WPAC: Typhoon Saomai (0608)

wxmann_91 · #101 Postby **wxmann_91** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 1:05 pm

Actually, IMO, Saomai really never did look like a 5, although IMO it's probably still a STY (it's an upper end 4).

Cyclenall · #102 Postby **Cyclenall** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 1:10 pm

When I first checked this storm this morning, I thought this looked almost exactly like Hurricane Katrina. I would agree with the storm's strength at 140 Knots and 898 mb. This is the 3rd best looking tropical cyclone of 2006 IMO.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #103 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 1:55 pm

It looks as good as Rita maybe not as clear of a eye but rita was also 150 knots. I don't understand why people try to lower everything even so its most likely is. It matchs. Wish there was recon to confirm.

HurricaneGirl · #104 Postby **HurricaneGirl** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 1:55 pm

Holy Crap!!! :eek:

That thing is kickin!

marcane_1973 · #105 Postby **marcane_1973** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 2:21 pm

Here is a beautiful visible of this Typhoon. This will most likely be the best looking storm of 2006. The Atlantic will be lucky to see a Cat 4 this season. It looks VERY SIMILAR to Katrina in this photo :eek:

http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/cgi-bin/image ... /goesa.jpg

Cyclenall · #106 Postby **Cyclenall** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 2:27 pm

marcane_1973 wrote:Here is a beautiful visible of this Typhoon. This will most likely be the best looking storm of 2006. The Atlantic will be lucky to see a Cat 4 this season. It looks VERY SIMILAR to Katrina in this photo http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/cgi-bin/image ... /goesa.jpg

The Atlantic will be lucky to see a category 4 this season? Umm no, the Atlantic has a very high chance at having a CAT4 this season. That link you posted shows nothing but a box with the X in it. This most likely won't be the best looking storm of the year 2006 since Cyclone Monica already beat out this storm and Hurricane Daniel.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #107 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 2:29 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t2/avn-l.jpg

Perfect red cloud tops around the eye...With round Cdo. Eye very well developed. My winds are set at 145 knots.

150 for the Atlantic-5 knots for the lower pressure for the western pacific.

marcane_1973 · #108 Postby **marcane_1973** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 2:39 pm

Cyclenall wrote:
marcane_1973 wrote:Here is a beautiful visible of this Typhoon. This will most likely be the best looking storm of 2006. The Atlantic will be lucky to see a Cat 4 this season. It looks VERY SIMILAR to Katrina in this photo http://www.npmoc.navy.mil/cgi-bin/image ... /goesa.jpg

The Atlantic will be lucky to see a category 4 this season? Umm no, the Atlantic has a very high chance at having a CAT4 this season. That link you posted shows nothing but a box with the X in it. This most likely won't be the best looking storm of the year 2006 since Cyclone Monica already beat out this storm and Hurricane Daniel.

Works fine on my PC.

wxmann_91 · #109 Postby **wxmann_91** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 5:13 pm

Does anybody have WPAC zoomed out satellite (as in one like marcane posted or this one: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... mages.html), from a few days ago up to today? Thanks...

HurricaneGirl · #110 Postby **HurricaneGirl** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 5:14 pm

#111 Postby **P.K.** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 5:22 pm

Cyclenall wrote:
marcane_1973 wrote:This most likely won't be the best looking storm of the year 2006 since Cyclone Monica already beat out this storm and Hurricane Daniel.

Severe Tropical Cyclone Monica did look better on satellite from what I've seen, of course that means it was worse at landfall.

Down to 90kts now.

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0608 SAOMAI (0608)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 092100UTC 26.3N 123.0E GOOD
MOVE WNW 13KT
PRES 930HPA
MXWD 090KT
50KT 70NM EAST 60NM WEST
30KT 140NM EAST 90NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 102100UTC 28.3N 117.7E 80NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
45HF 111800UTC 30.6N 112.8E 150NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION

Epsilon_Fan · #112 Postby **Epsilon_Fan** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 5:39 pm

I guess annularity (if thats a word) is a prerequisite to a beautiful hurricane. I agree however that Monica and Daniel are the best so far this year with this one a close third

miamicanes177 · #113 Postby **miamicanes177** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 5:43 pm

sorry, but this is not a 90kt cat 2 storm. that is just dumb.

wxmann_91 · #114 Postby **wxmann_91** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 5:56 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:sorry, but this is not a 90kt cat 2 storm. that is just dumb.

That is 10-min average, not 1-min.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #115 Postby **senorpepr** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:00 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:sorry, but this is not a 90kt cat 2 storm. that is just dumb.

A reminder for everyone...

12. Storm2K.org does not allow personal attacks and/or personal insults of any kind directed to The National Hurricane Center, it’s staff or any other professional weather organization for that matter. While one may disagree it is very important we keep respecting the weather professionals and their opinions. We are expecting all members to act professionally at all times.

(This includes the JMA)

Furthermore, the JMA reports winds by the official WMO standard: 10-minute average. The US reports winds by their own standard: 1-minute average.

#116 Postby **Dave C** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:15 pm

The navy site has the first visable and it's a deadly beauty.
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html
If you zoom the pic. it's awesome with sun reflection on inside west part of the eye.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #117 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:21 pm

4:20pm pst update

The latest shows a well defined Typhoon(Katrina/rita like)deep convection of 80 minus is around the eye. With great outflow all quads but northwest. Dry air could be starting to affect it. The cloud tops over the northwest quad have warmed about 10c over the last few hours. Asmre 85h data last scan shown what could be a second eyewall over the western part. System based on this is downed from 145-150 knots Atlatnic mix with 140-145 western Pacific. New thinking is 140 Atlatnic with 135 western Pacific.

Newest 135 knots...

System should be inland with in 12 hours...

6 hours 130 knots
12 hours 120 knots inland
24 100 knots inland

These numbers are one minute winds.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #118 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:24 pm

Monica should of looked better on the satellite why because she was strong..150-155 knots. Some data said should could of been over 170 knots. Which would be amazing.

whereverwx · #119 Postby **whereverwx** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:35 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:Does anybody have WPAC zoomed out satellite (as in one like marcane posted or this one: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... mages.html), from a few days ago up to today? Thanks...

This is as far back as I could go...

Also, I have this:

#120 Postby **P.K.** » Wed Aug 09, 2006 6:39 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:Does anybody have WPAC zoomed out satellite (as in one like marcane posted or this one: http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... mages.html), from a few days ago up to today? Thanks...

This one goes back 24 hours. http://www.jma.go.jp/en/gms/index.html?area=1&element=0&mode=UTC

WPAC: Typhoon Saomai (0608)

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