Cyclone Monica - Cat. 5

[senorpepr]

898mbs really is still very powerful for that part of the basin senorpepr?

It does though look every bit as powerful as the sub-900mbs storms though, and a really stunning eye which does now remind me somewhat of Katrina!

Yeah, <900 storms are infrequent. According to JTWC, this is the second <900mb storm this year. (Glenda was the first in March).

[Rod Hagen]

[b]Monica to hit Arnhem coast
April 23, 2006

RESIDENTS of the remote north coastline and islands of Arnhem Land, in the Northern Territory, are being warned to expect the worst brunt of category five Cyclone Monica.
Residents of the Aboriginal community of Nhulunbuy, on the north-eastern tip of Arnhem Land, have already been urged to seek shelter as they prepare to cop the edge of the storm........

Mmm. Not sure what the source of that particular story is, but Nhulunbuy is NOT a predominantly Aboriginal community. Its the only major community in this part of east Arnhem land which isn't, in fact. Its a mining town with a predominantly non-Aboriginal popuation of about 4000.

The big Aboriginal communities in this region are further west, at places Maningrida and Millingimbi, etc etc. They look much more likely to catch the brunt of the storm than Nhulunbuy does, in fact.



Rod

[senorpepr]

That news story came from "The Australian"

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/st ... 02,00.html

[senorpepr]

US Navy now has 145kts / 892mb

Officially, though, it is 154kt (after being converted to 1-min) with a pressure of 905mb.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

So 155 knots wow this is a Rita at full strength...

[Rod Hagen]

That news story came from "The Australian"

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/st ... 02,00.html

Typical - B. ignorant Murdoch papers!

They really should know better when they are dealing with Australian stuff!.

Cheers

Rod

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

So how many live on Cape Wessel? Why because it is going through the eye right about now. Some people on this board where asking what katrina would of done if it where not of weaken. We are about ready to find out.

[AussieMark]

the australian is pathetic

they always get news wrong

Fairfax papers I find more accurate

[Coredesat]

WWPS20 KNES 230850
SATELLITE WEATHER BULLETIN
SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN MTSAT IRNIGHT
.
APRIL 23 2006 0733Z
.
11.3S 137.2E T7.5/7.5/D1.0/24HRS MONICA(23P)
.
PAST POSITIONS....11.6S 138.2E 22/2033Z VIS/IRDAY
12.5S 139.1E 22/0833Z IRNIGHT
.
REMARKS....A WELL-DEFINED EYE MEASURED 24 NMI ACROSS. THE WMG EYE
WAS SURROUNDED BY CMG RESULTING IN A DT=7.5 . MET=7.5 PT=7.5 .
.
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NMI.
.
THE NEXT BULLETIN WILL BE ISSUED BY 23/1600Z.

FOR AREAL DISPLAY OF RAINFALL POTENTIAL SEE OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SSD.NOAA.GOV/PS/TROP/TRAP-IMG.HTML
ALL LOWER CASE LETTERS EXCEPT PS/TROP

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Who thinks this could get a perfect 8?


Also that helps back up cimss...

[Squeako da Magnifico]

So how many live on Cape Wessel? Why because it is going through the eye right about now. Some people on this board where asking what katrina would of done if it where not of weaken. We are about ready to find out.

No one lives there just an Australian Weather Station thank goodness...

[Rod Hagen]

You might want to keep an eye on Cape Wessel for some readings - http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDD65149.shtml gives NT automated station readings.

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDD65152 ... 4147.shtml specifically gives Cape Wessel (with hourly intervals)

Wind 67 knots and pressure 982.5 hPa and falling at 7PM CST.

At this time Cape Wessel was on the extreme outer fringe of the core:



http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/nt/nt-obs ... -map.shtml shows station locations

I suspect that the next couple of hours readings there will be interesting, although the station lies a fair way to the north of the eye.

EDit" Mmm , well maybe not that far north -




Cheers

Rod

[P.K.]

8 pages in one night told me something had happened to it.

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10/11
Issued by the AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
Issued at 0700 UTC 23 APRIL 2006

PLEASE BE AWARE
Wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the averages given here,
and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

HURRICANE WARNING FOR NORTHERN AREA

SITUATION
At 0600 UTC Severe Tropical Cyclone Monica estimated within 15 nautical miles of
11.4 S 137.4 E moving west at 6 knots. Central pressure 905 hPa.

AREA AFFECTED
Within 60 nautical miles of the centre.

FORECAST
Sustained winds to 135 knots near centre.
Winds above 64 knots within 20 nautical miles of centre with very high to
phenomenal seas.
Winds above 48 knots within 30 nautical miles of centre with very rough to high
seas and moderate to heavy swell.
Winds above 34 knots within 60 nautical miles of centre with rough to very rough
seas and moderate swell.

1800 UTC 23 Apr: centre within 40 nautical miles of 11.3 S 135.7 E.
915 hPa. Winds to 125 knots near centre.
0600 UTC 24 Apr: centre within 75 nautical miles of 11.5 S 133.9 E.
915 hPa. Winds to 125 knots near centre.

REMARKS
Ships in the general area please transmit 3-hourly weather reports.



DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

[CHRISTY]

ITS BEEN A WHILE SINCE IVE SEEN A STORM LIKE THIS....LOOK AT THIS (CDO) ITS TRULY INCREDIBLE.

[mtm4319]

Here's a size comparison for us western hemisphere-ites:

[P.K.]

Latest Weather Observations for Cape Wessel
72 hours of data.
Issued at 8:50 pm CST Sunday 23 April 2006
Notes about the data in this table. | About Latest Weather Observations

Date/ Time Temp Dew Point Rel Hum Delta-T Wind Press Rain since 9 am
Dir Speed
CST °C °C % °C km/h knots hPa mm
23/20:00 25.8 - - - W 130 70 970.2 0.0
23/19:00 26.5 - - - W 124 67 982.5 0.0
23/18:00 25.9 - - - WSW 104 56 988.3 0.0
23/17:00 26.2 - - - WSW 87 47 991.4 0.0
23/16:00 26.1 - - - WSW 72 39 994.8 0.0
23/15:00 26.8 - - - WSW 63 34 996.9 3.0
23/14:00 26.7 - - - WSW 57 31 998.9 0.0
23/13:00 26.4 - - - SW 52 28 1000.2 0.0

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDD65152/IDD65152.94147.shtml

[weatherwoman132]

I hope everyone stays safe!

[Aquawind]

That is impressive and all to familiar..

[AussieMark]

even by australian standards that is one intense cyclone

we get strong ones in our waters annually but geeze this is astonishing

this season is so different to last season

the 2004/05 season only had 8 cyclones with 3 severe

I am sure this season is more active that that

2 severe cyclones and 1 lower ranked cyclone made landfall last year

this year is so much worse than last yearin basically every way

[mtm4319]

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