Tropical Storm Chris

[ronjon]

The LLC still looks intact - can u believe it? It also looks to be caught up in the low level flow that is roughly paralleling the north coast of Cuba. If it can stay partly over water, I wouldn't write it off - if it heads west into Cuba, poof!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

[Thunder44]

NRL is still tracking the center. They just repositioned the satellite image at 21.6N 76.4W with a pressure of 1012mb and winds at 20kts.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

[Pebbles]

I just can't believe this thing has an LLC... he never lost it.. DANG chris doest give up! I dunno why i even keep following him except for that LLC keeps me checking.

[AnnularCane]

The skinny lady is singing opera now!

Sorry, it has to be a fat lady. So it doesn't count. If you want it to count, you need a new fat lady.

[AnnularCane]

I still believe in you, Chris!


In the words of Chris to Mr. Shear:

[southerngale]

The skinny lady is singing opera now!

Sorry, it has to be a fat lady. So it doesn't count. If you want it to count, you need a new fat lady.

Read this thread, Update: Fat lady has yet to sing--Chris lives! - she lost a lot of weight running on and off stage every time Chris tried to get going again.

[Sanibel]

Spiral should hit Cuba soon and burn up.

[JonathanBelles]

[Innotech]

:Door:

thats been way overdone....

[ConvergenceZone]

Like I said in another thread, we were all badmouthing the models that were dissipating this storm, but it looks like the models are having the last laugh.

[jasons2k]

How's this for continuity:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
328 AM CDT SAT AUG 5 2006

.DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER LOW OVER THE FL PENINSULA WILL DRIFT WESTWARD TO AFFECT
SE TX SUNDAY AND MONDAY. AFTER THIS LOW PASSES THROUGH...HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER AR INTO SE TX. THE GFS AND ECMWF TAKE THE
REMNANTS OF CHRIS INTO THE UPPER TX COASTAL AREAS BY FRIDAY. TOOK A
COMBINATION OF THE GFS AND ECMWF FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE.

A few paragraphs down:

.MARINE...
TPC HAS STOPPED ISSUING STATEMENTS ON TD CHRIS. GLOBAL MODELS TAKE
WHATS LEFT OF THIS SYSTEM DUE WEST TOWARD NORTH MEXICO.

[miamicanes177]

dont write this system off yet. Convection starting to flare just before crossing cuba. Also the NAM takes this into the mexico/texas border. http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/GOES1 ... s7dmNk.jpg
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_084s.gif
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_084s.gif

[ConvergenceZone]

dont write this system off yet. Convection starting to flare just before crossing cuba. Also the NAM takes this into the mexico/texas border. http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/GOES1 ... s7dmNk.jpg
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_084s.gif
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_084s.gif

Well, convection has blown up about 6 or 7 different times the last couple of days. It's just pulsing right now, that's bound to happen, but I am writing it off. True the reminents may end up bringing some rain to Mexico, but that's about it. In fact, I have a feeling that once it emerges off of Cuba, you'll have a hard time even seeing it.

Right now, there are areas in the Atlantic that are 10 times more promising.

[HouTXmetro]

Question, should the remnants now move slower west vs if this was an organized system?

[miamicanes177]

Raw T3.0

[MiamiensisWx]

Here we go again... the Palm Beach Post has done a wonderful job of equating Chris to the rest of the season. Here's proof...

Link

Look at the context...

-Title of article says season may not be as bad
-The mention of a higher eastern U.S. coast (instead of Gulf coast) probability seems to promote weeping and gnashing of teeth in the media (oh, the pain of not seeing another storm destroy New Orleans, as the Mississippi coast is not important in the mainstream ratings)

When will the mainstream media ever get it out their minds that 2005 was a pure anomaly in many respects? GET REAL!



Sorry for dragging this a bit off the topic, but I posted this since Chris has degenerated into an open wave.

[cycloneye]

Chris is gone from NRL.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

[ronjon]

Convection starting to fire with some weak banding features showing up. Not sure if its more than a pulse but the LLC so far is staying offshore. Looks like the center is just outside the radar range of Miami.


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/radar.php ... X&loop=yes

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=9

[Jim Cantore]

Here we go again... the Palm Beach Post has done a wonderful job of equating Chris to the rest of the season. Here's proof...

Link

Look at the context...

-Title of article says season may not be as bad
-The mention of a higher eastern U.S. coast (instead of Gulf coast) probability seems to promote weeping and gnashing of teeth in the media (oh, the pain of not seeing another storm destroy New Orleans, as the Mississippi coast is not important in the mainstream ratings)

When will the mainstream media ever get it out their minds that 2005 was a pure anomaly in many respects? GET REAL!



Sorry for dragging this a bit off the topic, but I posted this since Chris has degenerated into an open wave.

I'll say it again

Panic for ratings

[HouTXmetro]

Convection wise, the topographic and daytime heating should help fuel convection as the artist formerly known as Chris crosses Cuba. Not sure if that will help any.