Tropical Storm Alberto

Weatherfreak14 · #921 Postby **Weatherfreak14** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 5:18 pm

Looks like we now have two LLC http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-rgb.html

HurricaneHunter914 · #922 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 5:21 pm

That's what I said earlier.

spinfan4eva · #923 Postby **spinfan4eva** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 5:56 pm

Looks like the center has been pulled northeast closer to the thunderstorms now. It also looks like it is following the track the NHC advertised from the beginning now trying to take a NNE heading.

whereverwx · #924 Postby **whereverwx** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 5:56 pm

Hmmm...?

#925 Postby **gatorcane** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 6:00 pm

looks like the NNE turn is happening now as we speak...

jdray · #926 Postby **jdray** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 6:01 pm

Looks like the NHC once again nails it.

#927 Postby **gatorcane** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 6:03 pm

jdray wrote:Looks like the NHC once again nails it.

The NHC has been nailing system after system leaving off where their superb forecasting that they showed from last season - very impressive and I am glad we can depend on such a fine group of meteorologists

ronjon · #928 Postby **ronjon** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 6:04 pm

spinfan4eva wrote:Looks like the center has been pulled northeast closer to the thunderstorms now. It also looks like it is following the track the NHC advertised from the beginning now trying to take a NNE heading.

Strange... Buoy 42003 winds just swung around from consistently E-SE all day to S and now W-SW. The bouy is located at about 26N-86W. This would indicate that the circulation center has moved north of this latitude. Could it be reforming under the convection to the NE of the broad LLC? very strange.

4:50 pm SW ( 235 deg ) 14.2 kts
4:40 pm WSW ( 242 deg ) 13.0 kts
4:30 pm S ( 169 deg ) 10.3 kts
4:20 pm E ( 94 deg ) 8.7 kts
4:10 pm ENE ( 67 deg ) 10.9 kts
4:00 pm ESE ( 115 deg ) 19.6 kts

Extremeweatherguy · #929 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 6:10 pm

I think this "new" center is just a mini-vortex. If you look at the Sat. loop, you can see that it is moving SW around the main broad LLC:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

The_OD_42 · #930 Postby **The_OD_42** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 6:12 pm

If you put the forecast points on the map, the circulation seems to actually be a little to the south and east of the next projected point. If this is a change in direction for Alberto, it seems to be a more NE shift instead of going a little further north first like the projected path portrays.

#931 Postby **gatorcane** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 6:13 pm

The_OD_42 wrote:If you put the forecast points on the map, the circulation seems to actually be a little to the south of the next projected point. If this is a change in direction for Alberto, it seems to be a more NE shift instead of going a little further north first like the projected path portrays.

It does appear suddenly it is moving NE (skipped the N part)....we'll just have to see if it continues to move NE or is a wobble and then will move back N.

CHRISTY · #932 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 6:16 pm

iam i hereing NE wobble?anyway this is the FORCAST SWATH FOR ALBERTO FROM 5PM

#933 Postby **wxman57** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 6:16 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:I think this "new" center is just a mini-vortex. If you look at the Sat. loop, you can see that it is moving SW around the main broad LLC:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

I agree, it's a small vortex on the NE side of the main LLC. The vortex is moving to the west. A thunderstorm that developed over it about 90 minutes ago got sheared apart and is blowing off to the east. I detect no movement of the LLC since sunrise today.

whereverwx · #934 Postby **whereverwx** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 6:17 pm

CHRISTY wrote:iam i hereing NE wobble?anyway this is the FORCAST SWATH FOR ALBERTO FROM 5PM

I seriously doubt what that map predicts.

#935 Postby **gatorcane** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 6:17 pm

CHRISTY wrote:iam i hereing NE wobble?anyway this is the FORCAST SWATH FOR ALBERTO FROM 5PM

Wxman says no movement since sunrise of the LLC...interesting..

rxdoc · #936 Postby **rxdoc** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 6:17 pm

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

If you animate the visible loop you can see two opposing vortices rotating around the true center.

#937 Postby **wxman57** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 6:18 pm

CHRISTY wrote:iam i hereing NE wobble?anyway this is the FORCAST SWATH FOR ALBERTO FROM 5PM

Bet you $1,000,000 that there are no sustained TS force winds more than one county inland in Florida and certainly nowhere in GA. Actually, I don't think even the beaches of western FL will see TS force sustained 1-minute winds. Wanna bet? I already have a 25 cent bet on the track, what more do I have to lose? ;-)

#938 Postby **gatorcane** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 6:19 pm

wxman57 wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:iam i hereing NE wobble?anyway this is the FORCAST SWATH FOR ALBERTO FROM 5PM

Bet you $1,000,000 that there are no sustained TS force winds more than one county inland in Florida and certainly nowhere in GA. Actually, I don't think even the beaches of western FL will see TS force sustained 1-minute winds. Wanna bet?

No because you are right, I agree....

#939 Postby **wxman57** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 6:19 pm

rxdoc wrote:http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

If you animate the visible loop you can see two opposing vortices rotating around the true center.

That would be correct.

#940 Postby **wxman57** » Sun Jun 11, 2006 6:20 pm

boca_chris wrote:
wxman57 wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:iam i hereing NE wobble?anyway this is the FORCAST SWATH FOR ALBERTO FROM 5PM

Bet you $1,000,000 that there are no sustained TS force winds more than one county inland in Florida and certainly nowhere in GA. Actually, I don't think even the beaches of western FL will see TS force sustained 1-minute winds. Wanna bet?

No because you are right, I agree....

Come on, I need the money!

Tropical Storm Alberto

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