Tropical Storm Chris

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ronjon
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#5101 Postby ronjon » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:43 pm

Wthrman13 wrote:I hate to beat a dead horse, but one thing that really jumps out at me looking at satellite loops of the remnant circulation is how much the shear has slacked off. The CIMSS analysis shows a decent bullseye of UL divergence over it as well:

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8dvg.html

Sure, it's interacting with land, but that's actually helping ignite convection in the low-level convergence zone on the north coast of Cuba. It's a long shot, but we may have not seen the last of Chris.


Agreed wthrman13. The remnants of Chris look better than 12 hrs ago. The shearing from that ULL to the east is no longer a factor. It seems to have finally found the COL - is it too late? We shall see. Convection is now over remnant center. The question is will the center stay close enuff to the water to maintain a circulation or perhaps a new center may form.

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... at1_0.html
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#5102 Postby miamicanes177 » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:45 pm

Brent wrote:
miamicanes177 wrote:Raw T3.1


Where are you getting this?

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/adt/ They've taken Chris off that site(it was there a couple of hours ago).

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/adt/odt1.html
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#5103 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:49 pm

Right now it looks like the center is skirting the coast half on-half offshore. It looks like Chris may get a break and move offshore pretty soon, considering the land begins to curve more to the west further up the island. After that, if chris's remnants are still intact, i think itll have a chance
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#5104 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:54 pm

cheezyWXguy wrote:Right now it looks like the center is skirting the coast half on-half offshore. It looks like Chris may get a break and move offshore pretty soon, considering the land begins to curve more to the west further up the island. After that, if chris's remnants are still intact, i think itll have a chance



might, but with the building high still got to believe a MEX issue.....
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#5105 Postby ronjon » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:57 pm

Looks like from SAT estimates its back on its way up.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/adt/CHRISP.GIF
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#5106 Postby clfenwi » Sat Aug 05, 2006 1:58 pm

These were the comments in the 205 TWD

A 1012 MB SURFACE LOW...REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHRIS IS
LOCATED NEAR 22N77W OR ABOUT 70 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAMAGUEY
CUBA. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS LIMITED AND THE
SYSTEM SHOWS NO SIGNS OF REGENERATION. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES SHOW THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS...IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THE SURFACE LOW...REMNANTS OF CHRIS OVER EASTERN CUBA AND
WESTERN BAHAMAS. THIS SHOWER ACTIVITY MAY APPROACH SOUTH FLORIDA
LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Looking at past history interaction with Cuba isn't necessarily a killer. Note the long runs Frederic and the percursor of Elena had over land.

Couldn't get the link to post nicely, the address is
http://hurricane.csc.noaa.gov/hurricane ... &CATS='TD'

copy and paste it so that you get the specification for tropical depressions
Last edited by clfenwi on Sat Aug 05, 2006 2:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#5107 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 05, 2006 2:00 pm

Breaking News=Chris is back!!!!!!!!!!!!

Is again at NRL after being taken out this morning.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html
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#5108 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 05, 2006 2:05 pm

cycloneye wrote:Breaking News=Chris is back!!!!!!!!!!!!

Is again at NRL after being taken out this morning.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html



Thanks Louis......you are to fast for me..... :lol:
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#5109 Postby HouTXmetro » Sat Aug 05, 2006 2:13 pm

cycloneye wrote:Breaking News=Chris is back!!!!!!!!!!!!

Is again at NRL after being taken out this morning.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html


:eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
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stormtruth
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#5110 Postby stormtruth » Sat Aug 05, 2006 2:17 pm

Chris is preparing for a comeback in the Gulf.
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rnbaida

chris

#5111 Postby rnbaida » Sat Aug 05, 2006 2:19 pm

it is still a wave right now, but i give it a 30% chance of it coming back to life.
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#5112 Postby Innotech » Sat Aug 05, 2006 2:19 pm

It seems Im really not crazy for keeping faith in this storm afterall. This LLC absolutely refuses to open into a wave. Its stubborn like my brother. Thats what I was afraid of
:lol:
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#5113 Postby ronjon » Sat Aug 05, 2006 2:20 pm

Center just south of Cay Lobos (Bahamas) just offshore the north Cuban coast based on high resolution NASA SAT. It appears to be paralleling the coast the last 3 hrs.
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#5114 Postby rnbaida » Sat Aug 05, 2006 2:21 pm

I dont see it coming back to life. It is extremely disorganized and i dont even see a center. I dont know how you guys are seeing a center... can someone post a good link so that i can see the center?
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ROCK
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#5115 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 05, 2006 2:22 pm

For some strange reason, Chis reminds me of a rabbit playing the drums.....
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cheezyWXguy
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#5116 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Aug 05, 2006 2:23 pm

it is a wave...its not closed...if it were, itd still be a TD. However I still do believe it can come back to life. I still think Hurricane Chris sounds better than Tropical Storm Chris
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cheezyWXguy
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#5117 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Aug 05, 2006 2:24 pm

ROCK wrote:For some strange reason, Chis reminds me of a rabbit playing the drums.....


...right...
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#5118 Postby rnbaida » Sat Aug 05, 2006 2:24 pm

i have a question. i am new to this website, what do the tropical low- cat 5 that are next to the username mean??
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stormtruth
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#5119 Postby stormtruth » Sat Aug 05, 2006 2:24 pm

There's some stronger convection now on the South and Southeast quads
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn.jpg
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rnbaida

#5120 Postby rnbaida » Sat Aug 05, 2006 2:25 pm

yes i see that also. I wonder what is going on..
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