90L's Future

[chadtm80]

Well whats this lil fickle thing going to do?? Will it ever develope??

I went with TD, I think it might briefly be able to reach td status... But im not even sure about that anymore

[OtherHD]

I said no further than open wave.

[Vortex]

if it can remain just north of the greater antilles I'll go with a 60-80 mph storm near the western bahamas/S Florida. If the latest hurricane suite run verifies than I'd say 35-50 mph due to land interaction somewhere near Florida. However, if it continues west into the gulf than cat 2.

[ameriwx2003]

I went with tropical storm:)

[wxman57]

Tropical wave - moving right up the east coast like last week's disturbance.

[Stormsfury]

Tropical wave - moving right up the east coast like last week's disturbance.

I can't find any reason to disagree ...

Tropical wave right up the East Coast.

[ColdFront77]

At this point, wouldn't it be going out on a limb saying that this storm will move up the east coast... according to the latest model runs, which make sense in terms of the average speed of 90L, it will just about be starting the "movement up the coast" 72 to 120 hours from now.

[JetMaxx]

I went with T.S....but an "iffy" T.S.....dependant on it staying north of Hispanola....and over the very warm waters near the Bahamas and Southeast Florida.

[Stormsfury]

At this point, wouldn't it be going out on a limb saying that this storm will move up the east coast... according to the latest model runs, which make sense in terms of the average speed of 90L, it will just about be starting the "movement up the coast" 72 to 120 hours from now.

Based on the overall mean flow, a tropical wave (90L) would follow the low-level mean flow, and basically, the low-level mean flow won't change that much with the stubborn Bermuda High locked into place ...

SF

[ColdFront77]

That was the answer I was looking for and yes I agree. However, with that said, what weather systems are doing now and what the latest model guidance indicate can easily change... that can obviously chance ther forecast.

I remember in the last day or two the Bermuda High was expected to retrogress (move westward) causing the more westward movement to 90L. If that apparenly changed (which isn't reflected in today's models); technically the chances of the forecast to change at least a couple times in the short term is there.

[jabber]

I think she had her 9 lives and will not be coming back. I hope I am wrong.

[Colin]

So, 90L will create more chances of rain along the East Coast? AHHHH! :o

[southerngale]

I voted TS but I really haven't a clue. I wouldn't be surprised by a TS or if it just remains an open wave.

[mf_dolphin]

I think a TS is the most likely scenario. If it could slide through the Florida Straits then all bets are off but I don't think that will happen.

[Toni - 574]

Decisions,decisions,decisions, Oh heck with it, I'll go with a moderate TS.

[vbhoutex]

Due to her history and the current patterns, I see nothing more than a moderate TS at most. Probably won't even get close enough to the E coast to cause any problems. However as vortex says if it by some hook or crook makes the GOM all bets are off!

[wxman57]

Any of you want to change your thinking this morning? There's just about nothing left of 90L now. The wave passed that "hot spot" and the convection is gone. I'd say it has a much less chance of development than the average tropical wave at this point. Time to forget 90L and move on - unless convection makes a return and shear drops off.

[bfez1]

No more than an open wave---she's a party pooper!

[ameriwx2003]

Wxman57. While I am less impressed today( in fact not impressed at all lol ) with 90 L. I will stick with my original predictions and see it through. I am defrosting some crow though as we speak:):)

[Guest]

How long has 90L been with us now? Barely breathing but not dead either?

Patricia