00Z TROPICAL MODEL RUN

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ameriwx2003
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00Z TROPICAL MODEL RUN

#1 Postby ameriwx2003 » Tue Aug 05, 2003 8:16 pm

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/ ... s/03080601
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#2 Postby vbhoutex » Tue Aug 05, 2003 11:58 pm

The longer this system carries on as a "no namer", weak and disorganized, the more W the models take it, which is understandable. Problem with that is then we have a new ball game once the system clears the island of Cuba or the Florida Straits heading into the GOM. If nothing else the next 5 days may spark everyones interest again!! It will be most interesting to see if the models carrying it further W verify!
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#3 Postby southerngale » Wed Aug 06, 2003 12:04 am

Hmmm...hadn't thought of that David. :o
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#4 Postby Steve H. » Wed Aug 06, 2003 6:43 am

Here she is again! Trying to rebuild, the LLC or low is at 16.5N/61 W moving west . She's beginning to take another stab at it today (check the dvorak loop). We wait until something else comes along. BTW, this time she may get disrupted by another area of disturbed weather to her east, which is gaining on her :roll: . Cheers!!
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#5 Postby ameriwx2003 » Wed Aug 06, 2003 7:46 am

90 L looks ragged and thats being nice. Like someone pointed out maybe in the longer term , like 72 hr + 90L may surprise us . Who knows but it will be interesting to track and see if it can develope down the road when it enters more favorable conditions or it may just be like an old solider and fade away:):)
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#6 Postby Guest » Wed Aug 06, 2003 8:21 am

David what about the High Pressure sitting smack in the middle of the GOM? I don't think its conducive for development with that feature being there?

Would be interesting to see if 90L survives another 72 hours. how long has it been around now?

Patricia
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#7 Postby bfez1 » Wed Aug 06, 2003 8:47 am

It's been around "forever", ticka! :lol: :lol: :lol:
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