 63°F; Dewpt: 63°F; Flt level wind: ENE (70°) @ 53 mph
Outbound Ob #4: 15.4°N 070.5°W; 850mb height: 4900 feet; Temp: 63°F; Dewpt: 61°F; Flt level wind: ENE (70°) @ 47 mph
Outbound Ob #5: 15.6°N 070.7°W; 850mb height: 4900 feet; Temp: 63°F; Dewpt: 59°F; Flt level wind: ENE (70°) @ 40 mph
Outbound Ob #6: 15.8°N 070.9°W; 850mb height: 4900 feet; Temp: 61°F; Dewpt: 61°F; Flt level wind: E (80°) @ 37 mph
Outbound Ob #7: 15.2°N 070.3°W; 850mb height: 4800 feet; Temp: 63°F; Dewpt: 63°F; Flt level wind: ENE (70°) @ 53 mph



Max flight level wind (Outbound): 61 mph at 15.1°N 070.1°W
Last outbound ob surface wind: NA
Storm Name: ERNESTO OB 11 (05L)
Mission Number: 03
Flight ID: AF302
Observation Number:
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#969 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat Aug 26, 2006 3:10 am

I think it's pretty easy to say we've got a 50mph tropical storm with a pressure of 999mb.

Unless they get some better winds as they cross the center again.
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#970 Postby Bailey1777 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 3:13 am

Nice job you'll thanks for taking the time.
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#971 Postby Starburst » Sat Aug 26, 2006 3:13 am

During reconnaissance of tropical system ERNESTO a maximum wind speed of 41 mph, at 4800 feet, was found by the government plane.

Time (Z) Lat Lon Altitude Dir Speed Gust Temp Dewp
07:47:00 15.81 -70.91 4784 79 40 40 62 62
07:47:30 15.85 -70.95 4803 80 40 40 63 61
07:48:00 15.86 -70.96 4800 80 38 39 62 59
07:48:30 15.88 -70.98 4803 78 39 40 62 60
07:49:00 15.9 -71.01 4797 76 39 40 62 61
07:49:30 15.93 -71.03 4800 74 41 41 61 61
07:50:00 15.95 -71.05 4800 79 39 39 61 60
07:50:30 15.96 -71.08 4800 78 37 37 60 60
07:51:00 15.96 -71.11 4803 74 38 39 62 62
07:51:30 15.95 -71.13 4800 72 38 38 61 61
07:52:00 15.93 -71.13 4794 72 37 39 61 61
07:52:30 15.9 -71.13 4803 74 39 40 61 58
07:53:00 15.86 -71.13 4800 73 39 39 62 56
07:53:30 15.85 -71.15 4803 72 38 38 63 55
07:54:00 15.81 -71.15 4833 67 37 38 62 58
07:54:30 15.78 -71.15 4826 65 36 37 63 59
07:55:00 15.75 -71.15 4800 66 34 34 63 57
07:55:30 15.7 -71.15 4800 67 31 32 61 61
07:56:00 15.66 -71.15 4790 67 31 33 62 62
07:56:30 15.63 -71.13 4771 64 30 30 63 62
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#972 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 3:15 am

Image
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#973 Postby clfenwi » Sat Aug 26, 2006 3:15 am

SXXX50 KNHC 260804
AF302 0305A ERNESTO HDOB 23 KNHC
0757 1537N 07108W 01468 0034 060 029 170 168 029 01535 0000000000
0757. 1535N 07107W 01462 0034 056 029 170 168 029 01530 0000000000
0758 1533N 07107W 01463 0034 060 030 168 168 030 01530 0000000000
0758. 1531N 07107W 01464 0033 062 034 164 164 034 01530 0000000000
0759 1529N 07107W 01462 0032 058 030 162 162 031 01527 0000000000
0759. 1526N 07107W 01464 0033 056 030 162 162 030 01529 0000000000
0800 1524N 07108W 01463 0032 054 029 166 166 030 01529 0000000000
0800. 1522N 07108W 01463 0033 048 027 174 160 028 01529 0000000000
0801 1520N 07109W 01464 0033 046 029 176 160 030 01529 0000000000
0801. 1518N 07109W 01462 0033 047 030 170 164 031 01527 0000000000
0802 1516N 07110W 01464 0032 043 030 170 168 031 01530 0000000000
0802. 1514N 07110W 01463 0033 037 028 168 168 028 01529 0000000000
0803 1512N 07111W 01462 0032 046 029 166 166 030 01527 0000000000
0803. 1510N 07111W 01464 0032 051 029 166 166 030 01529 0000000000
0804 1508N 07112W 01463 0031 045 028 168 168 029 01527 0000000000
0804. 1506N 07112W 01463 0031 046 028 168 168 030 01527 0000000000
0805 1504N 07113W 01464 0031 045 029 170 164 029 01528 0000000000
0805. 1502N 07113W 01464 0031 043 030 170 168 031 01528 0000000000
0806 1500N 07112W 01456 0030 040 028 172 172 030 01519 0000000000
0806. 1458N 07112W 01459 0028 046 028 168 168 029 01519 0000000000

looks like the Ohio State site may be having a hiccup... snagged this from the NHC ftp just in case...
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#974 Postby clfenwi » Sat Aug 26, 2006 3:17 am

I love it when we get a big finish...with the mission wrapping up on a northeast quadrant pass...
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#975 Postby Starburst » Sat Aug 26, 2006 3:23 am

During reconnaissance of tropical system ERNESTO a maximum wind speed of 39 mph, at 4803 feet, was found by the government plane.

Time (Z) Lat Lon Altitude Dir Speed Gust Temp Dewp
07:57:00 15.61 -71.13 4817 60 33 33 63 62
07:57:30 15.58 -71.11 4797 56 33 33 63 62
07:58:00 15.55 -71.11 4800 60 34 34 62 62
07:58:30 15.51 -71.11 4803 62 39 39 62 62
07:59:00 15.48 -71.11 4797 58 34 36 61 61
07:59:30 15.43 -71.11 4803 56 34 34 61 61
08:00:00 15.4 -71.13 4800 54 33 34 62 62
08:00:30 15.36 -71.13 4800 48 31 32 63 61
08:01:00 15.33 -71.15 4803 46 33 34 64 61
08:01:30 15.3 -71.15 4797 47 34 36 63 62
08:02:00 15.26 -71.16 4803 43 34 36 63 62
08:02:30 15.23 -71.16 4800 37 32 32 62 62
08:03:00 15.2 -71.18 4797 46 33 34 62 62
08:03:30 15.16 -71.18 4803 51 33 34 62 62
08:04:00 15.13 -71.2 4800 45 32 33 62 62
08:04:30 15.1 -71.2 4800 46 32 34 62 62
08:05:00 15.06 -71.21 4803 45 33 33 63 62
08:05:30 15.03 -71.21 4803 43 34 36 63 62
08:06:00 15 -71.2 4777 40 32 34 63 63
08:06:30 14.96 -71.2 4787 46 32 33 62 62
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#976 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 3:30 am

Image
Last edited by Thunder44 on Sat Aug 26, 2006 3:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#977 Postby clfenwi » Sat Aug 26, 2006 3:36 am

southwest corner of the storm

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: ERNESTO (05L)
Mission Number: 03
Flight ID: AF302
Observation Number: 12
Time: 0829Z
Latitude: 13.5°N
Longitude: 71.3°W
Turbulence: Light occasional moderate
Flight condition: Unknown
Pressure Altitude: 4800 feet
Flight level wind: VRB @ 6 mph
Temperature: 64°F
Dewpoint: 63°F
Weather: Unknown
850mb height: 4900 feet
Surface Wind: N/A
Remarks: None
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#978 Postby clfenwi » Sat Aug 26, 2006 3:38 am

SXXX50 KNHC 260814
AF302 0305A ERNESTO HDOB 24 KNHC
0807 1456N 07112W 01463 0026 047 029 168 168 029 01522 0000000000
0807. 1454N 07112W 01463 0028 049 027 170 166 028 01524 0000000000
0808 1452N 07112W 01463 0027 049 026 172 168 027 01523 0000000000
0808. 1451N 07112W 01465 0028 048 026 168 168 027 01525 0000000000
0809 1449N 07112W 01462 0028 045 028 168 168 029 01522 0000000000
0809. 1447N 07113W 01470 0028 041 029 170 168 029 01531 0000000000
0810 1445N 07113W 01472 0031 037 028 168 168 029 01536 0000000000
0810. 1443N 07113W 01466 0034 035 027 170 164 028 01534 0000000000
0811 1441N 07113W 01463 0035 032 025 170 162 025 01531 0000000000
0811. 1438N 07114W 01462 0034 028 024 170 164 025 01529 0000000000
0812 1436N 07114W 01462 0034 024 024 174 164 024 01529 0000000000
0812. 1434N 07114W 01464 0035 025 023 174 162 023 01532 0000000000
0813 1431N 07114W 01463 0034 025 024 172 170 024 01530 0000000000
0813. 1429N 07113W 01462 0035 018 023 172 172 023 01530 0000000000
0814 1427N 07113W 01462 0034 021 023 174 170 023 01529 0000000000
0814. 1425N 07113W 01464 0034 017 022 176 168 023 01531 0000000000
0815 1422N 07113W 01463 0034 015 023 172 166 023 01530 0000000000
0815. 1420N 07113W 01462 0035 013 023 168 168 023 01530 0000000000
0816 1417N 07113W 01458 0032 014 021 170 170 023 01523 0000000000
0816. 1416N 07113W 01463 0032 011 020 172 168 022 01528 0000000000
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#979 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 3:43 am

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#980 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Aug 26, 2006 3:46 am

Tropical Storm Public Advisory

Statement as of 5:00 am AST on August 26, 2006



...Ernesto heading toward the central Caribbean Sea...
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the South Coast of
Hispaniola from the Haiti-Dominican Republic border westward to the
southwestern tip of Haiti.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for Jamaica.

Interests in the Cayman Islands and western Cuba should monitor the
progress of Ernesto.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 500 am AST...0900z...the center of Tropical Storm Ernesto was
located near latitude 14.8 north...longitude 70.2 west or about 255
miles...415 km...south of Santo Domingo in the Dominican Republic
and about 490 miles...790 km...east-southeast of Kingston Jamaica.

Ernesto is moving toward the west-northwest near 16 mph...26 km/hr
...And this motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours.
On this track...the core of Ernesto will be passing south of the
southern coast of Hispaniola today

maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph...75 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles...185 km
from the center.

Latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force
reconnaissance plane was 999 mb...29.50 inches.
Rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches are expected in association with
Ernesto across portions of Puerto Rico...the Virgin Islands...the
Dominican Republic...Haiti...and Jamaica with possible isolated
amounts of 8 inches.
Repeating the 500 am AST position...14.8 N...70.2 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 16 mph. Maximum sustained winds...45
mph. Minimum central pressure...999 mb.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 800 am AST followed by the next complete advisory at 1100
am AST.

$$
Forecaster Avila
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