NOEL Aftermath

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Windtalker2
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Re: NOEL:Threat Areas : Greater Antilles,Bahamas,South Florida

#221 Postby Windtalker2 » Wed Oct 31, 2007 6:19 am

weather.gov
National Weather Service

Watches, Warnings & Advisories
Local weather forecast by "City, St" or zip code
7 products issued by NWS for: Fort Lauderdale FL
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Wind Advisory
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
528 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2007

FLZ068-072-074-168-172>174-312200-
/O.CON.KMFL.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-071031T2200Z/
METRO PALM BEACH-METRO BROWARD-METRO MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-
FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST PALM BEACH...COCONUT CREEK...
FORT LAUDERDALE...HOLLYWOOD...PEMBROKE PINES...MIAMI...JUPITER...
PALM BEACH...BOCA RATON...POMPANO BEACH...FORT LAUDERDALE BEACH...
HOLLYWOOD BEACH...AVENTURA...MIAMI BEACH...CORAL GABLES...
CUTLER BAY...HOMESTEAD...FLORIDA CITY...EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK
528 AM EDT WED OCT 31 2007

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL STORM NOEL IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
BAHAMAS THURSDAY MORNING AND THEN MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARDS OPEN
WATER LATE ON THURSDAY. DESPITE THE FACT THAT THE FORECAST TRACK
MAINTAINS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WELL OFFSHORE THE SOUTHEAST
FLORIDA COAST...THE COMBINATION OF NOEL WITH HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES WILL RESULT IN STRONG PRESSURE
GRADIENT THAT WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH
WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH POSSIBLE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY.
DESPITE THE PROXIMITY OF NOEL TO THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY MORNING...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD
WEAKEN SOMEWHAT BY THEN AND THEREFORE THE WIND ADVISORY CONTINUES
INTO EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON ONLY AT THIS TIME. IF THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS SLOWER THAN FORECAST...THE ADVISORY
COULD BE EXTENDED INTO TONIGHT LATER TODAY. ALSO...ANY CHANGE IN
THE FORECAST TRACK OR INTENSITY OF NOEL COULD PROMPT UPGRADING OR
REPLACING THE ADVISORY WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING LATER TODAY
OR TONIGHT SO RESIDENTS ACROSS THE AREA ARE ADVISED TO MONITOR
LATEST STATEMENTS FOR UPDATES AND REMAIN ON THE ALERT.
A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

$$

PS
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#222 Postby hiflyer » Wed Oct 31, 2007 7:04 am

Bahamasair evacuated their fleet of aircraft to Orlando Tuesday afternoon shutting off air service fom much of the Bahamas Tuesday afternoon/evening. Appears Freeport is getting some service from Amercan Eagle and Gulfstream early Weds morning along with one Gulfstream 19 seater from Palm Beach attempting to get to Nassau...and a Continental 737 from EWR.

METAR: MYNN 311200Z 08014KT 9999 SCT010TCU BKN080 25/23 Q1009

TAF: MYNN 311030Z 311212 08025G35KT 7000 SHRA SCT015 BKN100 TEMPO 1212
VRB35KT 3200 TSRA BKN010CB BKN016 OVC080 BECMG 0012 07040KT

http://flightaware.com/live/flight/GFT9277
http://flightaware.com/live/flight/COA1940
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#223 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Oct 31, 2007 7:25 am

A shower and few gusts of winds:

Image

Image

Image

Image

Image
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#224 Postby artist » Wed Oct 31, 2007 9:55 am

great pic! I just took one of the rainbow here but you got a double one! I'm jealous. :ggreen:
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#225 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Oct 31, 2007 10:02 am

:uarrow: You know that I noticed the rainbow after seeing the picture in the computer!!! Then I went out to see it!!!

Second rainbow in a month, nice!!!
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Re: NOEL:Threat Areas : Greater Antilles,Bahamas,South Florida

#226 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Oct 31, 2007 10:43 am

Seems like some things in S FL will be getting cancelled. NBC 6 just said that Homestead is cancelling its Boo Bash. You can check their website, NBC6.net, for other updates....
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#227 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Oct 31, 2007 11:04 am

Image
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#228 Postby JonathanBelles » Wed Oct 31, 2007 11:13 am

Mostly Cloudy
79°F
(26°C)
Humidity: 74 %
Wind Speed: NE 18 MPH
Barometer: 29.99" (1015.4 mb)
Dewpoint: 70°F (21°C)
Heat Index: 82°F (28°C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.
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#229 Postby fci » Wed Oct 31, 2007 11:57 am

Probably should post this here too from NWS in Miami.

Statement as of 12:42 PM EDT on October 31, 2007


... South Floridians should monitor the latest on Noel...

Tropical Storm Noel has emerged off the north central coast of Cuba
today... and data from hurricane hunter aircraft late this morning
indicate that Noel has strengthened. Maximum sustained winds are now
near 50 mph with higher gusts. Noel was moving in a general north to
northwest direction at 8 mph. The aircraft data also indicated
tropical storm force increasing slightly in the northwest quadrant.

Noel is forecast to move on a general northerly track today and
tonight... with additional strengthening expected.

If the trend of increasing winds in the northwest quadrant of the
storm continues this afternoon... portions of Southeast Florida
would possibly be closer to the winds associated with the inner
circulation of Noel tonight and early Thursday. As a result... a
Tropical Storm Warning may be needed for parts of Southeast Florida
later this afternoon or evening.

The strong winds of the past two days across South Florida have been
associated with the pressure difference... or gradient... between a
strong high pressure over the mid Atlantic states and Tropical
Storm Noel to the south. The winds are expected to decrease over
South Florida this evening as the high weakens. Nevertheless... the
potential exists for another increase in winds later tonight or
early Thursday as the winds directly associated with Noel approach
Southeast Florida.

Due to the complicated nature of the situation... all persons in
Southeast Florida are urged to stay abreast of the latest
advisories and statements from the National Hurricane Center and the
Miami weather forecast office... and heed the advice of local
officials if tropical storm warnings are issued later this
afternoon or evening.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio and other local media for further
details or updates.
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Re: NOEL:Threat Areas : Greater Antilles,Bahamas,South Florida

#230 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Oct 31, 2007 11:59 am

Canelaw99 wrote:Seems like some things in S FL will be getting cancelled. NBC 6 just said that Homestead is cancelling its Boo Bash. You can check their website, NBC6.net, for other updates....


that is really lame, Boo Hoo on homestead. We get more intense weather from summertime convection.
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Re: NOEL:Threat Areas : Greater Antilles,Bahamas,South Florida

#231 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Oct 31, 2007 12:03 pm

I think they're just erring on the side of caution. Better to cancel and keep everyone safe than have people (little ones) out and about in potentially dangerous conditions. For regular neighborhood t-o-ting, you can check conditions right up to the last minute, but for planned events, the idea of going or cancelling has to be made in advance to get the word out to everyone....I agree we've had worse with some summer t-storms, but things are probably going to be worse later in the day.
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#232 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Oct 31, 2007 1:40 pm

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#233 Postby JonathanBelles » Wed Oct 31, 2007 2:11 pm

A Few Clouds and Breezy
83°F
(28°C)
Humidity: 61 %
Wind Speed: E 21 MPH
Barometer: 29.90" (1012.5 mb)
Dewpoint: 68°F (20°C)
Heat Index: 86°F (30°C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.

Wind steady, pressure down.
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Re: NOEL:Threat Areas : Greater Antilles,Bahamas,South Florida

#234 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Oct 31, 2007 3:09 pm

Here's a link to current Halloween events being affected by Noel:

http://www.nbc6.net/headlinesonly/14471007/detail.html
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Re: NOEL:Threat Areas : Greater Antilles,Bahamas,South Florida

#235 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 31, 2007 3:38 pm

000
WTNT21 KNHC 312033
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM NOEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162007
2100 UTC WED OCT 31 2007

AT 5PM EDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH
OF OCEAN REEF TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA.

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#236 Postby artist » Wed Oct 31, 2007 4:05 pm

With the breaks in the clouds I can now see the mid level is pretty much stationary while the low level clouds are spinning west.
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Re: NOEL:Threat Areas : Greater Antilles,Bahamas,South Florida

#237 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 31, 2007 4:36 pm

A report from Nassau in the Bahamas.

From stormcarib.com

More from Nassau
From: "Martin Pereira" <martin.m.pereira at gmail.com>
Date: Wed, 31 Oct 2007 16:40:12 -0400

This morning it was pretty cool and windy. The expected rain has'nt started as yet but the skies have been pretty overcast. Most schools have been closed and some businesses have shuttered up and or placed sandbags. Its now 4:30pm and its very windy outside and the rain had been a heavy drizzle. Just looked out and you can see so me trees showing the effects of the winds.

Some of the folks I've spoken to have secured their boats and planes as the are'nt taking any chances. I'm going to take a drive up the eastern coast road to check out the wave action to see how bad it looks. They have forecasted the eye of Noel to be at its closest point to us round about 1:00am tomorrow. From the looks of it we're going to be in for a long wet 24 hrs.

http://stormcarib.com/
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Re: NOEL:Threat Areas : Greater Antilles,Bahamas,South Florida

#238 Postby chadtm80 » Wed Oct 31, 2007 5:27 pm

Image
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Re: NOEL:Threat Areas : Greater Antilles,Bahamas,South Florida

#239 Postby artist » Wed Oct 31, 2007 5:28 pm

Nice Chad! :D
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Derek Ortt

#240 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Oct 31, 2007 6:37 pm

wikipedia now has 67 deaths on Hispaniola
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